United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Tennessee

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Tennessee in 2024, 64.2% to 34.5%, a margin of 29.7 points and 910,600 votes.

Tennessee voted 28.2 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2020, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 92 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Shelby, cast 326,497 votes and went to the Democrat by 25.4 points. The closest was Haywood, where 25 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,966,865 64.2%
Kamala Harris Democratic 1,056,265 34.5%
All other candidates 40,812 1.3%
Total3,063,942

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 201,759 61.8% 118,917 36.4% 5,821 326,497 D+25.4
Davidson 181,862 62.7% 102,256 35.3% 5,918 290,036 D+27.4
Knox 87,516 39.4% 130,815 59.0% 3,533 221,864 R+19.5
Hamilton 74,437 42.7% 97,195 55.7% 2,806 174,438 R+13.0
Rutherford 56,656 38.4% 88,811 60.1% 2,189 147,656 R+21.8
Williamson 47,695 33.0% 94,562 65.4% 2,411 144,668 R+32.4
Sumner 27,874 28.5% 68,767 70.3% 1,120 97,761 R+41.8
Montgomery 32,736 40.0% 47,795 58.5% 1,224 81,755 R+18.4
Wilson 23,855 29.4% 56,425 69.4% 974 81,254 R+40.1
Sullivan 16,624 22.0% 58,154 77.0% 763 75,541 R+55.0
Blount 17,664 25.5% 50,699 73.2% 861 69,224 R+47.7
Washington 18,131 29.6% 42,299 69.1% 804 61,234 R+39.5
Maury 14,145 27.2% 37,376 71.8% 569 52,090 R+44.6
Bradley 9,852 20.0% 38,836 78.9% 558 49,246 R+58.9
Sevier 8,322 18.9% 35,207 80.1% 441 43,970 R+61.1
Madison 16,115 40.3% 23,385 58.5% 464 39,964 R+18.2
Anderson 11,525 31.5% 24,582 67.3% 441 36,548 R+35.7
Robertson 8,428 24.0% 26,260 74.9% 382 35,070 R+50.8
Putnam 8,991 25.7% 25,554 73.1% 394 34,939 R+47.4
Cumberland 6,996 20.2% 27,399 79.1% 247 34,642 R+58.9
Loudon 7,625 23.0% 25,226 76.0% 358 33,209 R+53.0
Greene 5,145 16.5% 25,586 82.3% 364 31,095 R+65.7
Roane 6,073 22.2% 21,011 76.6% 328 27,412 R+54.5
Tipton 6,178 23.1% 20,303 75.9% 252 26,733 R+52.8
Hawkins 3,987 15.2% 22,066 84.0% 213 26,266 R+68.8
Jefferson 4,503 17.4% 21,068 81.6% 244 25,815 R+64.2
Hamblen 5,132 20.1% 20,154 79.0% 215 25,501 R+58.9
Dickson 5,913 23.5% 19,002 75.4% 289 25,204 R+51.9
Coffee 5,440 21.8% 19,174 76.9% 318 24,932 R+55.1
Carter 4,454 17.9% 20,167 81.1% 231 24,852 R+63.2
McMinn 4,207 17.5% 19,673 81.7% 192 24,072 R+64.2
Fayette 6,720 28.4% 16,756 70.7% 220 23,696 R+42.4
Monroe 3,608 16.2% 18,526 83.0% 189 22,323 R+66.8
Gibson 5,100 23.6% 16,346 75.5% 202 21,648 R+51.9
Cheatham 5,464 26.3% 14,987 72.3% 290 20,741 R+45.9
Bedford 4,122 20.5% 15,772 78.5% 196 20,090 R+58.0
Franklin 4,529 23.0% 15,016 76.1% 183 19,728 R+53.2
Lawrence 2,939 15.0% 16,429 84.1% 165 19,533 R+69.1
Warren 3,647 21.4% 13,192 77.5% 176 17,015 R+56.1
Lincoln 2,782 17.2% 13,208 81.9% 138 16,128 R+64.6
Marshall 3,390 21.2% 12,426 77.8% 146 15,962 R+56.6
Cocke 2,415 15.4% 13,105 83.7% 143 15,663 R+68.3
Campbell 2,305 14.8% 13,115 84.5% 108 15,528 R+69.6
Henry 3,286 21.8% 11,629 77.1% 161 15,076 R+55.3
Rhea 2,312 16.0% 11,974 82.9% 158 14,444 R+66.9
Dyer 2,707 18.8% 11,603 80.6% 84 14,394 R+61.8
Marion 3,026 21.7% 10,788 77.4% 119 13,933 R+55.7
Claiborne 1,971 14.6% 11,463 84.7% 100 13,534 R+70.1
Giles 2,974 22.1% 10,394 77.1% 119 13,487 R+55.0
Weakley 2,725 20.3% 10,541 78.7% 128 13,394 R+58.4
White 2,105 16.3% 10,717 82.9% 109 12,931 R+66.6
Obion 2,221 17.2% 10,596 82.1% 83 12,900 R+64.9
Hardin 1,704 14.1% 10,293 85.1% 97 12,094 R+71.0
Henderson 1,902 15.8% 10,083 83.7% 62 12,047 R+67.9
Carroll 2,233 18.8% 9,547 80.3% 102 11,882 R+61.6
McNairy 1,727 15.3% 9,437 83.8% 103 11,267 R+68.4
Grainger 1,432 12.9% 9,630 86.5% 68 11,130 R+73.7
Overton 1,931 17.4% 9,042 81.7% 96 11,069 R+64.2
Macon 1,277 12.4% 8,958 86.7% 98 10,333 R+74.3
Hickman 1,968 19.1% 8,265 80.2% 76 10,309 R+61.1
Fentress 1,149 11.8% 8,555 87.6% 67 9,771 R+75.8
Scott 942 9.8% 8,608 89.6% 55 9,605 R+79.8
Hardeman 3,527 37.5% 5,793 61.6% 79 9,399 R+24.1
DeKalb 1,706 18.2% 7,599 80.9% 91 9,396 R+62.7
Smith 1,595 17.1% 7,655 82.0% 86 9,336 R+64.9
Polk 1,356 15.5% 7,302 83.7% 69 8,727 R+68.1
Union 1,216 14.0% 7,384 85.2% 69 8,669 R+71.2
Morgan 1,054 12.3% 7,427 86.8% 79 8,560 R+74.5
Unicoi 1,578 18.5% 6,876 80.5% 87 8,541 R+62.0
Lauderdale 2,571 31.1% 5,633 68.1% 62 8,266 R+37.0
Humphreys 1,767 21.4% 6,400 77.4% 97 8,264 R+56.1
Johnson 1,212 15.0% 6,829 84.3% 61 8,102 R+69.3
Sequatchie 1,292 16.4% 6,522 82.7% 76 7,890 R+66.3
Chester 1,286 17.0% 6,206 81.9% 85 7,577 R+64.9
Benton 1,317 18.1% 5,886 81.1% 57 7,260 R+62.9
Cannon 1,132 16.5% 5,682 82.6% 67 6,881 R+66.1
Wayne 762 11.2% 6,016 88.1% 53 6,831 R+76.9
Haywood 3,311 49.8% 3,286 49.4% 55 6,652 D+0.4
Stewart 1,160 17.5% 5,389 81.4% 71 6,620 R+63.9
Grundy 948 15.0% 5,334 84.3% 46 6,328 R+69.3
Bledsoe 891 14.4% 5,254 84.9% 46 6,191 R+70.5
Meigs 968 15.9% 5,085 83.4% 46 6,099 R+67.5
Crockett 1,196 20.2% 4,674 78.9% 51 5,921 R+58.7
Lewis 991 16.8% 4,852 82.4% 47 5,890 R+65.6
Jackson 1,040 18.3% 4,586 80.8% 50 5,676 R+62.5
Decatur 819 15.0% 4,596 84.1% 51 5,466 R+69.1
Trousdale 856 20.1% 3,359 79.0% 36 4,251 R+58.9
Houston 773 20.3% 2,989 78.5% 48 3,810 R+58.2
Clay 614 16.3% 3,117 82.9% 29 3,760 R+66.6
Perry 558 15.0% 3,139 84.5% 19 3,716 R+69.5
Moore 542 14.8% 3,060 83.7% 52 3,654 R+68.9
Van Buren 524 16.0% 2,718 83.2% 23 3,265 R+67.2
Pickett 487 16.5% 2,441 82.6% 26 2,954 R+66.1
Hancock 334 11.5% 2,558 88.0% 16 2,908 R+76.5
Lake 429 22.1% 1,493 77.0% 17 1,939 R+54.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+23.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+20.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.3
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.9
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+16.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+16.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.3
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+13.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.0
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.1
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+0.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+12.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+21.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+38.1
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+34.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+7.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+9.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+3.0
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+28.8
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+7.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+11.0
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.2
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.8
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+13.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.5
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+9.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+19.7
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+36.9