United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in North Carolina

North Carolina elected 14 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 7 seats and Republicans 7.

The closest was the 13th district, decided by 3.2 points: Wiley Nickel (Democrat) beat Bo Hines (Republican), 51.6% to 48.4%, a margin of 3.2 points and 8,834 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 78 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 22. The largest, Wake, cast 450,805 votes and went to the Democrat by 27.5 points. The closest was Greene, where 31 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Don Davis134,987 (52.4%) Sandy Smith122,780 (47.6%) D+4.7
2 Deborah Ross190,714 (64.7%) Christine Villaverde104,155 (35.3%) D+29.4
3 Barbara Gaskins82,378 (33.1%) Greg Murphy166,520 (66.9%) R+33.8
4 Valerie Foushee194,983 (66.9%) Courtney Geels96,442 (33.1%) D+33.8
5 Kyle Parrish102,268 (36.8%) Virginia Foxx175,279 (63.2%) R+26.3
6 Kathy Manning139,553 (53.9%) Christian Castelli116,635 (45.0%) 2,810 D+8.9
7 Charles Graham120,043 (42.3%) David Rouzer163,886 (57.7%) R+15.4
8 Scott Huffman79,192 (30.1%) Dan Bishop183,998 (69.9%) R+39.8
9 Ben Clark101,195 (43.5%) Richard Hudson131,447 (56.5%) R+13.0
10 Pam Genant73,174 (27.3%) Patrick McHenry194,681 (72.6%) 352 R+45.3
11 Jasmine Beach-Ferrara144,157 (44.5%) Chuck Edwards174,231 (53.8%) 5,515 R+9.3
12 Alma Adams140,494 (62.7%) Tyler Lee83,414 (37.3%) D+25.5
13 Wiley Nickel143,090 (51.6%) Bo Hines134,256 (48.4%) D+3.2
14 Jeff Jackson148,738 (57.7%) Pat Harrigan109,014 (42.3%) D+15.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 287,376 63.7% 163,429 36.3% 450,805 D+27.5
Mecklenburg 237,751 66.1% 122,169 33.9% 359,920 D+32.1
Guilford 110,418 59.1% 74,501 39.9% 1,986 186,905 D+19.2
Forsyth 72,612 54.1% 61,235 45.6% 359 134,206 D+8.5
Durham 102,933 80.7% 24,564 19.3% 127,497 D+61.5
Buncombe 73,906 61.6% 44,062 36.7% 1,976 119,944 D+24.9
New Hanover 46,138 49.3% 47,479 50.7% 93,617 R+1.4
Union 30,977 34.5% 58,792 65.5% 89,769 R+31.0
Cumberland 46,197 55.4% 37,249 44.6% 83,446 D+10.7
Johnston 29,170 38.7% 46,215 61.3% 75,385 R+22.6
Cabarrus 32,344 43.0% 42,895 57.0% 75,239 R+14.0
Gaston 25,833 35.3% 47,368 64.7% 15 73,216 R+29.4
Brunswick 26,297 36.0% 46,673 64.0% 72,970 R+27.9
Iredell 20,835 30.0% 48,546 69.9% 46 69,427 R+39.9
Orange 51,115 77.1% 15,185 22.9% 66,300 D+54.2
Alamance 25,521 42.6% 34,329 57.4% 59,850 R+14.7
Davidson 14,526 24.6% 44,604 75.4% 59,130 R+50.9
Catawba 15,441 27.8% 39,884 71.9% 154 55,479 R+44.1
Pitt 29,910 54.7% 24,800 45.3% 54,710 D+9.3
Henderson 19,871 38.8% 30,466 59.5% 861 51,198 R+20.7
Randolph 9,165 19.1% 38,851 80.9% 48,016 R+61.8
Rowan 14,203 29.6% 33,741 70.4% 47,944 R+40.8
Onslow 13,579 30.9% 30,322 69.1% 43,901 R+38.1
Moore 14,060 33.3% 28,152 66.7% 42,212 R+33.4
Chatham 22,349 56.9% 16,961 43.1% 39,310 D+13.7
Craven 13,742 37.3% 23,112 62.7% 36,854 R+25.4
Harnett 13,400 36.6% 23,248 63.4% 36,648 R+26.9
Lincoln 9,036 24.9% 27,191 75.0% 38 36,265 R+50.1
Nash 17,017 47.9% 18,495 52.1% 35,512 R+4.2
Wayne 13,992 39.9% 21,058 60.1% 35,050 R+20.2
Cleveland 10,151 31.0% 22,617 69.0% 24 32,792 R+38.0
Rockingham 10,482 32.2% 21,654 66.6% 391 32,527 R+34.3
Carteret 8,462 26.3% 23,690 73.7% 32,152 R+47.4
Burke 8,655 28.9% 21,251 71.0% 29 29,935 R+42.1
Caldwell 6,235 22.5% 21,527 77.5% 9 27,771 R+55.1
Franklin 12,351 45.0% 15,092 55.0% 27,443 R+10.0
Robeson 12,704 47.4% 14,075 52.6% 26,779 R+5.1
Haywood 9,879 36.9% 16,431 61.4% 451 26,761 R+24.5
Wilson 13,132 50.3% 12,997 49.7% 26,129 D+0.5
Surry 5,662 22.9% 19,071 77.1% 24,733 R+54.2
Wilkes 4,636 19.0% 19,806 81.0% 24,442 R+62.1
Stanly 5,038 21.4% 18,492 78.6% 23,530 R+57.2
Pender 7,418 31.7% 16,016 68.3% 23,434 R+36.7
Rutherford 5,510 23.6% 17,734 75.9% 129 23,373 R+52.3
Watauga 11,893 52.3% 10,841 47.7% 22,734 D+4.6
Granville 9,659 43.6% 12,473 56.4% 22,132 R+12.7
Lee 7,623 39.9% 11,499 60.1% 19,122 R+20.3
Columbus 6,882 36.2% 12,143 63.8% 19,025 R+27.7
Beaufort 6,024 31.8% 12,899 68.2% 18,923 R+36.3
Lenoir 7,507 40.4% 11,078 59.6% 18,585 R+19.2
Stokes 3,846 21.2% 14,328 78.8% 18,174 R+57.7
Davie 4,395 24.4% 13,648 75.6% 18,043 R+51.3
Dare 7,202 40.6% 10,556 59.4% 17,758 R+18.9
Sampson 5,865 33.0% 11,890 67.0% 17,755 R+33.9
Transylvania 6,790 41.9% 9,081 56.0% 343 16,214 R+14.1
McDowell 3,870 24.1% 11,948 74.4% 251 16,069 R+50.3
Macon 4,545 28.9% 10,847 69.1% 315 15,707 R+40.1
Halifax 9,099 58.1% 6,549 41.9% 15,648 D+16.3
Edgecombe 9,488 61.5% 5,945 38.5% 15,433 D+23.0
Person 5,617 36.5% 9,780 63.5% 15,397 R+27.0
Alexander 2,921 19.2% 12,244 80.6% 27 15,192 R+61.4
Duplin 4,931 32.5% 10,219 67.5% 15,150 R+34.9
Jackson 6,528 43.7% 8,136 54.5% 262 14,926 R+10.8
Pasquotank 6,787 48.2% 7,281 51.8% 14,068 R+3.5
Yadkin 2,352 17.0% 11,490 83.0% 13,842 R+66.0
Hoke 7,259 55.6% 5,795 44.4% 13,054 D+11.2
Vance 7,333 56.8% 5,579 43.2% 12,912 D+13.6
Richmond 4,758 38.1% 7,732 61.9% 12,490 R+23.8
Cherokee 2,405 19.7% 9,628 78.8% 191 12,224 R+59.1
Ashe 3,188 27.0% 8,639 73.0% 11,827 R+46.1
Bladen 4,750 40.4% 7,003 59.6% 11,753 R+19.2
Currituck 2,804 24.2% 8,764 75.8% 11,568 R+51.5
Madison 3,987 39.6% 5,902 58.6% 188 10,077 R+19.0
Polk 3,597 37.8% 5,767 60.6% 160 9,524 R+22.8
Scotland 4,347 45.9% 5,131 54.1% 9,478 R+8.3
Yancey 2,847 32.2% 5,852 66.1% 152 8,851 R+34.0
Martin 4,207 48.4% 4,482 51.6% 8,689 R+3.2
Montgomery 2,665 30.9% 5,954 69.1% 8,619 R+38.2
Caswell 3,213 39.6% 4,835 59.5% 74 8,122 R+20.0
Warren 4,470 62.4% 2,696 37.6% 7,166 D+24.8
Anson 3,305 46.2% 3,843 53.8% 7,148 R+7.5
Avery 1,543 22.7% 5,254 77.3% 6,797 R+54.6
Northampton 3,825 56.6% 2,931 43.4% 6,756 D+13.2
Hertford 4,191 63.6% 2,400 36.4% 6,591 D+27.2
Mitchell 1,395 21.5% 5,079 78.5% 6,474 R+56.9
Bertie 3,604 56.9% 2,726 43.1% 6,330 D+13.9
Pamlico 2,064 33.7% 4,067 66.3% 6,131 R+32.7
Greene 3,025 50.3% 2,994 49.7% 6,019 D+0.5
Clay 1,302 23.7% 4,124 75.0% 76 5,502 R+51.3
Chowan 2,211 40.3% 3,279 59.7% 5,490 R+19.5
Perquimans 1,669 30.6% 3,789 69.4% 5,458 R+38.8
Alleghany 1,185 23.6% 3,846 76.4% 5,031 R+52.9
Swain 1,734 36.3% 2,945 61.7% 92 4,771 R+25.4
Gates 1,810 42.1% 2,488 57.9% 4,298 R+15.8
Camden 1,033 24.3% 3,222 75.7% 4,255 R+51.4
Washington 2,153 53.0% 1,910 47.0% 4,063 D+6.0
Jones 1,355 35.2% 2,499 64.8% 3,854 R+29.7
Graham 620 17.7% 2,810 80.1% 78 3,508 R+62.4
Hyde 719 38.7% 1,139 61.3% 1,858 R+22.6
Tyrrell 540 42.5% 730 57.5% 1,270 R+15.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 4, R 10 R+9.9
2022 D 7, R 7 R+4.3
2020 D 5, R 8 D+0.5
2018 D 3, R 9 R+2.0
2016 D 3, R 10 R+6.6
2014 D 3, R 10 R+11.4
2012 D 4, R 9 D+1.9
2010 D 7, R 6 R+8.9
2008 D 8, R 5 D+9.3
2006 D 7, R 6 D+5.8
2004 D 6, R 7 R+2.1
2002 D 6, R 7 R+10.6
2000 D 5, R 7 R+11.6
1998 D 5, R 7 R+9.8
1996 D 6, R 6 R+8.1
1994 D 4, R 8 R+14.2
1992 D 8, R 4 D+3.1
1990 D 7, R 4 D+7.0