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United States · Election results history · 2016 president · New Mexico
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in New Mexico

Hillary Clinton (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in New Mexico in 2016, 48.3% to 40.0%, a margin of 8.2 points and 65,567 votes.

New Mexico voted 6.1 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Democratic hold continued from 2012, when Barack Obama won.

Republicans led in 19 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 14. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 274,662 votes and went to the Democrat by 17.7 points. The closest was Hidalgo, where 126 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Hillary Clinton won Democratic 385,234 48.3%
Donald Trump Republican 319,667 40.0%
Gary Johnson Libertarian 74,541 9.3%
All other candidates 18,877 2.4%
Total798,319

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 143,417 52.2% 94,698 34.5% 36,547 274,662 D+17.7
Santa Fe 50,793 71.1% 14,332 20.1% 6,309 71,434 D+51.0
Dona Ana 37,947 53.7% 25,374 35.9% 7,327 70,648 D+17.8
Sandoval 27,707 44.9% 25,905 42.0% 8,078 61,690 D+2.9
San Juan 12,865 27.9% 27,946 60.6% 5,299 46,110 R+32.7
Valencia 10,841 39.3% 13,215 47.9% 3,536 27,592 R+8.6
McKinley 13,576 62.6% 5,104 23.5% 3,023 21,703 D+39.0
Chaves 5,534 27.3% 12,872 63.5% 1,865 20,271 R+36.2
Otero 6,124 30.5% 11,887 59.3% 2,049 20,060 R+28.7
Eddy 5,033 25.6% 13,147 66.8% 1,487 19,667 R+41.3
Lea 3,930 22.2% 12,495 70.5% 1,287 17,712 R+48.4
Taos 10,668 69.9% 2,727 17.9% 1,865 15,260 D+52.0
Rio Arriba 9,592 64.5% 3,599 24.2% 1,687 14,878 D+40.3
Curry 3,121 23.3% 9,035 67.6% 1,214 13,370 R+44.2
Grant 6,276 49.0% 5,288 41.3% 1,247 12,811 D+7.7
Los Alamos 5,562 51.1% 3,359 30.9% 1,964 10,885 D+20.2
San Miguel 7,285 67.8% 2,313 21.5% 1,153 10,751 D+46.2
Lincoln 2,331 26.2% 5,896 66.2% 675 8,902 R+40.0
Cibola 3,741 46.4% 3,195 39.6% 1,127 8,063 D+6.8
Luna 3,195 43.8% 3,478 47.7% 622 7,295 R+3.9
Socorro 3,313 48.2% 2,616 38.1% 939 6,868 D+10.1
Torrance 1,785 28.2% 3,714 58.7% 825 6,324 R+30.5
Roosevelt 1,454 24.4% 3,884 65.3% 612 5,950 R+40.8
Colfax 2,129 39.9% 2,585 48.5% 618 5,332 R+8.6
Sierra 1,612 31.1% 3,010 58.1% 559 5,181 R+27.0
Quay 1,017 28.5% 2,212 61.9% 343 3,572 R+33.5
Mora 1,536 62.9% 665 27.2% 240 2,441 D+35.7
Catron 427 20.8% 1,464 71.4% 158 2,049 R+50.6
Hidalgo 784 41.9% 910 48.6% 178 1,872 R+6.7
Guadalupe 970 53.1% 595 32.6% 262 1,827 D+20.5
Union 320 18.8% 1,216 71.4% 166 1,702 R+52.6
De Baca 193 21.2% 620 68.1% 97 910 R+46.9
Harding 156 29.6% 311 59.0% 60 527 R+29.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+6.0
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.8
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+8.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+10.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.8
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+8.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.2
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+13.5
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+26.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+10.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.5