Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 US House elections in New Jersey
New Jersey elected 13 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 7 seats and Republicans 6.
The closest was the 7th district, decided by 15.2 points: Mike Ferguson (Republican) beat Steve Brozak (Democrat), 56.9% to 41.7%, a margin of 15.2 points and 43,516 votes.
In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 12 of the 21 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Bergen, cast 357,590 votes and went to the Democrat by 13.8 points. The closest was Salem, where 9,633 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Every district
| District | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert E. Andrews | 201,163 (75.0%) | S. Daniel Hutchison | 66,109 (24.6%) | 931 | D+50.4 |
| 2 | Timothy J. Robb | 86,792 (32.7%) | Frank A. Lobiondo | 172,779 (65.1%) | 5,871 | R+32.4 |
| 3 | Herb Conaway | 107,034 (34.7%) | Jim Saxton | 195,938 (63.4%) | 5,890 | R+28.8 |
| 4 | Amy Vazquez | 92,826 (32.3%) | Christopher H. Smith | 192,671 (67.0%) | 2,056 | R+34.7 |
| 5 | Dorothea Anne Wolfe | 122,259 (41.1%) | Scott Garrett | 171,220 (57.6%) | 3,946 | R+16.5 |
| 6 | Frank Pallone, Jr. | 153,981 (66.9%) | Sylvester Fernandez | 70,942 (30.8%) | 5,228 | D+36.1 |
| 7 | Steve Brozak | 119,081 (41.7%) | Mike Ferguson | 162,597 (56.9%) | 4,169 | R+15.2 |
| 8 | Bill Pascrell, Jr. | 152,001 (69.5%) | George Ajjan | 62,747 (28.7%) | 4,072 | D+40.8 |
| 9 | Steven R. Rothman | 146,038 (67.5%) | Edward Trawinski | 68,564 (31.7%) | 1,649 | D+35.8 |
| 10 | Donald M. Payne | 155,697 (96.9%) | none | 5,016 | D+96.9 | |
| 11 | James W. Buell | 91,811 (31.0%) | Rodney P. Frelinghuysen | 200,915 (67.9%) | 3,276 | R+36.9 |
| 12 | Rush D. Holt | 171,691 (59.2%) | Bill Spadea | 115,014 (39.7%) | 3,080 | D+19.6 |
| 13 | Robert Menendez | 121,018 (75.9%) | Richard W. Piatkowski | 35,288 (22.1%) | 3,235 | D+53.7 |
The House vote in every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergen | 201,904 56.5% | 152,463 42.6% | 3,223 | 357,590 | D+13.8 |
| Middlesex | 166,050 61.7% | 99,852 37.1% | 3,186 | 269,088 | D+24.6 |
| Monmouth | 115,092 45.5% | 132,796 52.5% | 5,113 | 253,001 | R+7.0 |
| Essex | 191,125 76.1% | 54,181 21.6% | 5,942 | 251,248 | D+54.5 |
| Ocean | 71,805 30.0% | 164,166 68.5% | 3,542 | 239,513 | R+38.6 |
| Burlington | 98,728 45.2% | 117,462 53.7% | 2,376 | 218,566 | R+8.6 |
| Morris | 65,364 30.6% | 146,405 68.6% | 1,675 | 213,444 | R+38.0 |
| Camden | 145,900 70.4% | 59,811 28.9% | 1,475 | 207,186 | D+41.6 |
| Union | 106,698 62.6% | 60,727 35.6% | 3,028 | 170,453 | D+27.0 |
| Passaic | 104,637 67.0% | 50,190 32.1% | 1,405 | 156,232 | D+34.9 |
| Hudson | 115,891 75.1% | 34,933 22.6% | 3,509 | 154,333 | D+52.5 |
| Mercer | 78,749 55.8% | 61,033 43.3% | 1,294 | 141,076 | D+12.6 |
| Somerset | 54,112 41.0% | 75,622 57.3% | 2,208 | 131,942 | R+16.3 |
| Gloucester | 75,163 62.1% | 44,896 37.1% | 1,000 | 121,059 | D+25.0 |
| Atlantic | 35,485 35.3% | 63,270 62.9% | 1,829 | 100,584 | R+27.6 |
| Sussex | 19,005 28.6% | 45,879 69.0% | 1,590 | 66,474 | R+40.4 |
| Hunterdon | 21,840 35.4% | 37,887 61.4% | 1,968 | 61,695 | R+26.0 |
| Cumberland | 16,206 32.9% | 31,349 63.7% | 1,675 | 49,230 | R+30.8 |
| Cape May | 11,354 24.3% | 34,540 74.0% | 758 | 46,652 | R+49.7 |
| Warren | 17,005 36.7% | 28,410 61.3% | 946 | 46,361 | R+24.6 |
| Salem | 9,279 32.1% | 18,912 65.5% | 677 | 28,868 | R+33.4 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
New Jersey in every House election we hold
| Year | Seats | House vote |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D 9, R 3 | D+7.1 |
| 2022 | D 9, R 3 | D+9.8 |
| 2020 | D 10, R 2 | D+15.7 |
| 2018 | D 11, R 1 | D+21.2 |
| 2016 | D 7, R 5 | D+8.1 |
| 2014 | D 6, R 6 | D+2.0 |
| 2012 | D 6, R 6 | D+11.1 |
| 2010 | D 7, R 6 | R+1.4 |
| 2008 | D 8, R 5 | D+13.1 |
| 2006 | D 7, R 6 | D+14.3 |
| 2004 | D 7, R 6 | D+6.3 |
| 2002 | D 7, R 6 | D+4.8 |
| 2000 | D 7, R 6 | D+5.0 |
| 1998 | D 7, R 6 | D+2.4 |
| 1996 | D 6, R 7 | R+1.7 |
| 1994 | D 5, R 8 | R+10.5 |
| 1992 | D 7, R 6 | R+5.0 |
| 1990 | D 8, R 6 | R+4.1 |