United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US Senate election in Tennessee

Marsha Blackburn (Republican) beat Gloria Johnson (Democrat) in Tennessee in 2024, 63.8% to 34.2%, a margin of 29.6 points and 891,282 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2018, when Marsha Blackburn also won.

Republicans led in 93 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Shelby, cast 319,094 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.7 points. The closest was Haywood, where 147 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Marsha Blackburn won Republican 1,918,743 63.8%
Gloria Johnson Democratic 1,027,461 34.2%
All other candidates 61,404 2.0%
Total3,007,608

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 189,954 59.5% 120,568 37.8% 8,572 319,094 D+21.7
Davidson 179,312 62.8% 100,124 35.1% 5,965 285,401 D+27.7
Knox 88,913 40.1% 129,275 58.3% 3,373 221,561 R+18.2
Hamilton 72,115 41.7% 97,475 56.3% 3,527 173,117 R+14.6
Rutherford 55,605 38.3% 86,026 59.3% 3,482 145,113 R+21.0
Williamson 46,785 32.5% 94,791 65.8% 2,558 144,134 R+33.3
Sumner 27,119 28.4% 66,413 69.5% 2,040 95,572 R+41.1
Wilson 23,556 29.4% 54,895 68.5% 1,681 80,132 R+39.1
Montgomery 30,669 38.8% 46,104 58.4% 2,230 79,003 R+19.5
Sullivan 15,646 20.9% 57,989 77.4% 1,267 74,902 R+56.5
Blount 17,632 25.8% 49,551 72.4% 1,271 68,454 R+46.6
Washington 16,872 28.0% 42,160 70.0% 1,205 60,237 R+42.0
Maury 14,008 27.1% 36,665 71.0% 950 51,623 R+43.9
Bradley 9,494 19.7% 37,622 78.1% 1,029 48,145 R+58.4
Sevier 8,399 19.4% 34,101 78.8% 770 43,270 R+59.4
Madison 14,807 37.8% 23,578 60.2% 781 39,166 R+22.4
Anderson 11,587 32.2% 23,718 65.8% 722 36,027 R+33.7
Robertson 8,322 24.3% 25,146 73.3% 826 34,294 R+49.1
Putnam 8,960 26.2% 24,520 71.8% 688 34,168 R+45.5
Cumberland 6,751 20.0% 26,427 78.4% 540 33,718 R+58.4
Loudon 7,428 22.7% 24,848 75.8% 516 32,792 R+53.1
Greene 4,841 15.8% 25,157 82.3% 561 30,559 R+66.5
Roane 6,255 23.2% 20,207 74.9% 520 26,982 R+51.7
Tipton 5,839 22.5% 19,625 75.5% 539 26,003 R+53.0
Hawkins 3,715 14.6% 21,209 83.5% 475 25,399 R+68.9
Jefferson 4,666 18.4% 20,239 79.9% 428 25,333 R+61.5
Hamblen 5,225 20.9% 19,382 77.6% 370 24,977 R+56.7
Dickson 5,967 24.2% 18,149 73.5% 585 24,701 R+49.3
Coffee 5,428 22.2% 18,463 75.4% 590 24,481 R+53.2
Carter 4,081 16.9% 19,687 81.3% 448 24,216 R+64.4
McMinn 4,205 17.8% 18,934 80.1% 503 23,642 R+62.3
Fayette 6,111 26.5% 16,600 71.9% 370 23,081 R+45.4
Monroe 3,694 16.9% 17,759 81.1% 449 21,902 R+64.2
Gibson 4,386 21.0% 16,078 77.0% 422 20,886 R+56.0
Cheatham 5,563 27.1% 14,518 70.8% 414 20,495 R+43.7
Bedford 4,067 20.8% 15,098 77.1% 415 19,580 R+56.3
Franklin 4,493 23.3% 14,437 74.9% 344 19,274 R+51.6
Lawrence 2,933 15.5% 15,484 81.9% 498 18,915 R+66.4
Warren 3,648 22.3% 12,287 75.2% 394 16,329 R+52.9
Lincoln 2,562 16.4% 12,744 81.6% 307 15,613 R+65.2
Marshall 3,391 21.7% 11,916 76.4% 289 15,596 R+54.7
Cocke 2,456 16.1% 12,471 81.9% 296 15,223 R+65.8
Campbell 2,495 16.6% 12,250 81.5% 289 15,034 R+64.9
Henry 3,085 21.4% 11,048 76.6% 286 14,419 R+55.2
Rhea 2,284 16.2% 11,553 81.8% 292 14,129 R+65.6
Dyer 2,556 18.4% 11,050 79.7% 253 13,859 R+61.3
Marion 3,042 22.3% 10,314 75.6% 290 13,646 R+53.3
Claiborne 2,118 16.1% 10,885 82.5% 193 13,196 R+66.4
Giles 2,844 21.6% 10,027 76.3% 267 13,138 R+54.7
Weakley 2,494 19.0% 10,375 79.2% 238 13,107 R+60.1
White 2,174 17.1% 10,316 81.0% 246 12,736 R+63.9
Obion 2,041 16.2% 10,378 82.4% 179 12,598 R+66.2
Henderson 1,704 14.3% 9,994 84.1% 182 11,880 R+69.8
Hardin 1,572 13.4% 9,945 84.8% 207 11,724 R+71.4
Carroll 2,017 17.3% 9,446 81.0% 192 11,655 R+63.7
McNairy 1,680 15.3% 9,155 83.2% 165 11,000 R+68.0
Grainger 1,537 14.1% 9,226 84.6% 146 10,909 R+70.5
Overton 1,970 18.6% 8,413 79.4% 211 10,594 R+60.8
Hickman 1,947 19.1% 8,055 79.0% 195 10,197 R+59.9
Macon 1,321 13.4% 8,342 84.7% 185 9,848 R+71.3
Fentress 1,188 12.6% 8,064 85.6% 165 9,417 R+73.0
Scott 1,062 11.6% 7,924 86.6% 160 9,146 R+75.0
Hardeman 3,204 35.1% 5,731 62.8% 186 9,121 R+27.7
DeKalb 1,707 18.9% 7,137 79.0% 191 9,035 R+60.1
Smith 1,576 17.5% 7,255 80.5% 177 9,008 R+63.0
Polk 1,429 16.6% 7,041 81.9% 131 8,601 R+65.2
Morgan 1,215 14.4% 7,090 84.0% 132 8,437 R+69.6
Unicoi 1,403 16.9% 6,754 81.2% 156 8,313 R+64.4
Union 1,315 15.9% 6,834 82.5% 130 8,279 R+66.7
Humphreys 1,789 22.0% 6,153 75.8% 177 8,119 R+53.8
Lauderdale 2,311 29.2% 5,434 68.8% 156 7,901 R+39.5
Johnson 1,085 13.8% 6,666 84.9% 98 7,849 R+71.1
Sequatchie 1,275 16.6% 6,253 81.3% 161 7,689 R+64.7
Chester 1,135 15.2% 6,169 82.9% 141 7,445 R+67.6
Benton 1,283 18.1% 5,653 79.7% 154 7,090 R+61.6
Cannon 1,171 17.7% 5,308 80.3% 130 6,609 R+62.6
Wayne 755 11.5% 5,690 86.7% 120 6,565 R+75.2
Haywood 3,122 47.9% 3,269 50.2% 120 6,511 R+2.3
Stewart 1,101 17.1% 5,201 80.7% 143 6,445 R+63.6
Bledsoe 897 14.8% 5,061 83.5% 103 6,061 R+68.7
Grundy 960 15.9% 4,931 81.8% 138 6,029 R+65.9
Meigs 985 16.7% 4,810 81.5% 109 5,904 R+64.8
Lewis 1,002 17.4% 4,613 80.2% 134 5,749 R+62.8
Crockett 1,124 19.6% 4,530 78.9% 84 5,738 R+59.4
Jackson 1,093 20.0% 4,279 78.3% 96 5,468 R+58.3
Decatur 811 15.3% 4,410 82.9% 97 5,318 R+67.7
Trousdale 842 21.0% 3,079 76.8% 89 4,010 R+55.8
Houston 801 21.7% 2,814 76.4% 69 3,684 R+54.6
Moore 545 15.2% 2,954 82.4% 87 3,586 R+67.2
Clay 593 16.7% 2,900 81.7% 58 3,551 R+65.0
Perry 569 16.1% 2,906 82.1% 65 3,540 R+66.0
Van Buren 532 16.9% 2,533 80.6% 79 3,144 R+63.6
Pickett 513 17.8% 2,306 80.0% 64 2,883 R+62.2
Hancock 343 12.5% 2,365 85.9% 46 2,754 R+73.4
Lake 384 21.0% 1,414 77.3% 32 1,830 R+56.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Marsha Blackburn (R) R+29.6
2020 Bill Hagerty (R) R+27.0
2018 Marsha Blackburn (R) R+10.8
2014 Lamar Alexander (R) R+30.0
2012 Bob Corker (R) R+34.5
2008 Lamar Alexander (R) R+33.5
2006 Bob Corker (R) R+2.7
2002 Lamar Alexander (R) R+9.9
2000 Bill Frist (R) R+32.9
1996 Fred Thompson (R) R+24.5
1994 Bill Frist (R) R+14.3
1990 Albert Gore Jr. (D) D+37.9
1988 Jim Sasser (D) D+30.6
1984 Al Gore (D) D+26.9
1982 Jim Sasser (D) D+23.9
1978 Howard H. Baker (R) R+15.2
1976 James R. Sasser (D) D+5.4
1972 Howard Baker Jr. (R) R+23.7
1970 William E. Brock III (R) R+3.9
1966 Howard Baker Jr. (R) R+11.4
1964 Al Gore Sr. (D) D+7.2
1960 Estes Kefauver (D) D+43.5
1958 Al Gore Sr. (D) D+60.0
1954 Estes Kefauver (D) D+39.9
1952 Al Gore Sr. (D) D+53.3
1948 Estes Kefauver (D) D+31.9
1946 Kenneth McKellar (D) D+40.4
1942 A. Tom Stewart (D) D+47.4
1940 Kenneth McKellar (D) D+41.6
1936 Nathan Bachman (D) D+56.5
1934 Kenneth McKellar (D) D+27.6
1930 Cordell Hull (D) D+44.2
1928 Kenneth McKellar (D) D+18.6
1924 Lawrence D. Tyson (D) D+14.7
1922 Kenneth McKellar (D) D+36.1
1918 John K. Shields (D) D+24.6
1916 Kenneth McKellar (D) D+9.8