United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election results by state and county

Barack Obama won re-election over Mitt Romney, 332 electoral votes to 206, holding almost every state he had won in 2008.

Barack Obama (Democrat) beat Mitt Romney in 2012, winning 332 electoral votes to 206. Barack Obama carried 27 states and Mitt Romney 24. Across the states, the Democratic and Republican vote came to 65,915,795 and 60,933,504 (D+3.9 of all votes cast).

The closest states were Florida (D+0.9), North Carolina (R+2.0) and Ohio (D+3.0). 2 states changed party from 2008: Indiana to the Republicans and North Carolina to the Republicans.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

About the 2012 presidential election

Obama's first term brought the economic stimulus, the auto industry rescue, the Affordable Care Act and the killing of Osama bin Laden, but unemployment stayed high and Republicans had won the House in 2010. Republicans nominated Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts and a private equity executive, who ran on his business experience. Romney's campaign was damaged by a recording in which he dismissed "47 percent" of Americans as dependent on government. Obama won about 51 percent of the popular vote and held every state he had won in 2008 except Indiana and North Carolina, both of which returned to the Republicans. He carried the main battlegrounds: Florida by 0.9 points, Ohio by 3.0, Virginia by 3.9 and Colorado by 5.4. Romney's closest win was North Carolina, by 2.0. Many polls had pointed to a tight race, and some Republicans had argued the polls were skewed. Statistical forecasters who relied on state polling averages called the result accurately. Republicans kept the House and Democrats kept the Senate, preserving divided government for the rest of Obama's presidency.

Every state

StateDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin EV
Alabama Barack Obama795,696 (38.4%) Mitt Romney1,255,925 (60.5%) 22,717 R+22.2 9
Alaska Barack Obama122,640 (40.8%) Mitt Romney164,676 (54.8%) 13,179 R+14.0 3
Arizona Barack Obama1,025,232 (44.6%) Mitt Romney1,233,654 (53.7%) 40,368 R+9.1 11
Arkansas Barack Obama394,409 (36.9%) Mitt Romney647,744 (60.6%) 27,315 R+23.7 6
California Barack Obama7,854,285 (60.2%) Mitt Romney4,839,958 (37.1%) 344,304 D+23.1 55
Colorado Barack Obama1,323,102 (51.5%) Mitt Romney1,185,243 (46.1%) 61,173 D+5.4 9
Connecticut Barack Obama905,083 (58.1%) Mitt Romney634,892 (40.7%) 18,985 D+17.3 7
Delaware Barack Obama242,584 (58.6%) Mitt Romney165,484 (40.0%) 5,853 D+18.6 3
District of Columbia Barack Obama267,070 (90.9%) Mitt Romney21,381 (7.3%) 5,313 D+83.6 3
Florida Barack Obama4,237,756 (50.0%) Mitt Romney4,163,447 (49.1%) 72,976 D+0.9 29
Georgia Barack Obama1,773,827 (45.5%) Mitt Romney2,078,688 (53.3%) 47,535 R+7.8 16
Hawaii Barack Obama306,658 (70.5%) Mitt Romney121,015 (27.8%) 7,024 D+42.7 4
Idaho Barack Obama212,787 (32.4%) Mitt Romney420,911 (64.1%) 23,044 R+31.7 4
Illinois Barack Obama3,019,512 (57.6%) Mitt Romney2,135,216 (40.7%) 87,286 D+16.9 20
Indiana flip Barack Obama1,152,887 (43.9%) Mitt Romney1,420,543 (54.1%) 51,104 R+10.2 11
Iowa Barack Obama822,544 (52.0%) Mitt Romney730,617 (46.2%) 29,019 D+5.8 6
Kansas Barack Obama440,726 (38.0%) Mitt Romney692,634 (59.7%) 26,611 R+21.7 6
Kentucky Barack Obama679,370 (37.8%) Mitt Romney1,087,190 (60.5%) 30,652 R+22.7 8
Louisiana Barack Obama809,141 (40.6%) Mitt Romney1,152,262 (57.8%) 32,662 R+17.2 8
Maine Barack Obama401,306 (56.3%) Mitt Romney292,276 (41.0%) 19,598 D+15.3 4
Maryland Barack Obama1,677,844 (62.0%) Mitt Romney971,869 (35.9%) 57,614 D+26.1 10
Massachusetts Barack Obama1,921,290 (60.7%) Mitt Romney1,188,314 (37.5%) 58,163 D+23.1 11
Michigan Barack Obama2,564,569 (54.2%) Mitt Romney2,115,256 (44.7%) 51,136 D+9.5 16
Minnesota Barack Obama1,546,167 (52.7%) Mitt Romney1,320,225 (45.0%) 70,169 D+7.7 10
Mississippi Barack Obama562,949 (43.8%) Mitt Romney710,746 (55.3%) 11,889 R+11.5 6
Missouri Barack Obama1,223,796 (44.4%) Mitt Romney1,482,440 (53.8%) 51,087 R+9.4 10
Montana Barack Obama201,839 (41.7%) Mitt Romney267,928 (55.4%) 14,281 R+13.7 3
Nebraska Barack Obama302,081 (38.0%) Mitt Romney475,064 (59.8%) 17,234 R+21.8 5
Nevada Barack Obama531,373 (52.4%) Mitt Romney463,567 (45.7%) 19,978 D+6.7 6
New Hampshire Barack Obama369,561 (52.0%) Mitt Romney329,918 (46.4%) 11,493 D+5.6 4
New Jersey Barack Obama2,125,101 (58.4%) Mitt Romney1,477,568 (40.6%) 37,623 D+17.8 14
New Mexico Barack Obama415,335 (53.0%) Mitt Romney335,788 (42.8%) 32,635 D+10.2 5
New York Barack Obama4,485,741 (63.3%) Mitt Romney2,490,431 (35.2%) 104,987 D+28.2 29
North Carolina flip Barack Obama2,178,391 (48.4%) Mitt Romney2,270,395 (50.4%) 56,586 R+2.0 15
North Dakota Barack Obama124,827 (38.7%) Mitt Romney188,163 (58.3%) 9,637 R+19.6 3
Ohio Barack Obama2,827,709 (50.7%) Mitt Romney2,661,437 (47.7%) 91,701 D+3.0 18
Oklahoma Barack Obama443,547 (33.2%) Mitt Romney891,325 (66.8%) R+33.5 7
Oregon Barack Obama970,488 (54.2%) Mitt Romney754,175 (42.1%) 64,607 D+12.1 7
Pennsylvania Barack Obama2,990,274 (52.0%) Mitt Romney2,680,434 (46.6%) 82,962 D+5.4 20
Rhode Island Barack Obama279,677 (62.7%) Mitt Romney157,204 (35.2%) 9,168 D+27.5 4
South Carolina Barack Obama865,941 (44.1%) Mitt Romney1,071,645 (54.6%) 26,532 R+10.5 9
South Dakota Barack Obama145,039 (39.9%) Mitt Romney210,610 (57.9%) 8,166 R+18.0 3
Tennessee Barack Obama960,709 (39.1%) Mitt Romney1,462,330 (59.5%) 35,538 R+20.4 11
Texas Barack Obama3,308,124 (41.4%) Mitt Romney4,569,843 (57.2%) 115,884 R+15.8 38
Utah Barack Obama251,813 (24.7%) Mitt Romney740,600 (72.8%) 25,027 R+48.0 6
Vermont Barack Obama199,239 (66.6%) Mitt Romney92,698 (31.0%) 7,353 D+35.6 3
Virginia Barack Obama1,971,820 (51.2%) Mitt Romney1,822,522 (47.3%) 60,147 D+3.9 13
Washington Barack Obama1,755,396 (56.2%) Mitt Romney1,290,670 (41.3%) 79,450 D+14.9 12
West Virginia Barack Obama238,269 (35.5%) Mitt Romney417,655 (62.3%) 14,514 R+26.8 5
Wisconsin Barack Obama1,620,985 (52.8%) Mitt Romney1,407,966 (45.9%) 39,483 D+6.9 10
Wyoming Barack Obama69,286 (27.8%) Mitt Romney170,962 (68.6%) 8,813 R+40.8 3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Margins are Democrat minus Republican, of all votes. Certified results, from the states' own archives, the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, Heideman (2026) and Algara & Amlani (2021). Maine and Nebraska are shown whole, without their district votes. How these results were checked.

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