United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2018 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2018 US House elections in New Jersey

New Jersey elected 12 members of the House in 2018: Democrats won 11 seats and Republicans 1.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 1.3 points: Andy Kim (Democrat) beat Tom Macarthur (Republican), 50.0% to 48.7%, a margin of 1.3 points and 3,973 votes.

In the House vote by county, Democrats led in 15 of the 21 counties and Republicans in 6. The largest, Bergen, cast 335,922 votes and went to the Democrat by 26.5 points. The closest was Monmouth, where 332 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Donald W. Norcross169,628 (64.4%) Paul E. Dilks87,617 (33.3%) 6,173 D+31.1
2 Jeff Van Drew136,685 (52.9%) Seth Grossman116,866 (45.2%) 4,812 D+7.7
3 Andy Kim153,473 (50.0%) Tom Macarthur149,500 (48.7%) 3,902 D+1.3
4 Joshua Welle126,766 (43.1%) Christopher H. Smith163,065 (55.4%) 4,517 R+12.3
5 Josh Gottheimer169,546 (56.2%) John J. McCann Jr.128,255 (42.5%) 4,022 D+13.7
6 Frank Pallone Jr.140,752 (63.6%) Richard J. Pezzullo80,443 (36.4%) D+27.3
7 Tom Malinowski166,985 (51.7%) Leonard Lance150,785 (46.7%) 4,972 D+5.0
8 Albio Sires119,881 (78.1%) John R. Muniz28,725 (18.7%) 4,849 D+59.4
9 Bill Pascrell Jr.140,832 (70.3%) Eric P. Fisher57,854 (28.9%) 1,730 D+41.4
10 Donald M. Payne Jr.175,253 (87.6%) Agha Khan20,191 (10.1%) 4,715 D+77.5
11 Mikie Sherrill183,684 (56.8%) Jay Webber136,322 (42.1%) 3,568 D+14.6
12 Bonnie Watson Coleman173,334 (68.7%) Daryl Kipnis79,041 (31.3%) D+37.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bergen 210,574 62.7% 121,579 36.2% 3,769 335,922 D+26.5
Monmouth 133,204 49.4% 133,536 49.6% 2,665 269,405 R+0.1
Essex 196,430 81.0% 42,584 17.6% 3,392 242,406 D+63.5
Middlesex 146,949 64.7% 80,180 35.3% 227,129 D+29.4
Ocean 79,103 35.5% 139,886 62.8% 3,899 222,888 R+27.3
Morris 112,984 52.9% 98,307 46.0% 2,382 213,673 D+6.9
Burlington 111,894 59.4% 75,032 39.8% 1,499 188,425 D+19.6
Camden 123,530 67.6% 54,859 30.0% 4,419 182,808 D+37.6
Union 122,821 68.8% 53,477 29.9% 2,282 178,580 D+38.8
Hudson 115,753 79.6% 27,206 18.7% 2,521 145,480 D+60.9
Passaic 94,275 65.0% 49,452 34.1% 1,238 144,965 D+30.9
Somerset 79,271 57.4% 57,125 41.4% 1,608 138,004 D+16.0
Mercer 91,620 68.4% 41,266 30.8% 972 133,858 D+37.6
Gloucester 60,266 54.0% 48,754 43.7% 2,518 111,538 D+10.3
Atlantic 52,917 56.4% 39,118 41.7% 1,833 93,868 D+14.7
Hunterdon 27,654 44.0% 33,904 54.0% 1,234 62,792 R+10.0
Sussex 26,821 44.0% 32,783 53.7% 1,413 61,017 R+9.8
Cape May 21,595 52.6% 19,003 46.3% 486 41,084 D+6.3
Cumberland 23,914 59.0% 15,782 38.9% 837 40,533 D+20.1
Warren 17,153 42.4% 22,352 55.3% 907 40,412 R+12.9
Salem 10,998 46.2% 12,100 50.8% 705 23,803 R+4.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Jersey in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 9, R 3 D+7.1
2022 D 9, R 3 D+9.8
2020 D 10, R 2 D+15.7
2018 D 11, R 1 D+21.2
2016 D 7, R 5 D+8.1
2014 D 6, R 6 D+2.0
2012 D 6, R 6 D+11.1
2010 D 7, R 6 R+1.4
2008 D 8, R 5 D+13.1
2006 D 7, R 6 D+14.3
2004 D 7, R 6 D+6.3
2002 D 7, R 6 D+4.8
2000 D 7, R 6 D+5.0
1998 D 7, R 6 D+2.4
1996 D 6, R 7 R+1.7
1994 D 5, R 8 R+10.5
1992 D 7, R 6 R+5.0
1990 D 8, R 6 R+4.1