United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Iowa

Iowa elected 4 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 0 seats and Republicans 4.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 0.7 points: Zach Nunn (Republican) beat Cindy Axne (Democrat), 50.3% to 49.6%, a margin of 0.7 points and 2,145 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 94 of the 99 counties and Democrats in 5. The largest, Polk, cast 190,665 votes and went to the Democrat by 13.9 points. The closest was Jefferson, where 70 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Christina Bohannan142,173 (46.6%) Mariannette Miller-Meeks162,947 (53.4%) 260 R+6.8
2 Liz Mathis145,940 (45.8%) Ashley Hinson172,181 (54.1%) 278 R+8.2
3 Cindy Axne154,117 (49.6%) Zach Nunn156,262 (50.3%) 534 R+0.7
4 Ryan Melton84,230 (30.4%) Randy Feenstra186,467 (67.3%) 6,311 R+36.9

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Polk 108,401 56.9% 81,903 43.0% 361 190,665 D+13.9
Linn 51,725 55.2% 41,818 44.7% 102 93,645 D+10.6
Johnson 45,469 71.4% 18,120 28.5% 53 63,642 D+43.0
Scott 29,963 47.3% 33,380 52.7% 50 63,393 R+5.4
Black Hawk 24,345 51.6% 22,776 48.3% 51 47,172 D+3.3
Dallas 21,239 48.2% 22,814 51.7% 57 44,110 R+3.6
Dubuque 17,980 46.2% 20,884 53.7% 22 38,886 R+7.5
Story 19,628 53.8% 16,015 43.9% 847 36,490 D+9.9
Pottawattamie 10,310 35.9% 17,178 59.8% 1,242 28,730 R+23.9
Woodbury 9,601 33.8% 18,234 64.1% 594 28,429 R+30.4
Warren 9,517 40.3% 14,046 59.5% 25 23,588 R+19.2
Cerro Gordo 7,672 45.6% 9,137 54.3% 10 16,819 R+8.7
Clinton 7,059 42.0% 9,742 57.9% 12 16,813 R+16.0
Jasper 5,578 37.5% 9,292 62.4% 15 14,885 R+25.0
Marion 4,235 30.1% 9,842 69.8% 15 14,092 R+39.8
Sioux 1,281 9.1% 12,665 90.0% 131 14,077 R+80.9
Des Moines 5,756 42.7% 7,693 57.1% 17 13,466 R+14.4
Muscatine 5,406 41.1% 7,744 58.9% 8 13,158 R+17.8
Marshall 4,633 38.1% 7,256 59.7% 274 12,163 R+21.6
Webster 3,802 32.0% 7,826 65.9% 253 11,881 R+33.9
Lee 4,441 38.9% 6,970 61.0% 11 11,422 R+22.1
Benton 3,912 34.5% 7,428 65.5% 9 11,349 R+31.0
Bremer 4,428 40.2% 6,576 59.7% 6 11,010 R+19.5
Boone 4,070 37.1% 6,614 60.3% 278 10,962 R+23.2
Wapello 3,951 38.0% 6,438 61.9% 9 10,398 R+23.9
Plymouth 1,770 18.4% 7,734 80.2% 141 9,645 R+61.8
Winneshiek 4,445 46.4% 5,135 53.6% 5 9,585 R+7.2
Washington 3,290 37.9% 5,376 62.0% 4 8,670 R+24.1
Dickinson 2,190 26.6% 5,917 71.9% 128 8,235 R+45.3
Buchanan 3,128 38.3% 5,028 61.6% 9 8,165 R+23.3
Jones 3,123 38.4% 5,003 61.5% 4 8,130 R+23.1
Mahaska 1,865 23.4% 6,080 76.4% 9 7,954 R+53.0
Cedar 3,133 39.7% 4,762 60.3% 6 7,901 R+20.6
Carroll 1,871 23.8% 5,829 74.2% 160 7,860 R+50.4
Delaware 2,279 29.8% 5,356 70.1% 6 7,641 R+40.3
Jackson 2,732 36.0% 4,853 63.9% 5 7,590 R+27.9
Fayette 2,825 37.4% 4,714 62.5% 5 7,544 R+25.0
Madison 2,492 33.3% 4,984 66.6% 13 7,489 R+33.3
Poweshiek 3,135 41.9% 4,339 58.0% 9 7,483 R+16.1
Clayton 2,528 34.3% 4,844 65.7% 5 7,377 R+31.4
Iowa 2,596 35.4% 4,723 64.5% 6 7,325 R+29.0
Henry 2,183 31.8% 4,673 68.1% 2 6,858 R+36.3
Kossuth 1,668 25.1% 4,864 73.3% 101 6,633 R+48.2
Tama 2,408 36.4% 4,203 63.5% 5 6,616 R+27.1
Hardin 2,037 31.2% 4,486 68.8% 2 6,525 R+37.5
Jefferson 3,204 49.4% 3,274 50.5% 7 6,485 R+1.1
Clay 1,528 24.1% 4,692 74.1% 111 6,331 R+50.0
Butler 1,730 28.8% 4,279 71.2% 3 6,012 R+42.4
Allamakee 1,932 33.6% 3,820 66.4% 3 5,755 R+32.8
Floyd 2,304 40.5% 3,377 59.4% 4 5,685 R+18.9
Hamilton 1,654 29.5% 3,808 67.9% 150 5,612 R+38.4
Mills 1,508 27.3% 3,856 69.9% 154 5,518 R+42.6
Harrison 1,338 24.8% 3,891 72.2% 162 5,391 R+47.4
Grundy 1,505 28.0% 3,862 71.9% 5 5,372 R+43.9
O'Brien 811 15.3% 4,419 83.2% 82 5,312 R+67.9
Cass 1,602 30.8% 3,579 68.9% 12 5,193 R+38.1
Page 1,562 30.6% 3,534 69.3% 7 5,103 R+38.6
Guthrie 1,632 32.6% 3,359 67.2% 8 4,999 R+34.5
Buena Vista 1,316 26.3% 3,602 72.1% 78 4,996 R+45.8
Chickasaw 1,746 35.3% 3,199 64.6% 4 4,949 R+29.4
Lyon 523 10.6% 4,368 88.5% 46 4,937 R+77.9
Appanoose 1,412 30.3% 3,249 69.6% 6 4,667 R+39.4
Shelby 1,054 23.2% 3,385 74.5% 105 4,544 R+51.3
Union 1,611 35.9% 2,869 63.9% 13 4,493 R+28.0
Cherokee 975 21.9% 3,402 76.4% 75 4,452 R+54.5
Winnebago 1,303 30.1% 2,924 67.5% 102 4,329 R+37.4
Hancock 1,012 23.6% 3,190 74.2% 95 4,297 R+50.7
Crawford 918 21.4% 3,267 76.2% 104 4,289 R+54.8
Mitchell 1,481 35.1% 2,735 64.8% 6 4,222 R+29.7
Wright 1,082 25.8% 3,008 71.8% 100 4,190 R+46.0
Sac 777 20.1% 2,998 77.4% 96 3,871 R+57.4
Calhoun 883 23.1% 2,846 74.4% 96 3,825 R+51.3
Humboldt 784 20.7% 2,925 77.3% 73 3,782 R+56.6
Keokuk 990 26.3% 2,769 73.6% 3 3,762 R+47.3
Greene 1,307 36.7% 2,246 63.1% 7 3,560 R+26.4
Franklin 866 24.3% 2,630 73.9% 63 3,559 R+49.6
Palo Alto 867 24.4% 2,625 74.0% 57 3,549 R+49.5
Montgomery 1,155 32.9% 2,351 67.0% 3 3,509 R+34.1
Louisa 987 28.5% 2,480 71.5% 2 3,469 R+43.0
Lucas 995 29.1% 2,417 70.7% 5 3,417 R+41.6
Howard 1,206 35.9% 2,154 64.0% 3 3,363 R+28.2
Clarke 1,075 32.3% 2,250 67.6% 5 3,330 R+35.3
Emmet 823 25.0% 2,407 73.1% 62 3,292 R+48.1
Monona 792 24.6% 2,364 73.3% 70 3,226 R+48.7
Worth 1,189 36.9% 2,031 63.0% 4 3,224 R+26.1
Adair 973 31.0% 2,166 69.0% 2 3,141 R+38.0
Davis 813 27.6% 2,133 72.4% 2 2,948 R+44.8
Monroe 794 27.3% 2,106 72.5% 5 2,905 R+45.2
Pocahontas 537 19.3% 2,181 78.5% 61 2,779 R+59.2
Van Buren 646 23.3% 2,125 76.5% 6 2,777 R+53.3
Decatur 835 30.6% 1,890 69.2% 6 2,731 R+38.6
Ida 492 18.2% 2,169 80.3% 41 2,702 R+62.1
Fremont 659 26.1% 1,780 70.5% 86 2,525 R+44.4
Wayne 581 24.8% 1,753 74.9% 7 2,341 R+50.1
Audubon 633 27.2% 1,639 70.5% 52 2,324 R+43.3
Osceola 271 11.9% 1,959 86.3% 41 2,271 R+74.3
Taylor 577 25.8% 1,660 74.1% 3 2,240 R+48.3
Ringgold 600 29.5% 1,435 70.5% 2,035 R+41.0
Adams 510 31.1% 1,126 68.7% 3 1,639 R+37.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Iowa in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 0, R 4 R+13.0
2022 D 0, R 4 R+12.5
2020 D 1, R 3 R+5.9
2018 D 3, R 1 D+4.0
2016 D 1, R 3 R+9.2
2014 D 1, R 3 R+7.7
2012 D 2, R 2 D+3.0
2010 D 3, R 2 R+10.6
2008 D 3, R 2 D+4.1
2006 D 3, R 2 R+2.9
2004 D 1, R 4 R+13.6
2002 D 1, R 4 R+9.2
2000 D 1, R 4 R+14.6
1998 D 1, R 4 R+23.7
1996 D 1, R 4 R+9.8
1994 D 0, R 5 R+15.6
1992 D 1, R 4 R+19.0
1990 D 2, R 4 D+2.0