Election 2024 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2024 Senate election results by state and county
Donald Trump returned to the White House and Republicans gained four Senate seats, taking control of the chamber with a 53-47 majority.
33 Senate races were held in 2024, plus 2 special elections. Democrats won 17 and Republicans 14, and 2 went to neither party.
The closest were Pennsylvania (R+0.2), Michigan (D+0.3) and Wisconsin (D+0.9). 4 seats changed party: Montana to the Republicans, Ohio to the Republicans, Pennsylvania to the Republicans and West Virginia to the Republicans.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
About the 2024 Senate elections
Trump beat Kamala Harris, who had replaced Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee in July, and carried every swing state. Democrats were defending far more seats than Republicans, several in states Trump won easily. Republicans gained four: West Virginia, after Joe Manchin retired; Montana, where Tim Sheehy beat Jon Tester by 7.1 points; Ohio, where Bernie Moreno beat Sherrod Brown by 3.6 points; and Pennsylvania, where Dave McCormick beat Bob Casey Jr. by 0.2 points. Democrats held several seats in states Trump carried. In Michigan, Elissa Slotkin beat Mike Rogers by 0.3 points for an open seat. Tammy Baldwin held Wisconsin by 0.8 points, Jacky Rosen held Nevada, and in Arizona Ruben Gallego beat Kari Lake by 2.4 points for the seat left by Kyrsten Sinema. In Texas, Ted Cruz beat Colin Allred by 8.5 points. In New Jersey, Andy Kim won the seat held by Bob Menendez, who had been convicted on bribery charges. The new Republican majority took office alongside Trump's second term, with John Thune replacing Mitch McConnell as Republican leader.
Every race
| State | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 1,676,335 (50.1%) | Kari Lake | 1,595,761 (47.7%) | 75,868 | D+2.4 |
| California | Adam B. Schiff | 9,036,252 (58.9%) | Steve Garvey | 6,312,594 (41.1%) | D+17.8 | |
| California (special) | Adam Schiff | 8,837,051 (58.8%) | Steve Garvey | 6,204,637 (41.2%) | D+17.5 | |
| Connecticut | Christopher S. Murphy | 1,000,695 (58.6%) | Matthew M. Corey | 678,256 (39.7%) | 29,308 | D+18.9 |
| Delaware | Lisa Blunt Rochester | 283,298 (56.6%) | Eric Hansen | 197,753 (39.5%) | 19,555 | D+17.1 |
| Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 4,603,077 (42.8%) | Rick Scott | 5,977,706 (55.6%) | 176,645 | R+12.8 |
| Hawaii | Mazie K. Hirono | 324,194 (64.6%) | Bob McDermott | 160,075 (31.9%) | 17,494 | D+32.7 |
| Indiana | Valerie McCray | 1,097,061 (38.8%) | Jim Banks | 1,659,416 (58.6%) | 73,420 | R+19.9 |
| Maine | David Costello | 88,891 (10.8%) | Demi Kouzounas | 284,338 (34.6%) | Angus King (Independent) 427,331 (52.1%) |
Ind. +17.4 |
| Maryland | Angela Alsobrooks | 1,650,912 (54.6%) | Larry Hogan | 1,294,344 (42.8%) | 76,122 | D+11.8 |
| Massachusetts | Elizabeth Warren | 2,041,668 (59.8%) | John Deaton | 1,365,440 (40.0%) | 6,221 | D+19.8 |
| Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 2,712,686 (48.6%) | Mike Rogers | 2,693,680 (48.3%) | 170,821 | D+0.3 |
| Minnesota | Amy Klobuchar | 1,792,441 (56.2%) | Royce White | 1,291,712 (40.5%) | 105,170 | D+15.7 |
| Mississippi | Ty Pinkins | 451,981 (37.2%) | Roger F. Wicker | 763,420 (62.8%) | R+25.6 | |
| Missouri | Lucas Kunce | 1,243,728 (41.8%) | Josh Hawley | 1,651,907 (55.6%) | 76,924 | R+13.7 |
| Montana flip | Jon Tester | 276,305 (45.5%) | Tim Sheehy | 319,682 (52.6%) | 11,275 | R+7.1 |
| Nebraska | none | Deb Fischer | 499,124 (53.2%) | Dan Osborn (Independent) 436,493 (46.5%) |
R+53.2 | |
| Nebraska (special) | Preston Love Jr. | 349,902 (37.4%) | Pete Ricketts | 585,103 (62.6%) | R+25.2 | |
| Nevada | Jacky S. Rosen | 701,105 (47.9%) | Sam Brown | 677,046 (46.2%) | 86,577 | D+1.6 |
| New Jersey | Andy Kim | 2,161,491 (53.6%) | Curtis Bashaw | 1,773,589 (44.0%) | 96,715 | D+9.6 |
| New Mexico | Martin Heinrich | 497,333 (55.1%) | Nella Louise Domenici | 405,978 (44.9%) | D+10.1 | |
| New York | Kirsten Gillibrand | 4,711,298 (58.8%) | Mike Sapraicone | 3,246,114 (40.5%) | 52,905 | D+18.3 |
| North Dakota | Katrina Christiansen | 121,602 (33.4%) | Kevin Cramer | 241,569 (66.3%) | 1,156 | R+32.9 |
| Ohio flip | Sherrod Brown | 2,650,949 (46.5%) | Bernie Moreno | 2,857,383 (50.1%) | 196,288 | R+3.6 |
| Pennsylvania flip | Robert P Casey Jr | 3,384,180 (48.6%) | Dave McCormick | 3,399,295 (48.8%) | 179,662 | R+0.2 |
| Rhode Island | Sheldon Whitehouse | 294,665 (59.9%) | Patricia Morgan | 196,039 (39.8%) | 1,244 | D+20.1 |
| Tennessee | Gloria Johnson | 1,027,461 (34.2%) | Marsha Blackburn | 1,918,743 (63.8%) | 61,404 | R+29.6 |
| Texas | Colin Allred | 5,031,249 (44.6%) | Ted Cruz | 5,990,741 (53.1%) | 269,864 | R+8.5 |
| Utah | Caroline Gleich | 464,515 (31.7%) | John Curtis | 914,700 (62.5%) | Carlton Bowen (Independent American) 83,972 (5.7%) |
R+30.8 |
| Vermont | none | Gerald Malloy | 116,512 (32.1%) | Bernie Sanders (Independent) 229,429 (63.2%) |
Ind. +31.1 | |
| Virginia | Timothy M. Kaine | 2,417,115 (54.4%) | Hung Cao | 2,019,911 (45.4%) | 8,509 | D+8.9 |
| Washington | Maria Cantwell | 2,252,577 (59.1%) | Dr Raul Garcia | 1,549,187 (40.6%) | 10,627 | D+18.5 |
| West Virginia flip | Glenn Elliott | 207,548 (27.8%) | Jim Justice | 514,079 (68.8%) | 26,090 | R+41.0 |
| Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin | 1,672,777 (49.3%) | Eric Hovde | 1,643,996 (48.5%) | 74,014 | D+0.9 |
| Wyoming | Scott Morrow | 63,727 (24.1%) | John Barrasso | 198,418 (75.1%) | 2,017 | R+51.0 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). How these results were checked.