United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in New Jersey

New Jersey elected 12 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 9 seats and Republicans 3.

The closest was the 9th district, decided by 4.9 points: Nellie Pou (Democrat) beat Billy Prempeh (Republican), 50.8% to 45.9%, a margin of 4.9 points and 12,575 votes.

In the House vote by county, Democrats led in 11 of the 21 counties and Republicans in 10. The largest, Bergen, cast 529,826 votes and went to the Democrat by 9.5 points. The closest was Morris, where 1,612 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Donald Norcross208,808 (57.8%) Teddy Liddell144,390 (40.0%) 7,862 D+17.8
2 Joe Salerno153,117 (41.2%) Jeff Van Drew215,946 (58.1%) 2,557 R+16.9
3 Herb Conaway202,034 (53.2%) Rajesh Mohan169,454 (44.7%) 7,996 D+8.6
4 Matthew Jenkins124,803 (31.7%) Chris Smith265,652 (67.4%) 3,773 R+35.7
5 Josh Gottheimer208,359 (54.6%) Mary Jo Guinchard165,287 (43.3%) 8,243 D+11.3
6 Frank Pallone170,275 (56.1%) Scott Fegler122,519 (40.3%) 10,887 D+15.7
7 Sue Altman200,025 (46.4%) Tom Kean Jr.223,331 (51.8%) 8,042 R+5.4
8 Rob Menendez115,718 (59.0%) Anthony Valdes67,545 (34.4%) 12,992 D+24.6
9 Nellie Pou130,514 (50.8%) Billy Prempeh117,939 (45.9%) 8,560 D+4.9
10 LaMonica McIver182,020 (74.4%) Carmen Bucco54,405 (22.2%) 8,152 D+52.2
11 Mikie Sherrill222,583 (56.5%) Joseph Belnome164,556 (41.8%) 6,612 D+14.7
12 Bonnie Watson Coleman196,871 (61.2%) Darius Mayfield117,222 (36.4%) 7,567 D+24.8

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bergen 288,368 54.4% 237,776 44.9% 3,682 529,826 D+9.5
Middlesex 197,854 56.0% 142,308 40.3% 13,098 353,260 D+15.7
Ocean 93,899 29.5% 221,668 69.7% 2,561 318,128 R+40.2
Essex 218,216 73.4% 74,054 24.9% 5,167 297,437 D+48.5
Morris 134,463 50.2% 132,851 49.6% 509 267,823 D+0.6
Monmouth 111,197 43.3% 139,026 54.2% 6,436 256,659 R+10.8
Camden 145,494 60.3% 87,859 36.4% 7,770 241,123 D+23.9
Union 131,680 60.8% 81,661 37.7% 3,139 216,480 D+23.1
Hudson 120,505 61.2% 62,710 31.8% 13,778 196,993 D+29.3
Somerset 97,209 55.3% 76,450 43.5% 2,196 175,855 D+11.8
Gloucester 76,848 48.3% 82,050 51.5% 279 159,177 R+3.3
Passaic 56,276 44.7% 50,962 40.5% 18,695 125,933 D+4.2
Atlantic 56,007 45.5% 66,236 53.8% 889 123,132 R+8.3
Hunterdon 35,049 45.2% 42,423 54.7% 91 77,563 R+9.5
Warren 22,456 34.3% 35,428 54.1% 7,596 65,480 R+19.8
Mercer 44,696 75.6% 12,312 20.8% 2,140 59,148 D+54.8
Cumberland 24,066 45.4% 28,336 53.4% 627 53,029 R+8.1
Cape May 19,155 36.3% 33,347 63.2% 233 52,735 R+26.9
Sussex 19,695 38.0% 31,899 61.5% 270 51,864 R+23.5
Salem 11,733 38.1% 18,602 60.4% 453 30,788 R+22.3
Burlington 6,468 58.0% 0 0.0% 4,682 11,150 D+58.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Jersey in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 9, R 3 D+7.1
2022 D 9, R 3 D+9.8
2020 D 10, R 2 D+15.7
2018 D 11, R 1 D+21.2
2016 D 7, R 5 D+8.1
2014 D 6, R 6 D+2.0
2012 D 6, R 6 D+11.1
2010 D 7, R 6 R+1.4
2008 D 8, R 5 D+13.1
2006 D 7, R 6 D+14.3
2004 D 7, R 6 D+6.3
2002 D 7, R 6 D+4.8
2000 D 7, R 6 D+5.0
1998 D 7, R 6 D+2.4
1996 D 6, R 7 R+1.7
1994 D 5, R 8 R+10.5
1992 D 7, R 6 R+5.0
1990 D 8, R 6 R+4.1