United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2025 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2025 governor election results by state and county

Democrats won both governor races in 2025, with Mikie Sherrill holding New Jersey and Abigail Spanberger taking Virginia from the Republicans, each by about 15 points.

2 governor races were held in 2025. Democrats won 2 and Republicans 0.

The closest were New Jersey (D+14.4) and Virginia (D+15.4). 1 governorship changed party: Virginia to the Democrats.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 2025 governor elections

New Jersey and Virginia elected governors in 2025, the first year of Donald Trump's second term. Democrats won both by wide margins. In Virginia, Democrat Abigail D. Spanberger defeated Republican Winsome Earle-Sears by about 15 points, taking the governorship back from the Republicans after Glenn Youngkin's single term. With women nominated by both parties, the race guaranteed that Virginia would elect its first woman governor. In New Jersey, Democrat Mikie Sherrill beat Republican Jack Ciattarelli by about 14 points, keeping the office in Democratic hands after Phil Murphy's two terms. Ciattarelli had come within about three points of Murphy in 2021. The results in both states were a strong showing for Democrats a year before the 2026 midterms. Both winners improved substantially on the Democratic margins in the same states four years earlier, when Murphy won New Jersey by about three points and Virginia went Republican.

Every race

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
New Jersey Mikie Sherrill1,896,610 (56.9%) Jack Ciattarelli1,417,705 (42.5%) 20,044 D+14.4
Virginia flip Abigail Spanberger1,976,857 (57.6%) Winsome Earle-Sears1,449,586 (42.2%) 6,897 D+15.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). How these results were checked.

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