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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Hawaii

Barack Obama (Democrat) beat Mitt Romney (Republican) in Hawaii in 2012, 70.5% to 27.8%, a margin of 42.7 points and 185,643 votes.

Hawaii voted 38.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Democratic hold continued from 2008, when Barack Obama also won.

Democrats led in 4 of the 4 counties. The largest, Honolulu, cast 296,742 votes and went to the Democrat by 39.1 points. The closest was Kauai, where 12,520 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Barack Obama won Democratic 306,658 70.5%
Mitt Romney Republican 121,015 27.8%
All other candidates 7,024 1.6%
Total434,697

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Honolulu 204,349 68.9% 88,461 29.8% 3,932 296,742 D+39.1
Hawaii 47,224 74.4% 14,753 23.2% 1,477 63,454 D+51.2
Maui 36,052 74.1% 11,602 23.8% 999 48,653 D+50.3
Kauai 18,641 73.5% 6,121 24.1% 610 25,372 D+49.3

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Hawaii in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+23.1
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+29.5
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+32.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+42.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+45.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+8.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+18.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+25.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.4
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+9.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+11.3
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+1.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+25.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+21.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+57.5
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.1