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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in New Mexico

New Mexico elected 3 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 1.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 24.8 points: Ben Ray Luján (Democrat) beat Michael H. Romero (Republican), 62.4% to 37.6%, a margin of 24.8 points and 67,882 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 21 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 12. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 267,471 votes and went to the Democrat by 30.5 points. The closest was Torrance, where 20 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Michelle Lujan Grisham181,088 (65.1%) Richard Gregory Priem96,879 (34.9%) D+30.3
2 Merrie Lee Soules85,232 (37.2%) Stevan Pearce143,515 (62.7%) 70 R+25.5
3 Ben Ray Luján170,612 (62.4%) Michael H. Romero102,730 (37.6%) D+24.8

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 174,552 65.3% 92,919 34.7% 267,471 D+30.5
Santa Fe 54,858 78.3% 15,196 21.7% 70,054 D+56.6
Dona Ana 36,362 52.7% 32,680 47.3% 69,042 D+5.3
Sandoval 33,708 55.7% 26,814 44.3% 60,522 D+11.4
San Juan 17,993 39.9% 27,083 60.1% 45,076 R+20.2
Valencia 10,778 39.8% 16,288 60.2% 27,066 R+20.4
McKinley 15,593 73.6% 5,583 26.4% 21,176 D+47.3
Chaves 4,929 24.8% 14,923 75.2% 19,852 R+50.3
Otero 5,580 28.5% 13,991 71.5% 19,571 R+43.0
Eddy 4,324 22.5% 14,882 77.5% 19,206 R+55.0
Lea 2,884 16.7% 14,430 83.3% 17,314 R+66.7
Taos 12,123 80.7% 2,903 19.3% 15,026 D+61.4
Rio Arriba 11,594 78.9% 3,093 21.1% 14,687 D+57.9
Curry 4,318 33.2% 8,681 66.8% 12,999 R+33.6
Grant 6,194 49.3% 6,374 50.7% 12,568 R+1.4
Los Alamos 6,514 61.1% 4,151 38.9% 10,665 D+22.2
San Miguel 8,449 79.9% 2,124 20.1% 10,573 D+59.8
Lincoln 2,192 25.1% 6,549 74.9% 8,741 R+49.8
Cibola 2,945 37.3% 4,944 62.7% 7,889 R+25.3
Luna 2,757 39.3% 4,255 60.7% 7,012 R+21.4
Socorro 2,728 40.8% 3,953 59.2% 6,681 R+18.3
Torrance 3,134 50.2% 3,114 49.8% 6,248 D+0.3
Roosevelt 1,707 29.4% 4,099 70.6% 5,806 R+41.2
Colfax 2,999 57.0% 2,260 43.0% 5,259 D+14.1
Sierra 1,640 32.2% 3,454 67.8% 5,094 R+35.6
Quay 1,555 44.6% 1,933 55.4% 3,488 R+10.8
Mora 1,789 74.4% 614 25.6% 2,403 D+48.9
Catron 469 23.4% 1,538 76.6% 2,007 R+53.3
Hidalgo 652 36.0% 1,161 64.0% 1,813 R+28.1
Guadalupe 698 39.9% 1,050 60.1% 1,748 R+20.1
Union 524 31.2% 1,155 68.8% 1,679 R+37.6
De Baca 162 18.5% 715 81.5% 877 R+63.1
Harding 228 44.4% 285 55.6% 513 R+11.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2022 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2020 D 2, R 1 D+9.7
2018 D 3, R 0 D+20.1
2016 D 2, R 1 D+12.0
2014 D 2, R 1 D+6.0
2012 D 2, R 1 D+10.3
2010 D 2, R 1 D+3.2
2008 D 3, R 0 D+16.7
2006 D 1, R 2 D+11.6
2004 D 1, R 2 D+3.6
2002 D 1, R 2 D+19.8
2000 D 1, R 2 D+4.4
1998 D 1, R 2 R+3.6
1996 D 1, R 2 D+1.9
1994 D 1, R 2 R+16.5
1992 D 1, R 2 R+0.9
1990 D 1, R 2 R+19.0