United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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2024 US House elections in New Mexico

New Mexico elected 3 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 0.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 4.2 points: Gabe Vasquez (Democrat) beat Yvette Herrell (Republican), 52.1% to 47.9%, a margin of 4.2 points and 11,032 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 18 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 15. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 300,694 votes and went to the Democrat by 22.0 points. The closest was Colfax, where 30 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Melanie Stansbury193,203 (56.4%) Steve Jones149,546 (43.6%) D+12.7
2 Gabe Vasquez138,177 (52.1%) Yvette Herrell127,145 (47.9%) D+4.2
3 Teresa Leger Fernandez162,342 (56.3%) Sharon Clahchischilliage126,085 (43.7%) D+12.6

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 183,413 61.0% 117,281 39.0% 300,694 D+22.0
Dona Ana 48,358 57.8% 35,361 42.2% 83,719 D+15.5
Santa Fe 63,072 77.1% 18,707 22.9% 81,779 D+54.2
Sandoval 41,359 53.3% 36,243 46.7% 77,602 D+6.6
San Juan 17,152 33.5% 34,040 66.5% 51,192 R+33.0
Valencia 14,417 44.3% 18,121 55.7% 32,538 R+11.4
McKinley 16,547 66.3% 8,426 33.7% 24,973 D+32.5
Otero 9,159 38.8% 14,444 61.2% 23,603 R+22.4
Eddy 5,924 25.9% 16,922 74.1% 22,846 R+48.1
Chaves 6,788 31.9% 14,509 68.1% 21,297 R+36.3
Lea 4,609 22.7% 15,684 77.3% 20,293 R+54.6
Taos 12,902 79.8% 3,274 20.2% 16,176 D+59.5
Rio Arriba 10,776 70.5% 4,518 29.5% 15,294 D+40.9
Curry 4,639 31.9% 9,904 68.1% 14,543 R+36.2
Grant 7,766 55.6% 6,200 44.4% 13,966 D+11.2
Los Alamos 7,664 64.2% 4,282 35.8% 11,946 D+28.3
San Miguel 8,015 74.2% 2,792 25.8% 10,807 D+48.3
Lincoln 3,071 31.1% 6,815 68.9% 9,886 R+37.9
Cibola 4,883 55.8% 3,872 44.2% 8,755 D+11.5
Luna 3,653 46.7% 4,171 53.3% 7,824 R+6.6
Socorro 3,688 52.1% 3,395 47.9% 7,083 D+4.1
Torrance 2,280 32.5% 4,741 67.5% 7,021 R+35.1
Roosevelt 2,014 31.2% 4,440 68.8% 6,454 R+37.6
Sierra 2,456 42.2% 3,370 57.8% 5,826 R+15.7
Colfax 2,860 50.3% 2,830 49.7% 5,690 D+0.5
Quay 1,219 34.7% 2,296 65.3% 3,515 R+30.6
Mora 1,741 72.7% 655 27.3% 2,396 D+45.3
Catron 612 26.7% 1,676 73.3% 2,288 R+46.5
Hidalgo 776 42.9% 1,032 57.1% 1,808 R+14.2
Guadalupe 1,027 57.4% 762 42.6% 1,789 D+14.8
Union 464 29.2% 1,125 70.8% 1,589 R+41.6
De Baca 215 25.9% 614 74.1% 829 R+48.1
Harding 155 37.9% 254 62.1% 409 R+24.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2022 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2020 D 2, R 1 D+9.7
2018 D 3, R 0 D+20.1
2016 D 2, R 1 D+12.0
2014 D 2, R 1 D+6.0
2012 D 2, R 1 D+10.3
2010 D 2, R 1 D+3.2
2008 D 3, R 0 D+16.7
2006 D 1, R 2 D+11.6
2004 D 1, R 2 D+3.6
2002 D 1, R 2 D+19.8
2000 D 1, R 2 D+4.4
1998 D 1, R 2 R+3.6
1996 D 1, R 2 D+1.9
1994 D 1, R 2 R+16.5
1992 D 1, R 2 R+0.9
1990 D 1, R 2 R+19.0