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United States · Election results history · 2024 House · Montana
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in Montana

Montana elected 2 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 0 seats and Republicans 2.

The closest was the 1st district, decided by 7.7 points: Ryan Zinke (Republican) beat Monica Tranel (Democrat), 52.3% to 44.6%, a margin of 7.7 points and 24,746 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 50 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 79,973 votes and went to the Republican by 30.3 points. The closest was Blaine, where 77 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Monica Tranel143,783 (44.6%) Ryan Zinke168,529 (52.3%) 9,954 R+7.7
2 John Driscoll93,713 (33.9%) Troy Downing181,832 (65.7%) 1,107 R+31.9

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 27,859 34.8% 52,114 65.2% 79,973 R+30.3
Missoula 44,611 61.2% 26,195 35.9% 2,066 72,872 D+25.3
Gallatin 36,178 51.8% 31,673 45.4% 1,983 69,834 D+6.5
Flathead 20,801 32.9% 40,681 64.3% 1,764 63,246 R+31.4
Lewis and Clark 18,845 45.9% 22,256 54.1% 41,101 R+8.3
Cascade 13,692 37.3% 23,034 62.7% 36,726 R+25.4
Ravalli 9,062 30.3% 19,972 66.8% 873 29,907 R+36.5
Silver Bow 10,057 55.1% 7,395 40.5% 806 18,258 D+14.6
Lake 6,909 40.8% 9,520 56.2% 517 16,946 R+15.4
Lincoln 2,756 23.5% 8,534 72.6% 460 11,750 R+49.2
Park 5,255 45.8% 6,230 54.2% 11,485 R+8.5
Jefferson 2,506 30.6% 5,685 69.4% 8,191 R+38.8
Sanders 1,854 23.0% 5,886 73.0% 319 8,059 R+50.0
Carbon 2,314 32.0% 4,919 68.0% 7,233 R+36.0
Hill 2,719 41.1% 3,904 58.9% 6,623 R+17.9
Fergus 1,482 22.4% 5,132 77.6% 6,614 R+55.2
Madison 1,751 27.1% 4,508 69.7% 205 6,464 R+42.7
Stillwater 1,042 17.8% 4,804 82.2% 5,846 R+64.4
Beaverhead 1,642 28.3% 3,987 68.6% 179 5,808 R+40.4
Custer 1,374 24.2% 4,293 75.8% 5,667 R+51.5
Richland 782 15.2% 4,372 84.8% 5,154 R+69.7
Glacier 3,131 61.4% 1,779 34.9% 186 5,096 D+26.5
Deer Lodge 2,590 53.1% 2,092 42.9% 197 4,879 D+10.2
Broadwater 886 18.8% 3,833 81.2% 4,719 R+62.4
Dawson 860 19.2% 3,628 80.8% 4,488 R+61.7
Big Horn 2,305 52.1% 2,115 47.9% 4,420 D+4.3
Valley 951 23.9% 3,030 76.1% 3,981 R+52.2
Roosevelt 1,864 48.5% 1,980 51.5% 3,844 R+3.0
Rosebud 1,163 31.9% 2,484 68.1% 3,647 R+36.2
Teton 923 26.3% 2,592 73.7% 3,515 R+47.5
Powell 757 23.1% 2,371 72.4% 149 3,277 R+49.3
Musselshell 388 13.1% 2,574 86.9% 2,962 R+73.8
Blaine 1,414 48.7% 1,491 51.3% 2,905 R+2.7
Chouteau 909 31.7% 1,963 68.3% 2,872 R+36.7
Mineral 748 26.4% 1,950 68.8% 136 2,834 R+42.4
Pondera 780 27.8% 1,996 71.2% 29 2,805 R+43.4
Sweet Grass 521 22.1% 1,833 77.9% 2,354 R+55.7
Granite 630 28.9% 1,463 67.2% 85 2,178 R+38.2
Phillips 364 16.8% 1,797 83.2% 2,161 R+66.3
Toole 406 20.2% 1,601 79.8% 2,007 R+59.5
Sheridan 481 26.4% 1,340 73.6% 1,821 R+47.2
Fallon 156 10.7% 1,299 89.3% 1,455 R+78.6
Judith Basin 248 18.5% 1,091 81.5% 1,339 R+63.0
Meagher 239 20.6% 922 79.4% 1,161 R+58.8
Powder River 127 11.7% 959 88.3% 1,086 R+76.6
Wheatland 196 18.3% 873 81.7% 1,069 R+63.3
McCone 132 12.5% 928 87.5% 1,060 R+75.1
Liberty 207 21.3% 767 78.7% 974 R+57.5
Daniels 150 16.1% 780 83.9% 930 R+67.7
Carter 65 7.7% 774 92.3% 839 R+84.5
Garfield 33 4.3% 737 95.7% 770 R+91.4
Prairie 113 16.8% 560 83.2% 673 R+66.4
Wibaux 70 13.2% 459 86.8% 529 R+73.5
Golden Valley 70 13.5% 448 86.5% 518 R+73.0
Treasure 59 13.4% 381 86.6% 440 R+73.2
Petroleum 36 11.1% 289 88.9% 325 R+77.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 0, R 2 R+18.8
2022 D 0, R 2 R+18.6
2020 D 0, R 1 R+12.8
2018 D 0, R 1 R+4.6
2016 D 0, R 1 R+15.6
2014 D 0, R 1 R+15.0
2012 D 0, R 1 R+10.5
2010 D 0, R 1 R+26.6
2008 D 0, R 1 R+31.7
2006 D 0, R 1 R+19.7
2004 D 0, R 1 R+31.6
2002 D 0, R 1 R+32.0
2000 D 0, R 1 R+5.2
1998 D 0, R 1 R+8.6
1996 D 0, R 1 R+9.3
1994 D 1, R 0 D+6.4
1992 D 1, R 0 D+3.5
1990 D 1, R 1 R+1.0