United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2021 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2021 Virginia governor election

Glenn Allen Youngkin (Republican) beat Terence Richard McAuliffe (Democrat) in Virginia in 2021, 50.6% to 48.6%, a margin of 1.9 points and 63,688 votes.

Virginia changed party: in 2017 it went Democratic, for Ralph Shearer Northam.

Republicans led in 98 of the 129 counties and Democrats in 31. The largest, Fairfax, cast 451,408 votes and went to the Democrat by 30.4 points. The closest was Hopewell city, where 10 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Glenn Allen Youngkin won Republican 1,663,158 50.6%
Terence Richard McAuliffe Democratic 1,599,470 48.6%
All other candidates 25,699 0.8%
Total3,288,327

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 292,781 64.9% 155,716 34.5% 2,911 451,408 D+30.4
Virginia Beach city 73,965 45.6% 86,973 53.6% 1,259 162,197 R+8.0
Loudoun 89,390 55.2% 71,467 44.2% 937 161,794 D+11.1
Chesterfield 74,085 47.4% 80,889 51.8% 1,303 156,277 R+4.4
Prince William 87,352 57.0% 64,658 42.2% 1,208 153,218 D+14.8
Henrico 81,409 58.7% 55,796 40.2% 1,462 138,667 D+18.5
Arlington 73,013 76.7% 21,548 22.6% 670 95,231 D+54.0
Chesapeake city 42,907 46.8% 48,079 52.4% 713 91,699 R+5.6
Richmond 62,865 75.4% 17,938 21.5% 2,522 83,325 D+53.9
Roanoke 31,262 43.4% 40,181 55.8% 563 72,006 R+12.4
Norfolk city 40,324 67.1% 18,888 31.4% 849 60,061 D+35.7
Alexandria city 43,866 75.2% 14,013 24.0% 451 58,330 D+51.2
Hanover 18,107 31.2% 39,515 68.2% 338 57,960 R+36.9
Stafford 25,463 44.2% 31,680 55.0% 460 57,603 R+10.8
Spotsylvania 21,426 39.5% 32,478 59.8% 375 54,279 R+20.4
Newport News city 32,399 59.7% 21,241 39.1% 636 54,276 D+20.6
Albemarle 31,919 62.0% 19,141 37.2% 383 51,443 D+24.8
Hampton city 29,971 66.4% 14,651 32.5% 482 45,104 D+34.0
James City 18,836 47.0% 21,048 52.5% 207 40,091 R+5.5
Bedford 8,001 20.5% 30,912 79.1% 166 39,079 R+58.6
Suffolk city 19,079 52.0% 17,351 47.3% 286 36,716 D+4.7
Frederick 11,164 30.7% 25,063 68.9% 149 36,376 R+38.2
Rockingham 8,569 24.1% 26,765 75.3% 205 35,539 R+51.2
Fauquier 11,570 34.0% 22,252 65.5% 170 33,992 R+31.4
Augusta 7,231 21.5% 26,196 77.9% 186 33,613 R+56.4
Montgomery 15,355 46.8% 17,041 52.0% 399 32,795 R+5.1
York 12,190 40.8% 17,485 58.6% 166 29,841 R+17.7
Portsmouth city 19,513 65.4% 9,946 33.3% 374 29,833 D+32.1
Franklin 7,574 28.2% 19,112 71.3% 127 26,813 R+43.0
Pittsylvania 6,319 24.4% 19,543 75.3% 88 25,950 R+51.0
Lynchburg city 11,000 44.2% 13,668 54.9% 233 24,901 R+10.7
Campbell 4,930 21.2% 18,213 78.4% 92 23,235 R+57.2
Washington 4,505 20.5% 17,395 79.1% 96 21,996 R+58.6
Culpeper 6,661 33.0% 13,436 66.5% 117 20,214 R+33.5
Isle of Wight 6,565 35.2% 12,000 64.3% 108 18,673 R+29.1
Henry 5,547 29.9% 12,902 69.6% 87 18,536 R+39.7
Shenandoah 4,535 24.7% 13,693 74.6% 118 18,346 R+49.9
Louisa 5,896 33.4% 11,649 66.0% 94 17,639 R+32.6
Gloucester 4,712 27.1% 12,585 72.4% 94 17,391 R+45.3
Charlottesville city 14,378 82.9% 2,774 16.0% 195 17,347 D+66.9
Botetourt 3,990 23.3% 13,066 76.3% 69 17,125 R+53.0
Powhatan 3,721 22.7% 12,582 76.9% 68 16,371 R+54.1
Orange 5,351 33.2% 10,670 66.2% 89 16,110 R+33.0
Warren 4,328 27.5% 11,294 71.8% 97 15,719 R+44.3
Goochland 4,910 33.7% 9,585 65.9% 57 14,552 R+32.1
Tazewell 1,821 13.1% 12,045 86.6% 44 13,910 R+73.5
Amherst 3,897 28.4% 9,731 71.0% 78 13,706 R+42.6
Halifax 4,804 35.5% 8,641 63.9% 77 13,522 R+28.4
Prince George 4,577 34.6% 8,548 64.6% 97 13,222 R+30.0
Pulaski 3,277 25.2% 9,631 74.1% 97 13,005 R+48.9
Accomack 4,948 38.4% 7,878 61.1% 71 12,897 R+22.7
Danville city 6,872 53.4% 5,907 45.9% 85 12,864 D+7.5
Fluvanna 5,312 42.7% 7,068 56.8% 74 12,454 R+14.1
New Kent 3,439 28.5% 8,569 71.0% 58 12,066 R+42.5
Caroline 5,045 41.8% 6,917 57.4% 99 12,061 R+15.5
Mecklenburg 4,075 33.9% 7,922 65.8% 40 12,037 R+32.0
Carroll 1,910 16.2% 9,868 83.5% 47 11,825 R+67.3
Dinwiddie 4,181 36.1% 7,335 63.3% 66 11,582 R+27.2
Wythe 2,043 17.7% 9,458 81.8% 64 11,565 R+64.1
Wise 1,796 15.5% 9,691 83.9% 64 11,551 R+68.3
Harrisonburg city 6,812 60.1% 4,382 38.7% 143 11,337 D+21.4
Manassas city 6,155 54.4% 5,050 44.7% 101 11,306 D+9.8
King George 3,317 31.0% 7,286 68.1% 98 10,701 R+37.1
Smyth 1,751 17.1% 8,477 82.5% 41 10,269 R+65.5
Rockbridge 3,071 30.6% 6,906 68.9% 47 10,024 R+38.3
Staunton city 5,004 51.2% 4,640 47.5% 127 9,771 D+3.7
Russell 1,452 15.0% 8,229 84.8% 20 9,701 R+69.9
Page 1,995 20.7% 7,594 78.9% 33 9,622 R+58.2
Salem city 3,344 35.0% 6,144 64.3% 68 9,556 R+29.3
Fredericksburg city 5,402 59.8% 3,503 38.8% 130 9,035 D+21.0
Petersburg city 7,591 84.9% 1,207 13.5% 146 8,944 D+71.4
Greene 2,806 31.7% 5,961 67.4% 75 8,842 R+35.7
King William 2,247 26.2% 6,286 73.3% 39 8,572 R+47.1
Winchester city 4,294 50.5% 4,137 48.7% 65 8,496 D+1.8
Scott 1,034 12.7% 7,065 86.9% 32 8,131 R+74.2
Waynesboro city 3,275 41.7% 4,473 56.9% 108 7,856 R+15.2
Southampton 2,717 34.7% 5,084 64.9% 33 7,834 R+30.2
Nelson 3,346 43.6% 4,259 55.5% 75 7,680 R+11.9
Westmoreland 2,971 39.0% 4,614 60.6% 35 7,620 R+21.6
Floyd 2,203 29.4% 5,230 69.8% 65 7,498 R+40.4
Appomattox 1,438 19.3% 5,971 80.3% 31 7,440 R+60.9
Clarke 2,739 36.9% 4,642 62.5% 41 7,422 R+25.6
Giles 1,535 20.8% 5,788 78.3% 66 7,389 R+57.6
Lee 882 12.1% 6,372 87.6% 20 7,274 R+75.5
Patrick 1,255 17.3% 5,946 82.1% 38 7,239 R+64.8
Prince Edward 3,210 45.1% 3,876 54.4% 39 7,125 R+9.3
Falls Church city 5,388 76.7% 1,590 22.6% 48 7,026 D+54.1
Madison 1,973 29.3% 4,721 70.2% 34 6,728 R+40.8
Colonial Heights city 1,729 25.8% 4,913 73.3% 63 6,705 R+47.5
Northumberland 2,312 35.5% 4,167 64.0% 37 6,516 R+28.5
Amelia 1,617 25.4% 4,720 74.2% 25 6,362 R+48.8
Poquoson city 1,364 21.7% 4,897 77.8% 37 6,298 R+56.1
Hopewell city 3,085 49.2% 3,095 49.3% 96 6,276 R+0.2
Grayson 1,062 17.0% 5,144 82.5% 31 6,237 R+65.4
Buckingham 2,222 36.1% 3,894 63.3% 37 6,153 R+27.2
Brunswick 3,165 52.0% 2,880 47.3% 39 6,084 D+4.7
Alleghany 1,518 25.0% 4,530 74.5% 31 6,079 R+49.5
Buchanan 903 15.1% 5,083 84.7% 14 6,000 R+69.7
Lancaster 2,406 41.0% 3,448 58.7% 19 5,873 R+17.7
Middlesex 1,860 33.1% 3,703 66.0% 50 5,613 R+32.8
Nottoway 1,892 34.9% 3,497 64.6% 27 5,416 R+29.6
Northampton 2,584 49.1% 2,650 50.3% 30 5,264 R+1.3
Bristol city 1,342 26.1% 3,773 73.3% 32 5,147 R+47.2
Williamsburg city 3,185 64.6% 1,703 34.5% 43 4,931 D+30.1
Mathews 1,363 27.9% 3,493 71.6% 25 4,881 R+43.6
Dickenson 934 19.4% 3,867 80.3% 14 4,815 R+60.9
Charlotte 1,396 29.2% 3,354 70.3% 24 4,774 R+41.0
Essex 1,980 42.0% 2,684 57.0% 45 4,709 R+15.0
Lunenburg 1,567 34.1% 3,019 65.7% 11 4,597 R+31.6
Cumberland 1,515 35.9% 2,678 63.4% 32 4,225 R+27.5
Rappahannock 1,686 40.0% 2,507 59.4% 24 4,217 R+19.5
Radford city 1,879 44.8% 2,266 54.0% 49 4,194 R+9.2
Sussex 2,028 50.4% 1,973 49.0% 24 4,025 D+1.4
Martinsville city 2,224 56.4% 1,676 42.5% 45 3,945 D+13.9
Greensville 1,915 52.6% 1,709 47.0% 14 3,638 D+5.7
Manassas Park city 2,158 60.0% 1,379 38.3% 60 3,597 D+21.7
Surry 1,756 49.7% 1,768 50.0% 12 3,536 R+0.3
Charles City 1,822 53.8% 1,550 45.8% 15 3,387 D+8.0
King and Queen 1,130 34.7% 2,112 64.8% 19 3,261 R+30.1
Bland 364 13.7% 2,274 85.8% 13 2,651 R+72.0
Craig 400 16.0% 2,079 83.2% 21 2,500 R+67.2
Lexington city 1,289 62.0% 775 37.3% 14 2,078 D+24.7
Buena Vista city 481 24.5% 1,459 74.3% 23 1,963 R+49.8
Bath 396 20.3% 1,539 79.0% 12 1,947 R+58.7
Galax city 492 25.5% 1,424 73.9% 10 1,926 R+48.4
Emporia city 1,087 59.3% 723 39.5% 22 1,832 D+19.9
Covington city 579 32.3% 1,198 66.8% 16 1,793 R+34.5
Highland 325 24.9% 969 74.4% 9 1,303 R+49.4
Norton city 320 26.6% 866 72.0% 17 1,203 R+45.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2025 Abigail Spanberger (D) D+15.4
2021 Glenn Allen Youngkin (R) R+1.9
2017 Ralph Shearer Northam (D) D+8.9
2013 Terry McAuliffe (D) D+2.5
2009 Robert F. McDonnell (R) R+17.4
2005 T. M. Kaine (D) D+5.7
2001 M. R. Warner (D) D+5.1
1997 Jim Gilmore (R) R+13.3
1993 George F. Allen (R) R+17.4
1989 L. Douglas Wilder (D) D+0.4
1985 Gerald L. Baliles (D) D+10.4
1981 Charles S. Robb (D) D+7.1
1977 John N. Dalton (R) R+12.6
1973 Mills Godwin (R) R+50.7
1969 Linwood Holton (R) R+7.1
1965 Mills E. Godwin Jr. (D) D+10.2
1961 Albertis S. Harrison Jr. (D) D+27.7
1957 J. Lindsay Almond (D) D+26.7
1953 Thomas B. Stanley (D) D+10.5
1949 John S. Battle (D) D+43.0
1945 William M. Tuck (D) D+35.5
1941 Colgate Darden (D) D+62.7
1937 James H. Price (D) D+67.0
1933 George C. Peery (D) D+49.5
1929 John Garland Pollard (D) D+25.8
1925 Harry F. Byrd (D) D+48.1
1921 Elbert Lee Trinkle (D) D+34.9
1917 Westmoreland Davis (D) D+43.7
1913 Henry Carter Stuart (D) D+91.9
1909 William Hodges Mann (D) D+27.1
1905 Claude A. Swanson (D) D+29.3
1901 Andrew Jackson Montague (D) D+17.6
1897 James Hoge Tyler (D) D+31.4
1893 Charles T. O'Ferrall (D) D+59.7
1889 Philip W. McKinney (D) D+14.7
1885 Fitzhugh Lee (D) D+5.5
1881 William E. Cameron (other)
1877 Frederick W.M. Holliday (D) D+95.9
1873 James L. Kemper (D) D+12.3
1869 Gilbert Carlton Walker (R) R+54.2