United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2025 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2025 Virginia governor election

Abigail Spanberger (Democrat) beat Winsome Earle-Sears (Republican) in Virginia in 2025, 57.6% to 42.2%, a margin of 15.4 points and 527,271 votes.

Virginia changed party: in 2021 it went Republican, for Glenn Allen Youngkin.

Republicans led in 81 of the 129 counties and Democrats in 48. The largest, Fairfax, cast 457,687 votes and went to the Democrat by 47.8 points. The closest was Fluvanna, where 6 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Abigail Spanberger won Democratic 1,976,857 57.6%
Winsome Earle-Sears Republican 1,449,586 42.2%
All other candidates 6,897 0.2%
Total3,433,340

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 337,529 73.7% 118,900 26.0% 1,258 457,687 D+47.8
Chesterfield 100,595 58.9% 70,021 41.0% 294 170,910 D+17.9
Virginia Beach city 94,339 55.6% 75,013 44.2% 269 169,621 D+11.4
Loudoun 108,594 64.5% 59,278 35.2% 444 168,316 D+29.3
Prince William 111,198 67.0% 54,309 32.7% 381 165,888 D+34.3
Henrico 103,559 69.3% 45,627 30.5% 260 149,446 D+38.8
Arlington 83,657 83.8% 15,929 16.0% 235 99,821 D+67.8
Chesapeake city 53,971 56.1% 42,147 43.8% 164 96,282 D+12.3
Richmond 80,143 85.0% 13,880 14.7% 217 94,240 D+70.3
Roanoke 38,762 52.5% 34,881 47.2% 180 73,823 D+5.3
Norfolk city 48,599 75.7% 15,509 24.2% 111 64,219 D+51.5
Stafford 35,327 55.9% 27,774 43.9% 115 63,216 D+11.9
Alexandria city 52,230 83.1% 10,424 16.6% 190 62,844 D+66.5
Hanover 23,994 39.7% 36,278 60.1% 95 60,367 R+20.3
Spotsylvania 30,748 51.4% 29,015 48.5% 104 59,867 D+2.9
Newport News city 38,936 68.9% 17,461 30.9% 92 56,489 D+38.0
Albemarle 39,322 70.3% 16,480 29.5% 93 55,895 D+40.9
Hampton city 35,129 74.2% 12,103 25.6% 91 47,323 D+48.7
James City 23,603 55.3% 19,029 44.6% 63 42,695 D+10.7
Suffolk city 25,696 61.6% 15,935 38.2% 80 41,711 D+23.4
Bedford 10,048 25.6% 29,166 74.3% 57 39,271 R+48.7
Frederick 15,809 40.5% 23,129 59.3% 51 38,989 R+18.8
Montgomery 21,428 58.3% 15,228 41.5% 76 36,732 D+16.9
Rockingham 11,622 32.1% 24,498 67.7% 76 36,196 R+35.6
Fauquier 14,610 42.3% 19,894 57.6% 62 34,566 R+15.3
Augusta 9,522 27.8% 24,612 72.0% 60 34,194 R+44.1
York 15,769 50.1% 15,684 49.8% 47 31,500 D+0.3
Portsmouth city 23,040 73.3% 8,351 26.6% 62 31,453 D+46.7
Lynchburg city 13,231 49.4% 13,508 50.4% 56 26,795 R+1.0
Franklin 8,685 33.2% 17,401 66.6% 38 26,124 R+33.4
Pittsylvania 7,272 29.4% 17,439 70.5% 38 24,749 R+41.1
Campbell 6,130 26.6% 16,878 73.2% 34 23,042 R+46.6
Culpeper 9,214 42.2% 12,592 57.7% 33 21,839 R+15.5
Washington 5,382 25.6% 15,614 74.2% 43 21,039 R+48.6
Isle of Wight 8,227 42.9% 10,931 56.9% 37 19,195 R+14.1
Louisa 7,628 40.3% 11,279 59.5% 44 18,951 R+19.3
Charlottesville city 16,799 88.9% 2,056 10.9% 35 18,890 D+78.0
Shenandoah 5,698 31.3% 12,488 68.5% 37 18,223 R+37.3
Henry 6,320 36.1% 11,150 63.7% 30 17,500 R+27.6
Gloucester 5,912 34.1% 11,399 65.7% 30 17,341 R+31.6
Orange 7,361 42.5% 9,938 57.3% 33 17,332 R+14.9
Goochland 7,339 42.9% 9,726 56.9% 24 17,089 R+14.0
Powhatan 5,168 30.3% 11,862 69.6% 21 17,051 R+39.3
Botetourt 4,969 29.5% 11,820 70.3% 32 16,821 R+40.7
Warren 5,757 35.5% 10,433 64.3% 39 16,229 R+28.8
New Kent 5,087 36.6% 8,804 63.3% 22 13,913 R+26.7
Prince George 5,707 41.6% 7,986 58.3% 13 13,706 R+16.6
Fluvanna 6,712 49.9% 6,718 50.0% 19 13,449 level
Caroline 6,733 50.1% 6,680 49.7% 23 13,436 D+0.4
Halifax 5,272 39.6% 8,027 60.3% 22 13,321 R+20.7
Harrisonburg city 9,512 72.1% 3,654 27.7% 23 13,189 D+44.4
Amherst 4,294 32.7% 8,811 67.1% 20 13,125 R+34.4
Accomack 5,925 45.4% 7,129 54.6% 10 13,064 R+9.2
Tazewell 2,248 17.7% 10,407 82.1% 21 12,676 R+64.4
Pulaski 3,927 31.3% 8,607 68.5% 22 12,556 R+37.3
Danville city 7,678 62.4% 4,592 37.3% 29 12,299 D+25.1
Dinwiddie 5,031 41.7% 7,028 58.2% 19 12,078 R+16.5
Mecklenburg 4,657 39.4% 7,151 60.5% 11 11,819 R+21.1
Manassas city 7,671 65.4% 4,036 34.4% 18 11,725 D+31.0
King George 4,716 40.5% 6,909 59.3% 20 11,645 R+18.8
Carroll 2,433 21.4% 8,889 78.3% 26 11,348 R+56.9
Wise 2,281 20.6% 8,744 79.2% 22 11,047 R+58.5
Wythe 2,594 23.5% 8,426 76.3% 24 11,044 R+52.8
Staunton city 6,580 60.7% 4,236 39.1% 18 10,834 D+21.6
Fredericksburg city 7,561 71.8% 2,943 27.9% 33 10,537 D+43.8
Rockbridge 3,557 35.0% 6,599 64.9% 7 10,163 R+29.9
Smyth 2,298 22.9% 7,712 76.9% 18 10,028 R+54.0
Petersburg city 8,811 88.5% 1,124 11.3% 25 9,960 D+77.2
Greene 4,036 42.4% 5,458 57.4% 16 9,510 R+15.0
Salem city 4,150 43.9% 5,282 55.8% 32 9,464 R+12.0
Page 2,365 25.4% 6,940 74.4% 24 9,329 R+49.0
King William 3,020 33.3% 6,033 66.6% 11 9,064 R+33.2
Russell 1,673 18.7% 7,268 81.1% 17 8,958 R+62.5
Winchester city 5,318 60.3% 3,485 39.5% 16 8,819 D+20.8
Waynesboro city 4,459 52.4% 4,037 47.5% 11 8,507 D+5.0
Nelson 3,880 50.2% 3,828 49.6% 17 7,725 D+0.7
Clarke 3,389 44.4% 4,222 55.3% 18 7,629 R+10.9
Falls Church city 6,407 84.3% 1,181 15.5% 12 7,600 D+68.8
Westmoreland 3,468 46.4% 3,995 53.5% 8 7,471 R+7.1
Prince Edward 3,767 50.5% 3,668 49.2% 20 7,455 D+1.3
Southampton 2,945 39.6% 4,492 60.3% 8 7,445 R+20.8
Floyd 2,603 35.1% 4,806 64.7% 16 7,425 R+29.7
Appomattox 1,765 23.9% 5,609 75.9% 12 7,386 R+52.0
Scott 1,235 16.8% 6,103 83.0% 15 7,353 R+66.2
Northumberland 2,685 39.3% 4,132 60.5% 16 6,833 R+21.2
Giles 1,782 26.3% 4,983 73.5% 16 6,781 R+47.2
Williamsburg city 5,063 75.4% 1,647 24.5% 9 6,719 D+50.8
Hopewell city 4,052 60.7% 2,610 39.1% 13 6,675 D+21.6
Madison 2,386 35.9% 4,259 64.0% 9 6,654 R+28.1
Patrick 1,488 22.5% 5,119 77.4% 5 6,612 R+54.9
Colonial Heights city 2,474 37.6% 4,092 62.1% 21 6,587 R+24.6
Lee 1,019 15.8% 5,439 84.1% 7 6,465 R+68.4
Amelia 1,831 28.8% 4,521 71.1% 8 6,360 R+42.3
Poquoson city 1,862 29.7% 4,384 70.0% 16 6,262 R+40.3
Nottoway 2,523 41.7% 3,523 58.2% 11 6,057 R+16.5
Buckingham 2,456 40.6% 3,586 59.2% 13 6,055 R+18.7
Lancaster 2,734 45.3% 3,283 54.4% 13 6,030 R+9.1
Brunswick 3,338 56.3% 2,591 43.7% 5 5,934 D+12.6
Grayson 1,264 21.5% 4,614 78.3% 11 5,889 R+56.9
Alleghany 1,779 30.7% 4,011 69.1% 11 5,801 R+38.5
Middlesex 2,174 38.5% 3,473 61.4% 6 5,653 R+23.0
Northampton 3,060 55.3% 2,469 44.6% 8 5,537 D+10.7
Buchanan 971 17.9% 4,434 81.9% 8 5,413 R+64.0
Essex 2,289 47.0% 2,572 52.8% 8 4,869 R+5.8
Mathews 1,555 32.4% 3,242 67.5% 5 4,802 R+35.1
Bristol city 1,660 34.9% 3,090 65.0% 7 4,757 R+30.1
Charlotte 1,545 32.8% 3,159 67.1% 6 4,710 R+34.3
Radford city 2,632 56.1% 2,050 43.7% 11 4,693 D+12.4
Lunenburg 1,806 40.1% 2,682 59.6% 11 4,499 R+19.5
Dickenson 1,028 23.0% 3,427 76.8% 7 4,462 R+53.8
Cumberland 1,803 40.8% 2,609 59.0% 8 4,420 R+18.2
Rappahannock 1,812 44.8% 2,231 55.1% 6 4,049 R+10.3
Manassas Park city 2,852 71.2% 1,151 28.7% 5 4,008 D+42.4
Martinsville city 2,534 63.5% 1,451 36.3% 7 3,992 D+27.1
Sussex 2,035 53.0% 1,802 46.9% 4 3,841 D+6.1
Surry 1,873 52.3% 1,707 47.6% 4 3,584 D+4.6
Charles City 2,002 57.3% 1,485 42.5% 5 3,492 D+14.8
Greensville 1,902 57.0% 1,427 42.8% 8 3,337 D+14.2
King and Queen 1,292 39.4% 1,985 60.5% 4 3,281 R+21.1
Bland 441 18.2% 1,974 81.6% 3 2,418 R+63.4
Craig 467 20.5% 1,806 79.2% 6 2,279 R+58.8
Lexington city 1,475 68.1% 686 31.7% 6 2,167 D+36.4
Buena Vista city 696 33.2% 1,392 66.4% 9 2,097 R+33.2
Bath 493 25.7% 1,421 74.0% 5 1,919 R+48.4
Galax city 597 31.7% 1,284 68.2% 1 1,882 R+36.5
Covington city 678 40.4% 999 59.6% 1,677 R+19.1
Emporia city 1,119 67.2% 544 32.7% 3 1,666 D+34.5
Highland 362 30.3% 831 69.6% 1 1,194 R+39.3
Norton city 332 31.5% 721 68.3% 2 1,055 R+36.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2025 Abigail Spanberger (D) D+15.4
2021 Glenn Allen Youngkin (R) R+1.9
2017 Ralph Shearer Northam (D) D+8.9
2013 Terry McAuliffe (D) D+2.5
2009 Robert F. McDonnell (R) R+17.4
2005 T. M. Kaine (D) D+5.7
2001 M. R. Warner (D) D+5.1
1997 Jim Gilmore (R) R+13.3
1993 George F. Allen (R) R+17.4
1989 L. Douglas Wilder (D) D+0.4
1985 Gerald L. Baliles (D) D+10.4
1981 Charles S. Robb (D) D+7.1
1977 John N. Dalton (R) R+12.6
1973 Mills Godwin (R) R+50.7
1969 Linwood Holton (R) R+7.1
1965 Mills E. Godwin Jr. (D) D+10.2
1961 Albertis S. Harrison Jr. (D) D+27.7
1957 J. Lindsay Almond (D) D+26.7
1953 Thomas B. Stanley (D) D+10.5
1949 John S. Battle (D) D+43.0
1945 William M. Tuck (D) D+35.5
1941 Colgate Darden (D) D+62.7
1937 James H. Price (D) D+67.0
1933 George C. Peery (D) D+49.5
1929 John Garland Pollard (D) D+25.8
1925 Harry F. Byrd (D) D+48.1
1921 Elbert Lee Trinkle (D) D+34.9
1917 Westmoreland Davis (D) D+43.7
1913 Henry Carter Stuart (D) D+91.9
1909 William Hodges Mann (D) D+27.1
1905 Claude A. Swanson (D) D+29.3
1901 Andrew Jackson Montague (D) D+17.6
1897 James Hoge Tyler (D) D+31.4
1893 Charles T. O'Ferrall (D) D+59.7
1889 Philip W. McKinney (D) D+14.7
1885 Fitzhugh Lee (D) D+5.5
1881 William E. Cameron (other)
1877 Frederick W.M. Holliday (D) D+95.9
1873 James L. Kemper (D) D+12.3
1869 Gilbert Carlton Walker (R) R+54.2