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Closest results
Election 1982 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1982 Senate election results by state and county

Despite a deep recession, the Senate barely changed in Reagan's first midterm: Republicans kept their majority as only a handful of seats changed hands.

33 Senate races were held in 1982. Democrats won 20 and Republicans 13.

The closest were Missouri (R+1.7), Nevada (R+2.4) and Virginia (R+2.4). 4 seats changed party: Minnesota to the Republicans, Nevada to the Republicans, New Mexico to the Democrats and Virginia to the Republicans.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 1982 Senate elections

Unemployment passed 10 percent in 1982, and Democrats gained about two dozen House seats. The Senate was different. Democrats won 20 races and Republicans 13, but most of the Democratic wins were holds, and Republicans kept the 54-46 majority they had won in 1980. Each side took a seat from the other. In New Mexico, Jeff Bingaman beat Harrison Schmitt, the former Apollo astronaut, by 7.5 points. In Nevada, Chic Hecht unseated Howard Cannon by 2.4 points. In Virginia, Paul Trible won the seat left by Harry Byrd Jr., who had served as an independent. Several Republicans survived close races. John Danforth held Missouri against Harriett Woods by 1.7 points, John Chafee kept Rhode Island and Robert Stafford kept Vermont. In New Jersey, Frank Lautenberg beat Millicent Fenwick by 3.1 points, and in California Pete Wilson beat Governor Jerry Brown by 6.8 points for an open seat.

Every race

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
Arizona Dennis Deconcini411,970 (56.9%) Pete Dunn291,749 (40.3%) 20,166 D+16.6
California Edmund G. Brown, Jr.3,494,968 (44.8%) Pete Wilson4,022,565 (51.5%) 287,917 R+6.8
Connecticut Anthony Toby Moffett499,146 (46.1%) Lowell P. Weicker, Jr.545,987 (50.4%) 38,375 R+4.3
Delaware David N. Levinson84,413 (44.2%) William V. Roth, Jr.105,357 (55.2%) 1,190 R+11.0
Florida Lawton Chiles1,637,667 (61.7%) Van B. Poole1,015,330 (38.3%) 422 D+23.5
Hawaii Spark Matsunaga245,386 (80.1%) Clarence J. Brown52,071 (17.0%) 8,953 D+63.1
Indiana Floyd J. Fithian828,400 (45.6%) Richard G. Lugar978,301 (53.8%) 10,586 R+8.3
Maine George J. Mitchell279,819 (60.9%) David F. Emery179,882 (39.1%) 14 D+21.7
Maryland Paul S. Sarbanes707,356 (63.5%) Lawrence J. Hogan407,334 (36.5%) D+26.9
Massachusetts Edward M. Kennedy1,247,084 (60.8%) Ray Shamie784,602 (38.3%) 19,083 D+22.6
Michigan Donald W. Riegle, Jr.1,728,793 (57.7%) Philip E. Ruppe1,223,288 (40.9%) 42,253 D+16.9
Minnesota flip Mark Dayton840,401 (46.6%) Dave Durenberger949,207 (52.6%) 15,067 R+6.0
Mississippi John C. Stennis414,099 (64.2%) Haley Barbour230,927 (35.8%) D+28.4
Missouri Harriett Woods758,629 (49.1%) John C. Danforth784,876 (50.8%) 16 R+1.7
Montana John Melcher174,861 (54.5%) Larry Williams133,789 (41.7%) 12,412 D+12.8
Nebraska Edward Zorinsky363,350 (66.6%) Jim Keck155,760 (28.5%) 26,537 D+38.0
Nevada flip Howard Cannon114,720 (47.7%) Chic Hecht120,377 (50.1%) 5,297 R+2.4
New Jersey Frank R. Lautenberg1,117,549 (50.9%) Millicent Fenwick1,049,456 (47.8%) 26,940 D+3.1
New Mexico flip Jeff Bingaman217,682 (53.8%) Harrison H. Schmitt187,128 (46.2%) D+7.6
New York Daniel P. Moynihan3,232,146 (65.1%) Florence M. Sullivan1,696,766 (34.2%) 38,817 D+30.9
North Dakota Quentin N. Burdick164,873 (62.8%) Gene Knorr89,304 (34.0%) 8,288 D+28.8
Ohio Howard M. Metzenbaum1,923,767 (56.7%) Paul E. Pfeifer1,396,790 (41.1%) 74,906 D+15.5
Pennsylvania Cyril H. Wecht1,412,965 (39.2%) John Heinz2,136,418 (59.3%) 54,725 R+20.1
Rhode Island Julius C. Michaelson167,283 (48.8%) John H. Chafee175,495 (51.2%) R+2.4
Tennessee Jim Sasser780,113 (61.9%) Robin Beard479,642 (38.1%) 30 D+23.9
Texas Lloyd Bentsen1,818,223 (58.6%) Jim Collins1,256,759 (40.5%) 28,185 D+18.1
Utah Ted Wilson219,482 (41.3%) Orrin G. Hatch309,332 (58.3%) 1,988 R+16.9
Vermont James A. Guest79,340 (47.2%) Robert T. Stafford84,449 (50.3%) 4,213 R+3.0
Virginia flip Dick Davis690,839 (48.8%) Paul Trible724,571 (51.2%) 212 R+2.4
Washington Henry M. Jackson943,665 (69.0%) Douglas Jewett332,273 (24.3%) King Lysen (Independent) 72,297 (5.3%)
D+44.7
West Virginia Robert C. Byrd387,170 (68.5%) Cleve Benedict173,910 (30.8%) 4,234 D+37.7
Wisconsin William Proxmire983,311 (63.6%) Scott McCallum527,355 (34.1%) 34,217 D+29.5
Wyoming Rodger McDaniel72,466 (43.3%) Malcolm Wallop94,725 (56.7%) R+13.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). By county: "As they were" draws each county as it stood on election day; "Today's" shares the old votes among today's counties by area. County boundaries: Newberry Library, Atlas of Historical County Boundaries (CC BY-NC-SA 2.5). How these results were checked.

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