United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 US House elections in North Carolina

North Carolina elected 13 members of the House in 2018: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 9.

The closest was the 9th district, decided by 0.3 points: Mark Harris (Republican) beat Dan McCready (Democrat), 49.3% to 48.9%, a margin of 0.3 points and 905 votes. The result was never certified because of absentee-ballot fraud; a new election was held in 2019.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 72 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 28. The largest, Wake, cast 436,498 votes and went to the Democrat by 27.0 points. The closest was Gates, where 99 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 G. K. Butterfield190,457 (69.8%) Roger W. Allison82,218 (30.2%) D+39.7
2 Linda Coleman151,977 (45.8%) George Holding170,072 (51.3%) 9,655 R+5.5
3 none Walter B. Jones187,901 (100.0%) R+100.0
4 David Price247,067 (72.4%) Steve A. (Von) Loor82,052 (24.0%) 12,284 D+48.3
5 Dd Adams120,468 (43.0%) Virginia Foxx159,917 (57.0%) R+14.1
6 Ryan Watts123,651 (43.5%) B. Mark Walker160,709 (56.5%) R+13.0
7 Kyle Horton120,838 (42.8%) David Rouzer156,809 (55.5%) 4,665 R+12.7
8 Frank McNeill114,119 (44.7%) Richard Hudson141,402 (55.3%) R+10.7
9 Dan McCready138,341 (48.9%) Mark Harris139,246 (49.3%) 5,130 R+0.3
The result was never certified because of absentee-ballot fraud; a new election was held in 2019.
10 David Wilson Brown113,259 (40.7%) Patrick McHenry164,969 (59.3%) R+18.6
11 Phillip G. Price116,508 (38.7%) Mark Meadows178,012 (59.2%) 6,146 R+20.5
12 Alma Adams203,974 (73.1%) Paul Wright75,164 (26.9%) D+46.2
13 Kathy Manning130,402 (45.5%) Ted Budd147,570 (51.5%) 8,344 R+6.0

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 269,653 61.8% 151,709 34.8% 15,136 436,498 D+27.0
Mecklenburg 255,830 68.2% 117,832 31.4% 1,626 375,288 D+36.8
Guilford 119,184 59.2% 78,529 39.0% 3,773 201,486 D+20.2
Forsyth 77,048 56.1% 60,302 43.9% 137,350 D+12.2
Durham 104,343 81.4% 23,308 18.2% 528 128,179 D+63.2
Buncombe 73,275 61.6% 44,458 37.4% 1,257 118,990 D+24.2
Cumberland 55,104 59.0% 37,880 40.6% 400 93,384 D+18.4
New Hanover 46,155 51.9% 41,286 46.4% 1,464 88,905 D+5.5
Union 34,126 39.1% 51,645 59.1% 1,589 87,360 R+20.1
Cabarrus 32,440 43.9% 41,512 56.1% 73,952 R+12.3
Gaston 25,738 36.0% 45,701 64.0% 71,439 R+27.9
Orange 52,209 77.6% 12,868 19.1% 2,213 67,290 D+58.5
Johnston 23,906 35.9% 40,994 61.5% 1,735 66,635 R+25.6
Iredell 22,394 34.2% 41,139 62.9% 1,912 65,445 R+28.6
Brunswick 22,840 38.7% 35,312 59.8% 875 59,027 R+21.1
Davidson 14,898 26.1% 40,468 70.9% 1,675 57,041 R+44.8
Alamance 24,952 44.2% 31,476 55.8% 56,428 R+11.6
Catawba 17,343 32.5% 36,040 67.5% 53,383 R+35.0
Pitt 16,025 31.7% 34,585 68.3% 50,610 R+36.7
Henderson 18,941 38.8% 29,008 59.4% 899 48,848 R+20.6
Rowan 15,794 33.2% 31,330 65.8% 500 47,624 R+32.6
Randolph 9,837 21.0% 36,908 79.0% 46,745 R+57.9
Moore 15,402 38.2% 24,883 61.8% 40,285 R+23.5
Nash 18,228 48.9% 18,384 49.3% 669 37,281 R+0.4
Wayne 15,733 42.9% 20,305 55.4% 605 36,643 R+12.5
Chatham 20,444 56.8% 15,526 43.2% 35,970 D+13.7
Harnett 13,408 37.8% 21,057 59.4% 1,010 35,475 R+21.6
Cleveland 11,563 34.7% 21,799 65.3% 33,362 R+30.7
Rockingham 11,287 34.9% 21,038 65.1% 32,325 R+30.2
Lincoln 8,872 28.1% 22,654 71.9% 31,526 R+43.7
Robeson 17,419 56.4% 12,691 41.1% 777 30,887 D+15.3
Onslow 0 0.0% 29,236 100.0% 29,236 R+100.0
Wilson 14,954 52.3% 13,462 47.0% 198 28,614 D+5.2
Burke 9,208 32.6% 18,524 65.5% 536 28,268 R+33.0
Craven 0 0.0% 27,362 100.0% 27,362 R+100.0
Caldwell 6,701 25.4% 19,212 72.8% 475 26,388 R+47.4
Franklin 11,118 43.6% 13,610 53.4% 772 25,500 R+9.8
Haywood 9,968 39.5% 14,712 58.3% 542 25,222 R+18.8
Watauga 13,811 56.4% 10,690 43.6% 24,501 D+12.7
Surry 6,270 26.1% 17,735 73.9% 24,005 R+47.8
Carteret 0 0.0% 23,442 100.0% 23,442 R+100.0
Rutherford 6,506 28.4% 16,431 71.6% 22,937 R+43.3
Wilkes 5,430 23.7% 17,467 76.3% 22,897 R+52.6
Stanly 5,990 26.7% 16,414 73.3% 22,404 R+46.5
Pender 7,786 37.2% 12,510 59.8% 630 20,926 R+22.6
Granville 10,661 51.0% 10,258 49.0% 20,919 D+1.9
Lee 8,812 45.1% 10,715 54.9% 19,527 R+9.7
Sampson 7,468 38.9% 11,441 59.6% 279 19,188 R+20.7
Columbus 7,247 39.0% 11,064 59.6% 257 18,568 R+20.6
Davie 4,396 25.1% 12,613 72.1% 484 17,493 R+47.0
Edgecombe 11,504 66.1% 5,908 33.9% 17,412 D+32.1
Halifax 10,809 62.2% 6,575 37.8% 17,384 D+24.4
Stokes 4,065 23.7% 13,094 76.3% 17,159 R+52.6
Transylvania 6,516 41.3% 8,912 56.4% 367 15,795 R+15.2
Duplin 6,221 40.5% 8,920 58.1% 208 15,349 R+17.6
Macon 4,891 31.9% 10,116 65.9% 342 15,349 R+34.0
Jackson 7,268 47.9% 7,494 49.4% 423 15,185 R+1.5
McDowell 4,244 28.8% 10,276 69.7% 229 14,749 R+40.9
Person 6,138 42.1% 8,458 57.9% 14,596 R+15.9
Beaufort 0 0.0% 14,470 100.0% 14,470 R+100.0
Richmond 7,138 50.2% 6,786 47.7% 298 14,222 D+2.5
Vance 8,768 62.0% 5,373 38.0% 14,141 D+24.0
Alexander 3,359 24.3% 10,484 75.7% 13,843 R+51.5
Yadkin 2,502 18.8% 10,822 81.2% 13,324 R+62.4
Hoke 7,812 60.4% 5,121 39.6% 12,933 D+20.8
Lenoir 0 0.0% 12,897 100.0% 12,897 R+100.0
Bladen 5,914 46.3% 6,712 52.5% 153 12,779 R+6.2
Ashe 3,823 32.5% 7,954 67.5% 11,777 R+35.1
Dare 0 0.0% 11,491 100.0% 11,491 R+100.0
Cherokee 2,557 23.4% 8,191 74.8% 202 10,950 R+51.5
Scotland 5,908 55.9% 4,463 42.2% 197 10,568 D+13.7
Yancey 3,508 37.7% 5,625 60.5% 168 9,301 R+22.8
Madison 4,036 43.7% 4,981 53.9% 223 9,240 R+10.2
Polk 3,694 40.3% 5,483 59.7% 9,177 R+19.5
Montgomery 3,612 39.6% 5,505 60.4% 9,117 R+20.8
Martin 4,766 52.4% 4,327 47.6% 9,093 D+4.8
Caswell 3,729 45.0% 4,559 55.0% 8,288 R+10.0
Pasquotank 0 0.0% 8,108 100.0% 8,108 R+100.0
Currituck 0 0.0% 8,104 100.0% 8,104 R+100.0
Anson 4,586 57.6% 3,266 41.0% 114 7,966 D+16.6
Hertford 5,509 70.6% 2,296 29.4% 7,805 D+41.2
Warren 4,932 66.3% 2,502 33.7% 7,434 D+32.7
Northampton 4,609 63.1% 2,701 36.9% 7,310 D+26.1
Bertie 4,419 64.1% 2,471 35.9% 6,890 D+28.3
Avery 1,545 23.8% 4,945 76.2% 6,490 R+52.4
Mitchell 1,424 22.5% 4,799 75.8% 108 6,331 R+53.3
Swain 2,055 39.3% 3,016 57.7% 153 5,224 R+18.4
Clay 1,308 25.3% 3,717 72.0% 138 5,163 R+46.7
Washington 2,804 59.2% 1,929 40.8% 4,733 D+18.5
Greene 0 0.0% 4,668 100.0% 4,668 R+100.0
Alleghany 1,209 26.5% 3,359 73.5% 4,568 R+47.1
Gates 2,149 51.2% 2,050 48.8% 4,199 D+2.4
Perquimans 0 0.0% 4,155 100.0% 4,155 R+100.0
Pamlico 0 0.0% 4,004 100.0% 4,004 R+100.0
Chowan 0 0.0% 3,760 100.0% 3,760 R+100.0
Graham 838 23.1% 2,712 74.6% 84 3,634 R+51.6
Camden 0 0.0% 3,298 100.0% 3,298 R+100.0
Jones 0 0.0% 3,018 100.0% 3,018 R+100.0
Hyde 0 0.0% 1,510 100.0% 1,510 R+100.0
Tyrrell 0 0.0% 982 100.0% 982 R+100.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 4, R 10 R+9.9
2022 D 7, R 7 R+4.3
2020 D 5, R 8 D+0.5
2018 D 3, R 9 R+2.0
2016 D 3, R 10 R+6.6
2014 D 3, R 10 R+11.4
2012 D 4, R 9 D+1.9
2010 D 7, R 6 R+8.9
2008 D 8, R 5 D+9.3
2006 D 7, R 6 D+5.8
2004 D 6, R 7 R+2.1
2002 D 6, R 7 R+10.6
2000 D 5, R 7 R+11.6
1998 D 5, R 7 R+9.8
1996 D 6, R 6 R+8.1
1994 D 4, R 8 R+14.2
1992 D 8, R 4 D+3.1
1990 D 7, R 4 D+7.0