United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Missouri

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Missouri in 2016, 56.8% to 38.1%, a margin of 18.6 points and 523,443 votes.

Missouri voted 20.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 111 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 514,858 votes and went to the Democrat by 16.4 points. The closest was Worth, where 613 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,594,511 56.8%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 1,071,068 38.1%
All other candidates 143,026 5.1%
Total2,808,605

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 286,704 55.7% 202,434 39.3% 25,720 514,858 D+16.4
Jackson 168,972 56.0% 116,211 38.5% 16,693 301,876 D+17.5
St. Charles 68,626 34.1% 121,650 60.5% 10,729 201,005 R+26.4
St. Louis City 104,235 79.5% 20,832 15.9% 6,124 131,191 D+63.6
Greene 42,728 33.1% 78,035 60.4% 8,468 129,231 R+27.3
Clay 45,304 41.1% 57,476 52.2% 7,396 110,176 R+11.0
Jefferson 31,568 29.7% 69,036 65.0% 5,634 106,238 R+35.3
Boone 41,125 49.0% 36,200 43.2% 6,543 83,868 D+5.9
Cass 14,846 29.1% 33,098 64.9% 3,046 50,990 R+35.8
Franklin 12,341 24.6% 35,430 70.7% 2,342 50,113 R+46.1
Platte 20,057 41.0% 25,933 53.0% 2,895 48,885 R+12.0
Jasper 10,572 21.9% 35,070 72.6% 2,684 48,326 R+50.7
Christian 8,508 20.5% 30,946 74.5% 2,077 41,531 R+54.0
Cole 10,913 29.2% 24,616 65.9% 1,845 37,374 R+36.7
Cape Girardeau 8,492 22.9% 27,017 72.9% 1,529 37,038 R+50.0
Buchanan 12,013 33.7% 21,320 59.8% 2,326 35,659 R+26.1
Newton 4,990 18.8% 20,553 77.2% 1,063 26,606 R+58.5
Lincoln 5,575 22.3% 18,159 72.7% 1,228 24,962 R+50.4
St. Francois 6,250 25.3% 17,468 70.6% 1,010 24,728 R+45.4
Taney 4,373 18.6% 18,276 77.7% 866 23,515 R+59.1
Camden 4,768 21.2% 16,944 75.3% 802 22,514 R+54.1
Johnson 5,930 28.1% 13,719 64.9% 1,483 21,132 R+36.9
Callaway 4,989 26.0% 13,057 68.0% 1,147 19,193 R+42.0
Phelps 4,766 25.7% 12,709 68.5% 1,078 18,553 R+42.8
Pettis 4,324 23.9% 12,810 70.7% 977 18,111 R+46.9
Howell 2,881 16.5% 13,893 79.6% 681 17,455 R+63.1
Butler 3,036 17.6% 13,650 79.1% 573 17,259 R+61.5
Scott 3,575 20.7% 13,168 76.3% 513 17,256 R+55.6
Webster 3,177 19.0% 12,840 76.7% 726 16,743 R+57.7
Lawrence 2,901 17.4% 13,089 78.3% 725 16,715 R+61.0
Stone 2,887 17.4% 13,158 79.4% 522 16,567 R+62.0
Laclede 2,553 15.9% 12,881 80.3% 617 16,051 R+64.3
Lafayette 4,053 25.5% 10,988 69.2% 835 15,876 R+43.7
Warren 3,915 24.8% 11,111 70.4% 758 15,784 R+45.6
Barry 2,710 18.6% 11,428 78.2% 467 14,605 R+59.7
Polk 2,631 19.1% 10,438 75.8% 694 13,763 R+56.7
Pulaski 2,922 21.7% 9,876 73.2% 690 13,488 R+51.6
Stoddard 1,876 14.1% 11,079 83.4% 336 13,291 R+69.2
Marion 2,994 23.1% 9,419 72.8% 525 12,938 R+49.7
Miller 1,750 15.3% 9,285 81.3% 381 11,416 R+66.0
Texas 1,728 15.8% 8,875 81.0% 353 10,956 R+65.2
Ray 3,090 28.4% 7,104 65.4% 675 10,869 R+36.9
Dunklin 2,360 22.3% 8,026 75.9% 192 10,578 R+53.6
Randolph 2,283 22.1% 7,529 73.0% 497 10,309 R+50.9
Adair 3,500 34.2% 6,030 59.0% 696 10,226 R+24.7
Clinton 2,572 25.2% 7,067 69.2% 569 10,208 R+44.0
Audrain 2,570 25.5% 6,981 69.4% 510 10,061 R+43.8
Henry 2,357 23.9% 7,075 71.7% 434 9,866 R+47.8
Crawford 1,824 18.8% 7,724 79.7% 148 9,696 R+60.8
Nodaway 2,529 26.7% 6,380 67.5% 549 9,458 R+40.7
Benton 2,025 21.7% 7,213 77.5% 74 9,312 R+55.7
Washington 1,926 20.7% 7,048 75.9% 308 9,282 R+55.2
Saline 2,789 30.1% 5,977 64.4% 508 9,274 R+34.4
Andrew 2,045 22.4% 6,665 72.9% 430 9,140 R+50.5
Morgan 1,768 20.0% 6,760 76.6% 293 8,821 R+56.6
Perry 1,520 17.4% 6,908 79.0% 312 8,740 R+61.6
Vernon 1,707 19.9% 6,533 76.0% 359 8,599 R+56.1
Ste. Genevieve 2,542 30.0% 5,496 64.9% 431 8,469 R+34.9
McDonald 1,329 16.1% 6,599 80.1% 314 8,242 R+63.9
Wright 1,170 14.4% 6,707 82.6% 242 8,119 R+68.2
Bates 1,618 20.2% 6,001 74.8% 404 8,023 R+54.6
Cooper 1,932 24.2% 5,624 70.4% 430 7,986 R+46.2
Macon 1,548 20.3% 5,798 76.1% 275 7,621 R+55.8
Dallas 1,272 17.1% 5,895 79.1% 286 7,453 R+62.0
Gasconade 1,520 20.4% 5,670 76.2% 255 7,445 R+55.7
Pike 1,806 24.5% 5,274 71.4% 302 7,382 R+47.0
New Madrid 1,933 26.3% 5,270 71.6% 154 7,357 R+45.4
Osage 998 14.1% 5,856 82.6% 236 7,090 R+68.5
Moniteau 1,237 18.1% 5,347 78.3% 246 6,830 R+60.2
Dent 978 14.4% 5,600 82.5% 213 6,791 R+68.1
Douglas 984 14.8% 5,486 82.3% 196 6,666 R+67.5
Livingston 1,265 19.7% 4,879 76.0% 277 6,421 R+56.3
Cedar 1,011 16.1% 5,021 79.9% 256 6,288 R+63.8
Pemiscot 1,947 32.3% 3,964 65.8% 116 6,027 R+33.5
Barton 795 13.4% 4,959 83.5% 185 5,939 R+70.1
Bollinger 705 12.4% 4,827 85.0% 144 5,676 R+72.6
Wayne 948 16.8% 4,658 82.4% 49 5,655 R+65.6
Linn 1,240 22.2% 4,088 73.2% 259 5,587 R+51.0
Ripley 830 15.0% 4,522 81.9% 172 5,524 R+66.8
Montgomery 1,119 20.6% 4,127 76.0% 183 5,429 R+55.4
Madison 1,005 18.9% 4,102 77.1% 214 5,321 R+58.2
Ralls 1,138 21.6% 3,969 75.4% 159 5,266 R+53.8
Mississippi 1,458 28.2% 3,600 69.6% 111 5,169 R+41.4
Howard 1,283 26.4% 3,277 67.3% 308 4,868 R+41.0
Hickory 1,016 21.5% 3,542 75.0% 166 4,724 R+53.5
Oregon 865 18.5% 3,671 78.6% 132 4,668 R+60.1
St. Clair 936 20.2% 3,501 75.6% 193 4,630 R+55.4
DeKalb 824 17.9% 3,540 77.1% 230 4,594 R+59.1
Ozark 724 16.1% 3,639 80.8% 142 4,505 R+64.7
Maries 794 17.6% 3,561 79.1% 145 4,500 R+61.5
Lewis 934 21.0% 3,344 75.0% 178 4,456 R+54.1
Carroll 745 17.1% 3,480 79.8% 136 4,361 R+62.7
Caldwell 838 19.4% 3,232 75.0% 242 4,312 R+55.5
Grundy 780 18.1% 3,462 80.3% 68 4,310 R+62.2
Iron 933 21.9% 3,173 74.3% 163 4,269 R+52.5
Monroe 853 20.5% 3,159 76.0% 144 4,156 R+55.5
Chariton 888 22.4% 2,950 74.3% 131 3,969 R+52.0
Dade 637 16.1% 3,184 80.6% 130 3,951 R+64.5
Shannon 776 19.9% 2,966 76.0% 162 3,904 R+56.1
Harrison 574 15.6% 2,965 80.4% 150 3,689 R+64.8
Daviess 730 20.3% 2,767 77.0% 96 3,593 R+56.7
Shelby 606 18.6% 2,524 77.5% 125 3,255 R+58.9
Clark 724 22.5% 2,458 76.5% 33 3,215 R+53.9
Gentry 605 19.9% 2,304 75.7% 134 3,043 R+55.8
Reynolds 540 17.8% 2,406 79.2% 92 3,038 R+61.4
Carter 436 15.3% 2,324 81.7% 84 2,844 R+66.4
Atchison 541 19.9% 2,060 75.6% 123 2,724 R+55.8
Sullivan 526 21.2% 1,884 75.8% 76 2,486 R+54.6
Holt 347 14.7% 1,926 81.8% 82 2,355 R+67.0
Putnam 353 15.0% 1,936 82.5% 57 2,346 R+67.5
Scotland 365 18.5% 1,525 77.5% 78 1,968 R+58.9
Schuyler 354 18.3% 1,505 77.7% 77 1,936 R+59.5
Knox 379 20.3% 1,416 75.7% 75 1,870 R+55.5
Mercer 216 12.4% 1,486 85.2% 43 1,745 R+72.8
Worth 195 18.6% 808 77.2% 43 1,046 R+58.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+18.4
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+15.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+18.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+9.4
2008 John McCain (R) R+0.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+7.2
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+3.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+4.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.8
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+1.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.1
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.5
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+1.6
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+16.6
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.9
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+4.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+28.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+11.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+11.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+17.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+0.1
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+3.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+5.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+8.7
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+7.5
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+13.7
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+16.3
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+13.9