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Election 2003 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2003 governor election results by state and county

Republicans won Kentucky and Mississippi in 2003, with Ernie Fletcher and Haley Barbour taking both from Democrats, while Kathleen Blanco beat Bobby Jindal in Louisiana.

4 governor races were held in 2003. Democrats won 1 and Republicans 3.

The closest were Louisiana (D+3.9), Mississippi (R+6.8) and Kentucky (R+10.1). 4 governorships changed party: California to the Republicans, Kentucky to the Republicans, Louisiana to the Democrats and Mississippi to the Republicans.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 2003 governor elections

Kentucky, Louisiana and Mississippi held regular governor elections in 2003, the year the Iraq War began. California also held a recall that October, in which voters removed Democrat Gray Davis and chose Arnold Schwarzenegger. In Kentucky, Republican Congressman Ernie Fletcher defeated Attorney General Ben Chandler by about ten points to become the first Republican governor of the state since Louie Nunn left office in 1971. In Mississippi, Republican Haley Barbour, a former chairman of the Republican National Committee, beat Governor Ronnie Musgrove by about seven points. Louisiana went the other way. Democratic Lieutenant Governor Kathleen Babineaux Blanco defeated Republican Bobby Jindal, a 32-year-old former state health official, by about four points and became the state's first woman governor. Jindal won the office four years later.

Every race

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
California flip Cruz Bustamante2,724,874 (31.5%) Arnold Schwarzenegger4,206,284 (48.6%) Tom McClintock (Republican) 1,161,287 (13.4%)
R+17.1
Kentucky flip Ben Chandler487,159 (45.0%) Ernest Fletcher596,284 (55.0%) R+10.1
Louisiana flip Kathleen Blanco731,358 (51.9%) Bobby Jindal676,484 (48.1%) D+3.9
Louisiana: Decided in the November runoff.
Mississippi flip Ronnie Musgrove409,787 (45.8%) Haley Barbour470,404 (52.6%) 14,296 R+6.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). How these results were checked.

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