United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Virginia

Virginia elected 11 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 6 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 3.4 points: Jen Kiggans (Republican) beat Elaine Luria (Democrat), 51.6% to 48.2%, a margin of 3.4 points and 10,109 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 93 of the 133 counties and Democrats in 40. The largest, Fairfax, cast 406,708 votes and went to the Democrat by 34.2 points. The closest was Surry, where 5 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Herb Jones147,229 (43.0%) Rob Wittman191,828 (56.0%) 3,681 R+13.0
2 Elaine Luria143,219 (48.2%) Jen Kiggans153,328 (51.6%) 442 R+3.4
3 Bobby Scott139,659 (67.2%) Terry Namkung67,668 (32.6%) 516 D+34.6
4 Donald McEachin159,044 (64.9%) Leon Benjamin85,503 (34.9%) 425 D+30.0
5 Josh Throneburg129,996 (42.2%) Bob Good177,191 (57.6%) 588 R+15.3
6 Jennifer Lewis95,410 (35.4%) Ben Cline173,352 (64.4%) 469 R+29.0
7 Abigail Spanberger143,357 (52.2%) Yesli Vega130,586 (47.6%) 637 D+4.7
8 Don Beyer197,760 (73.5%) Karina Lipsman66,589 (24.8%) 4,581 D+48.8
9 Taysha DeVaughan66,027 (26.5%) Morgan Griffith182,207 (73.2%) 555 R+46.7
10 Jennifer Wexton157,405 (53.2%) Hung Cao138,163 (46.7%) 572 D+6.5
11 Gerry Connolly193,190 (66.7%) James Myles95,634 (33.0%) 852 D+33.7

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 271,542 66.8% 132,601 32.6% 2,565 406,708 D+34.2
Loudoun 94,116 57.7% 68,505 42.0% 355 162,976 D+15.7
Virginia Beach city 81,421 50.0% 81,016 49.8% 245 162,682 D+0.2
Prince William 90,113 59.4% 61,151 40.3% 324 151,588 D+19.1
Chesterfield 70,534 50.3% 68,825 49.1% 897 140,256 D+1.2
Henrico 76,319 61.0% 47,987 38.3% 878 125,184 D+22.6
Arlington 70,856 77.6% 18,699 20.5% 1,779 91,334 D+57.1
Chesapeake city 44,335 50.0% 44,062 49.7% 248 88,645 D+0.3
Richmond city 57,568 83.0% 11,625 16.8% 150 69,343 D+66.3
Stafford 28,685 49.8% 28,806 50.0% 144 57,635 R+0.2
Spotsylvania 25,424 46.3% 29,390 53.5% 140 54,954 R+7.2
Norfolk city 38,638 71.1% 15,579 28.7% 154 54,371 D+42.4
Alexandria city 41,974 77.4% 11,276 20.8% 973 54,223 D+56.6
Hanover 17,054 32.8% 34,465 66.4% 418 51,937 R+33.5
Albemarle 33,437 66.6% 16,638 33.1% 126 50,201 D+33.5
Newport News city 31,834 64.0% 17,790 35.8% 81 49,705 D+28.3
Hampton city 28,593 70.3% 11,994 29.5% 67 40,654 D+40.8
James City 18,090 47.9% 19,342 51.2% 371 37,803 R+3.3
Roanoke 13,036 34.9% 24,286 64.9% 82 37,404 R+30.1
Suffolk city 20,475 55.6% 16,265 44.2% 56 36,796 D+11.4
Frederick 11,302 33.5% 22,317 66.2% 74 33,693 R+32.7
Bedford 7,389 21.9% 26,254 77.9% 45 33,688 R+56.0
Fauquier 12,408 37.4% 20,704 62.4% 45 33,157 R+25.0
Rockingham 8,392 26.6% 23,093 73.2% 50 31,535 R+46.6
Augusta 7,089 23.3% 23,358 76.6% 40 30,487 R+53.4
York 11,640 41.7% 15,914 57.1% 333 27,887 R+15.3
Montgomery 14,239 51.1% 13,563 48.7% 67 27,869 D+2.4
Portsmouth city 18,770 68.8% 8,484 31.1% 44 27,298 D+37.7
Roanoke city 15,482 58.8% 10,780 41.0% 58 26,320 D+17.9
Pittsylvania 5,994 25.0% 17,896 74.8% 41 23,931 R+49.7
Lynchburg city 10,840 46.3% 12,508 53.4% 71 23,419 R+7.1
Franklin 5,131 25.1% 15,259 74.8% 22 20,412 R+49.6
Culpeper 7,979 39.5% 12,198 60.3% 39 20,216 R+20.9
Campbell 4,616 23.0% 15,393 76.7% 50 20,059 R+53.7
Isle of Wight 7,158 38.6% 11,346 61.2% 29 18,533 R+22.6
Washington 4,047 22.5% 13,870 77.2% 53 17,970 R+54.7
Charlottesville city 14,581 87.2% 2,100 12.6% 43 16,724 D+74.6
Louisa 5,762 35.4% 10,511 64.5% 24 16,297 R+29.1
Shenandoah 4,387 27.1% 11,766 72.8% 19 16,172 R+45.6
Orange 6,432 39.8% 9,695 60.0% 28 16,155 R+20.2
Henry 4,486 29.0% 10,984 70.9% 16 15,486 R+42.0
Gloucester 4,306 27.9% 10,921 70.6% 231 15,458 R+42.8
Powhatan 3,711 24.9% 11,200 75.0% 20 14,931 R+50.2
Botetourt 3,568 24.3% 11,118 75.6% 21 14,707 R+51.3
Warren 4,253 29.8% 9,965 69.9% 30 14,248 R+40.1
Goochland 5,028 36.6% 8,706 63.3% 22 13,756 R+26.7
Accomack 5,569 42.2% 7,604 57.7% 15 13,188 R+15.4
Halifax 4,374 36.2% 7,677 63.6% 20 12,071 R+27.4
Fluvanna 5,516 46.6% 6,299 53.2% 17 11,832 R+6.6
Amherst 3,536 30.0% 8,250 69.9% 16 11,802 R+39.9
Danville city 6,208 53.2% 5,421 46.5% 35 11,664 D+6.7
Caroline 5,244 45.2% 6,350 54.7% 15 11,609 R+9.5
Tazewell 1,635 14.2% 9,876 85.6% 27 11,538 R+71.4
Prince George 4,163 37.3% 6,994 62.6% 15 11,172 R+25.3
Mecklenburg 3,869 34.8% 7,236 65.1% 15 11,120 R+30.3
New Kent 3,417 30.9% 7,567 68.3% 87 11,071 R+37.5
Pulaski 2,768 25.5% 8,065 74.3% 26 10,859 R+48.8
Manassas city 6,029 56.6% 4,609 43.3% 15 10,653 D+13.3
King George 3,913 37.2% 6,590 62.6% 26 10,529 R+25.4
Harrisonburg city 6,526 62.9% 3,819 36.8% 23 10,368 D+26.1
Carroll 1,685 16.5% 8,496 83.2% 29 10,210 R+66.7
Fairfax city 6,384 66.2% 3,235 33.5% 24 9,643 D+32.7
Dinwiddie 3,639 38.2% 5,890 61.8% 6 9,535 R+23.6
Wythe 1,824 19.2% 7,645 80.5% 22 9,491 R+61.3
Wise 1,783 19.1% 7,506 80.6% 26 9,315 R+61.4
Fredericksburg city 6,082 66.3% 3,066 33.4% 20 9,168 D+32.9
Staunton city 5,081 55.6% 4,033 44.2% 17 9,131 D+11.5
Rockbridge 2,964 32.9% 6,037 66.9% 18 9,019 R+34.1
Smyth 1,496 17.7% 6,935 82.0% 26 8,457 R+64.3
Greene 3,307 39.2% 5,114 60.6% 15 8,436 R+21.4
Salem city 3,040 36.4% 5,283 63.3% 18 8,341 R+26.9
Page 1,847 22.5% 6,360 77.4% 5 8,212 R+55.0
Winchester city 4,263 54.0% 3,621 45.9% 12 7,896 D+8.1
Russell 1,337 17.1% 6,471 82.7% 21 7,829 R+65.6
Petersburg city 6,592 86.7% 994 13.1% 14 7,600 D+73.7
King William 2,074 27.5% 5,411 71.7% 64 7,549 R+44.2
Southampton 2,666 36.0% 4,736 63.9% 7 7,409 R+27.9
Waynesboro city 3,264 45.3% 3,926 54.5% 14 7,204 R+9.2
Clarke 2,902 40.4% 4,270 59.5% 7 7,179 R+19.1
Nelson 3,405 47.7% 3,725 52.1% 14 7,144 R+4.5
Westmoreland 2,642 37.5% 4,333 61.4% 78 7,053 R+24.0
Appomattox 1,364 20.7% 5,224 79.2% 9 6,597 R+58.5
Scott 928 14.2% 5,607 85.7% 8 6,543 R+71.5
Madison 2,320 35.9% 4,143 64.0% 8 6,471 R+28.2
Falls Church city 5,134 79.8% 1,193 18.5% 110 6,437 D+61.2
Prince Edward 2,918 45.8% 3,445 54.0% 11 6,374 R+8.3
Floyd 2,005 32.2% 4,208 67.6% 14 6,227 R+35.4
Northumberland 2,093 33.9% 4,027 65.1% 63 6,183 R+31.3
Patrick 1,065 17.9% 4,864 81.9% 12 5,941 R+63.9
Giles 1,337 23.1% 4,436 76.7% 12 5,785 R+53.6
Lee 842 14.9% 4,806 84.9% 16 5,664 R+70.0
Colonial Heights city 1,618 28.7% 4,019 71.2% 8 5,645 R+42.5
Poquoson city 1,250 22.4% 4,271 76.5% 65 5,586 R+54.1
Amelia 1,393 24.9% 4,187 75.0% 4 5,584 R+50.0
Lancaster 2,188 40.1% 3,211 58.8% 58 5,457 R+18.7
Northampton 2,855 52.5% 2,569 47.3% 10 5,434 D+5.3
Alleghany 1,347 24.9% 4,057 75.0% 7 5,411 R+50.1
Grayson 985 18.3% 4,393 81.6% 6 5,384 R+63.3
Buckingham 1,869 35.0% 3,472 64.9% 6 5,347 R+30.0
Brunswick 2,791 53.2% 2,450 46.7% 5 5,246 D+6.5
Hopewell city 2,692 51.8% 2,493 48.0% 12 5,197 D+3.8
Middlesex 1,716 33.5% 3,351 65.3% 61 5,128 R+31.9
Williamsburg city 3,352 65.8% 1,656 32.5% 87 5,095 D+33.3
Nottoway 1,713 35.5% 3,103 64.4% 5 4,821 R+28.8
Buchanan 767 16.2% 3,969 83.6% 9 4,745 R+67.5
Bristol city 1,259 28.6% 3,130 71.1% 14 4,403 R+42.5
Mathews 1,239 28.2% 3,065 69.7% 95 4,399 R+41.5
Charlotte 1,301 30.6% 2,953 69.4% 1 4,255 R+38.8
Essex 1,696 40.2% 2,498 59.2% 26 4,220 R+19.0
Lunenburg 1,440 35.1% 2,658 64.8% 2 4,100 R+29.7
Rappahannock 1,722 42.4% 2,329 57.4% 10 4,061 R+14.9
Dickenson 864 22.2% 3,018 77.4% 15 3,897 R+55.3
Radford city 1,744 46.4% 2,006 53.4% 10 3,760 R+7.0
Cumberland 1,307 35.1% 2,410 64.8% 5 3,722 R+29.6
Martinsville city 2,032 55.2% 1,642 44.6% 9 3,683 D+10.6
Sussex 1,689 49.3% 1,728 50.4% 11 3,428 R+1.1
Manassas Park city 2,041 60.9% 1,304 38.9% 7 3,352 D+22.0
Surry 1,659 50.0% 1,654 49.8% 7 3,320 D+0.2
Greensville 1,527 52.1% 1,397 47.6% 9 2,933 D+4.4
King and Queen 1,023 34.9% 1,869 63.8% 36 2,928 R+28.9
Franklin city 1,730 59.4% 1,179 40.5% 4 2,913 D+18.9
Charles City 1,585 55.7% 1,263 44.3% 2,848 D+11.3
Richmond 764 27.4% 2,005 71.9% 19 2,788 R+44.5
Bland 296 13.3% 1,922 86.4% 7 2,225 R+73.1
Craig 350 16.9% 1,715 82.9% 5 2,070 R+65.9
Lexington city 1,312 64.9% 700 34.6% 9 2,021 D+30.3
Bath 358 21.2% 1,330 78.7% 3 1,691 R+57.5
Buena Vista city 466 28.7% 1,153 71.0% 6 1,625 R+42.3
Galax city 395 24.6% 1,208 75.3% 2 1,605 R+50.7
Covington city 474 31.9% 1,011 68.0% 1 1,486 R+36.1
Emporia city 840 60.2% 542 38.9% 13 1,395 D+21.4
Highland 297 24.9% 891 74.8% 3 1,191 R+49.9
Norton city 266 28.4% 666 71.0% 6 938 R+42.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 6, R 5 D+3.8
2022 D 6, R 5 D+3.6
2020 D 7, R 4 D+4.8
2018 D 7, R 4 D+13.8
2016 D 4, R 7 D+0.4
2014 D 3, R 8 R+13.9
2012 D 3, R 8 R+1.9
2010 D 3, R 8 R+12.6
2008 D 6, R 5 D+7.5
2006 D 3, R 8 R+12.0
2004 D 3, R 8 R+26.4
2002 D 3, R 8 R+37.4
2000 D 4, R 6 R+3.0
1998 D 6, R 5 R+2.4
1996 D 6, R 5 R+4.1
1994 D 6, R 5 R+17.6
1992 D 7, R 4 D+0.3
1990 D 6, R 4 D+21.8