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United States · Election results history · 2022 House · Montana
Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Montana

Montana elected 2 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 0 seats and Republicans 2.

The closest was the 1st district, decided by 3.2 points: Ryan Zinke (Republican) beat Monica Tranel (Democrat), 49.6% to 46.5%, a margin of 3.2 points and 7,837 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 51 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 60,779 votes and went to the Republican by 31.8 points. The closest was Petroleum, where 194 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Monica Tranel115,265 (46.5%) Ryan Zinke123,102 (49.6%) 9,593 R+3.2
2 Penny Ronning43,480 (20.2%) Matt Rosendale121,979 (56.6%) 50,213 R+36.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 12,999 21.4% 32,351 53.2% 15,429 60,779 R+31.8
Missoula 35,991 63.7% 18,846 33.3% 1,703 56,540 D+30.3
Gallatin 28,747 54.4% 22,288 42.2% 1,810 52,845 D+12.2
Flathead 16,571 34.7% 29,290 61.4% 1,864 47,725 R+26.7
Lewis and Clark 7,422 22.3% 14,237 42.7% 11,664 33,323 R+20.5
Cascade 6,638 22.8% 15,634 53.8% 6,807 29,079 R+30.9
Ravalli 7,523 31.9% 15,158 64.3% 886 23,567 R+32.4
Silver Bow 8,434 59.6% 5,048 35.7% 665 14,147 D+23.9
Lake 5,388 40.5% 7,389 55.5% 541 13,318 R+15.0
Lincoln 2,200 23.6% 6,687 71.6% 446 9,333 R+48.1
Park 2,487 27.6% 4,236 47.0% 2,294 9,017 R+19.4
Sanders 1,615 24.4% 4,549 68.7% 460 6,624 R+44.3
Jefferson 1,031 15.9% 3,752 57.9% 1,696 6,479 R+42.0
Carbon 1,030 17.7% 3,294 56.5% 1,509 5,833 R+38.8
Fergus 619 11.4% 3,808 70.2% 998 5,425 R+58.8
Hill 1,463 28.5% 2,703 52.6% 975 5,141 R+24.1
Madison 1,483 29.5% 3,290 65.4% 258 5,031 R+35.9
Custer 848 18.6% 2,959 64.9% 754 4,561 R+46.3
Stillwater 488 10.8% 3,214 71.0% 826 4,528 R+60.2
Beaverhead 1,330 29.4% 3,004 66.4% 193 4,527 R+37.0
Deer Lodge 2,256 56.7% 1,510 38.0% 212 3,978 D+18.8
Richland 530 14.1% 2,941 78.3% 283 3,754 R+64.2
Dawson 524 14.7% 2,583 72.7% 447 3,554 R+57.9
Broadwater 399 11.6% 2,417 70.5% 614 3,430 R+58.8
Big Horn 1,214 37.4% 1,476 45.5% 556 3,246 R+8.1
Valley 512 15.9% 2,217 68.9% 491 3,220 R+53.0
Glacier 1,748 56.9% 1,213 39.5% 111 3,072 D+17.4
Teton 479 16.5% 1,917 65.9% 514 2,910 R+49.4
Rosebud 516 19.1% 1,747 64.6% 443 2,706 R+45.5
Roosevelt 969 37.6% 1,396 54.2% 213 2,578 R+16.6
Powell 639 24.8% 1,762 68.5% 172 2,573 R+43.6
Pondera 442 19.1% 1,542 66.5% 336 2,320 R+47.4
Chouteau 395 17.2% 1,463 63.9% 432 2,290 R+46.6
Musselshell 183 8.1% 1,793 79.4% 283 2,259 R+71.3
Mineral 580 26.6% 1,458 66.8% 146 2,184 R+40.2
Sweet Grass 205 11.0% 1,276 68.6% 380 1,861 R+57.5
Blaine 587 31.6% 1,040 56.1% 228 1,855 R+24.4
Granite 533 29.9% 1,149 64.5% 100 1,782 R+34.6
Phillips 203 11.6% 1,376 78.4% 176 1,755 R+66.8
Toole 194 11.7% 1,212 73.1% 251 1,657 R+61.4
Sheridan 353 21.9% 1,097 68.1% 161 1,611 R+46.2
Fallon 94 7.6% 1,053 84.9% 94 1,241 R+77.3
Judith Basin 127 11.6% 784 71.7% 183 1,094 R+60.1
McCone 92 9.9% 770 83.1% 65 927 R+73.1
Liberty 117 12.8% 660 72.0% 140 917 R+59.2
Meagher 89 9.7% 628 68.8% 196 913 R+59.0
Powder River 62 6.9% 724 80.5% 113 899 R+73.6
Wheatland 84 10.0% 576 68.5% 181 841 R+58.5
Daniels 80 10.5% 601 79.0% 80 761 R+68.5
Carter 37 4.9% 663 87.4% 59 759 R+82.5
Garfield 18 2.7% 586 89.1% 54 658 R+86.3
Prairie 72 11.8% 467 76.7% 70 609 R+64.9
Golden Valley 37 8.3% 348 78.0% 61 446 R+69.7
Wibaux 33 7.5% 357 81.3% 49 439 R+73.8
Treasure 22 5.2% 307 72.7% 93 422 R+67.5
Petroleum 13 4.5% 235 81.3% 41 289 R+76.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 0, R 2 R+18.8
2022 D 0, R 2 R+18.6
2020 D 0, R 1 R+12.8
2018 D 0, R 1 R+4.6
2016 D 0, R 1 R+15.6
2014 D 0, R 1 R+15.0
2012 D 0, R 1 R+10.5
2010 D 0, R 1 R+26.6
2008 D 0, R 1 R+31.7
2006 D 0, R 1 R+19.7
2004 D 0, R 1 R+31.6
2002 D 0, R 1 R+32.0
2000 D 0, R 1 R+5.2
1998 D 0, R 1 R+8.6
1996 D 0, R 1 R+9.3
1994 D 1, R 0 D+6.4
1992 D 1, R 0 D+3.5
1990 D 1, R 1 R+1.0