United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Missouri

Mitt Romney (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Missouri in 2012, 53.8% to 44.4%, a margin of 9.4 points and 258,644 votes.

Missouri voted 13.2 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Republican hold continued from 2008, when John McCain won.

Republicans led in 111 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 528,676 votes and went to the Democrat by 13.7 points. The closest was Ste. Genevieve, where 242 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mitt Romney won Republican 1,482,440 53.8%
Barack Obama Democratic 1,223,796 44.4%
All other candidates 51,087 1.9%
Total2,757,323

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 297,097 56.2% 224,742 42.5% 6,837 528,676 D+13.7
Jackson 183,953 59.0% 122,708 39.4% 4,916 311,577 D+19.7
St. Charles 71,838 38.7% 110,784 59.7% 3,068 185,690 R+21.0
St. Louis City 118,780 82.7% 22,943 16.0% 1,884 143,607 D+66.7
Greene 46,219 36.7% 76,900 61.1% 2,729 125,848 R+24.4
Clay 47,310 44.8% 56,191 53.2% 2,088 105,589 R+8.4
Jefferson 41,564 42.6% 53,978 55.3% 2,069 97,611 R+12.7
Boone 39,847 50.2% 37,404 47.1% 2,171 79,422 D+3.1
Cass 17,044 34.8% 30,912 63.2% 957 48,913 R+28.4
Franklin 16,347 35.0% 29,396 62.9% 1,012 46,755 R+27.9
Platte 19,175 42.1% 25,618 56.2% 759 45,552 R+14.1
Jasper 12,809 28.3% 31,349 69.3% 1,060 45,218 R+41.0
Christian 9,813 25.8% 27,473 72.4% 678 37,964 R+46.5
Cole 12,005 32.4% 24,490 66.1% 567 37,062 R+33.7
Cape Girardeau 9,728 27.2% 25,370 71.0% 618 35,716 R+43.8
Buchanan 15,594 44.4% 18,660 53.2% 852 35,106 R+8.7
Newton 6,425 25.6% 18,181 72.5% 477 25,083 R+46.9
Lincoln 7,734 34.1% 14,332 63.3% 586 22,652 R+29.1
St. Francois 8,829 39.1% 13,248 58.7% 505 22,582 R+19.6
Camden 6,458 29.4% 15,092 68.8% 395 21,945 R+39.3
Taney 5,479 25.3% 15,746 72.7% 434 21,659 R+47.4
Johnson 7,667 36.5% 12,763 60.7% 591 21,021 R+24.2
Callaway 6,071 33.3% 11,745 64.4% 416 18,232 R+31.1
Phelps 5,798 31.9% 11,895 65.4% 497 18,190 R+33.5
Pettis 5,904 34.4% 10,842 63.1% 429 17,175 R+28.8
Scott 5,122 30.1% 11,623 68.4% 254 16,999 R+38.2
Butler 4,363 25.8% 12,248 72.5% 278 16,889 R+46.7
Howell 4,395 26.9% 11,544 70.6% 407 16,346 R+43.7
Stone 3,923 24.5% 11,787 73.7% 274 15,984 R+49.2
Lafayette 5,655 35.8% 9,803 62.1% 337 15,795 R+26.3
Lawrence 4,017 25.5% 11,421 72.5% 317 15,755 R+47.0
Webster 4,409 28.6% 10,708 69.4% 312 15,429 R+40.8
Laclede 4,093 26.6% 10,934 71.2% 335 15,362 R+44.5
Warren 5,219 35.6% 9,150 62.3% 307 14,676 R+26.8
Barry 3,667 26.6% 9,832 71.2% 307 13,806 R+44.7
Pulaski 4,199 30.9% 9,092 67.0% 280 13,571 R+36.1
Polk 3,580 27.3% 9,252 70.5% 287 13,119 R+43.2
Stoddard 3,153 24.5% 9,496 73.8% 217 12,866 R+49.3
Marion 4,031 33.2% 7,923 65.2% 204 12,158 R+32.0
Miller 2,651 24.1% 8,099 73.5% 269 11,019 R+49.4
Texas 2,871 26.7% 7,618 70.8% 275 10,764 R+44.1
Dunklin 3,636 34.1% 6,850 64.3% 165 10,651 R+30.2
Ray 4,275 41.2% 5,815 56.1% 277 10,367 R+14.9
Adair 4,219 41.7% 5,651 55.8% 256 10,126 R+14.1
Henry 3,606 35.6% 6,229 61.5% 288 10,123 R+25.9
Audrain 3,539 35.6% 6,186 62.2% 227 9,952 R+26.6
Randolph 3,031 30.5% 6,667 67.0% 246 9,944 R+36.6
Clinton 3,688 37.4% 5,931 60.1% 242 9,861 R+22.7
Crawford 2,951 30.8% 6,434 67.2% 194 9,579 R+36.4
Benton 2,925 31.9% 6,069 66.3% 163 9,157 R+34.3
Saline 3,790 41.6% 5,104 56.0% 214 9,108 R+14.4
Nodaway 3,172 35.3% 5,593 62.3% 211 8,976 R+27.0
Washington 3,417 39.3% 5,071 58.3% 207 8,695 R+19.0
Morgan 2,773 31.9% 5,733 66.0% 182 8,688 R+34.1
Vernon 2,580 30.3% 5,758 67.6% 183 8,521 R+37.3
Andrew 2,649 31.9% 5,457 65.7% 200 8,306 R+33.8
Ste. Genevieve 3,813 47.2% 4,055 50.2% 202 8,070 R+3.0
Perry 2,184 27.3% 5,669 71.0% 134 7,987 R+43.6
Wright 1,953 24.6% 5,830 73.3% 172 7,955 R+48.7
McDonald 1,920 24.6% 5,694 72.8% 203 7,817 R+48.3
Bates 2,557 32.9% 5,020 64.6% 194 7,771 R+31.7
Cooper 2,474 32.9% 4,887 65.1% 150 7,511 R+32.1
Pike 2,582 35.3% 4,577 62.5% 162 7,321 R+27.3
Dallas 2,122 29.2% 4,992 68.6% 165 7,279 R+39.4
New Madrid 2,814 38.8% 4,284 59.1% 152 7,250 R+20.3
Macon 2,309 32.2% 4,701 65.7% 150 7,160 R+33.4
Gasconade 2,099 29.4% 4,895 68.6% 140 7,134 R+39.2
Osage 1,473 21.3% 5,329 77.0% 117 6,919 R+55.7
Dent 1,585 23.9% 4,883 73.5% 175 6,643 R+49.6
Douglas 1,710 26.1% 4,649 70.9% 198 6,557 R+44.8
Moniteau 1,608 25.0% 4,704 73.0% 131 6,443 R+48.1
Pemiscot 2,671 42.2% 3,598 56.8% 66 6,335 R+14.6
Livingston 1,906 31.5% 4,006 66.2% 142 6,054 R+34.7
Cedar 1,537 25.4% 4,376 72.4% 132 6,045 R+47.0
Barton 1,230 21.4% 4,418 76.9% 98 5,746 R+55.5
Wayne 1,813 31.7% 3,790 66.3% 117 5,720 R+34.6
Linn 2,041 36.8% 3,344 60.3% 165 5,550 R+23.5
Bollinger 1,213 22.2% 4,095 75.1% 148 5,456 R+52.8
Montgomery 1,740 32.7% 3,490 65.5% 97 5,327 R+32.9
Ripley 1,396 26.5% 3,743 71.1% 124 5,263 R+44.6
Ralls 1,736 34.5% 3,231 64.2% 69 5,036 R+29.7
Madison 1,588 32.2% 3,227 65.5% 115 4,930 R+33.2
Mississippi 1,858 37.8% 2,997 60.9% 65 4,920 R+23.2
Howard 1,723 35.4% 3,017 62.0% 127 4,867 R+26.6
Hickory 1,733 37.0% 2,835 60.6% 112 4,680 R+23.5
St. Clair 1,460 31.6% 3,019 65.3% 147 4,626 R+33.7
Maries 1,299 28.6% 3,165 69.7% 74 4,538 R+41.1
Ozark 1,261 28.3% 3,080 69.2% 112 4,453 R+40.8
Oregon 1,419 32.1% 2,886 65.3% 116 4,421 R+33.2
Grundy 1,212 27.7% 3,030 69.3% 132 4,374 R+41.6
DeKalb 1,194 27.4% 3,056 70.3% 100 4,350 R+42.8
Carroll 1,154 26.8% 3,072 71.4% 78 4,304 R+44.6
Lewis 1,508 35.2% 2,677 62.6% 94 4,279 R+27.3
Caldwell 1,312 31.5% 2,721 65.3% 134 4,167 R+33.8
Monroe 1,398 34.5% 2,564 63.2% 95 4,057 R+28.7
Iron 1,669 41.4% 2,252 55.9% 110 4,031 R+14.5
Dade 939 24.1% 2,895 74.3% 62 3,896 R+50.2
Chariton 1,339 35.0% 2,402 62.9% 80 3,821 R+27.8
Harrison 984 26.6% 2,624 71.0% 87 3,695 R+44.4
Shannon 1,302 35.3% 2,262 61.3% 128 3,692 R+26.0
Daviess 1,125 32.0% 2,290 65.0% 106 3,521 R+33.1
Shelby 966 29.9% 2,188 67.7% 78 3,232 R+37.8
Clark 1,398 43.3% 1,730 53.6% 97 3,225 R+10.3
Reynolds 1,157 36.1% 1,931 60.3% 114 3,202 R+24.2
Gentry 937 31.2% 1,988 66.3% 74 2,999 R+35.0
Carter 754 26.9% 1,978 70.7% 67 2,799 R+43.7
Atchison 756 27.9% 1,902 70.2% 51 2,709 R+42.3
Sullivan 908 35.0% 1,610 62.0% 77 2,595 R+27.1
Holt 551 23.9% 1,725 74.7% 34 2,310 R+50.8
Putnam 587 25.4% 1,673 72.5% 49 2,309 R+47.0
Knox 698 35.7% 1,205 61.6% 54 1,957 R+25.9
Schuyler 697 35.9% 1,174 60.5% 68 1,939 R+24.6
Scotland 643 33.2% 1,246 64.4% 47 1,936 R+31.1
Mercer 353 21.3% 1,255 75.8% 47 1,655 R+54.5
Worth 341 32.5% 664 63.4% 43 1,048 R+30.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+18.4
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+15.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+18.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+0.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+7.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.8
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+1.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.1
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.5
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+1.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+16.6
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+28.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+11.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+17.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+0.1
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+3.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+13.7
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+16.3
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.9