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United States · Election results history · 2004 House · Missouri
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in Missouri

Missouri elected 9 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 4 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 7.7 points: Russ Carnahan (Democrat) beat Bill Federer (Republican), 52.9% to 45.1%, a margin of 7.7 points and 21,472 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 92 of the 115 counties and Democrats in 23. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 530,020 votes and went to the Democrat by 5.1 points. The closest was Cedar, where 167 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Wm. Lacy Clay213,658 (75.3%) Leslie L. Far II64,791 (22.8%) 5,322 D+52.5
2 George D. Weber115,366 (33.0%) W. Todd Akin228,725 (65.4%) 5,776 R+32.4
3 Russ Carnahan146,894 (52.9%) Bill Federer125,422 (45.1%) 5,600 D+7.7
4 Ike Skelton190,800 (66.2%) James A. (Jim) Noland93,334 (32.4%) 4,092 D+33.8
5 Emanuel Cleaver II161,727 (55.2%) Jeanne Patterson123,431 (42.1%) 7,867 D+13.1
6 Charles S. Broomfield106,987 (34.8%) Sam Graves196,516 (63.8%) 4,352 R+29.1
7 Jim Newberry84,356 (28.3%) Roy Blunt210,080 (70.4%) 3,769 R+42.2
8 Dean Henderson71,543 (26.6%) Jo Ann Emerson194,039 (72.2%) 3,129 R+45.6
9 Linda Jacobsen101,343 (33.8%) Kenny C. Hulshof193,429 (64.6%) 4,675 R+30.8

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 273,848 51.7% 246,959 46.6% 9,213 530,020 D+5.1
Jackson 72,615 42.1% 95,110 55.2% 4,655 172,380 R+13.0
Johnson 113,343 70.6% 43,883 27.3% 3,298 160,524 D+43.3
St. Charles 55,825 35.3% 99,708 63.0% 2,772 158,305 R+27.7
St. Louis City 97,212 77.2% 25,990 20.6% 2,796 125,998 D+56.5
Greene 41,361 33.4% 80,775 65.2% 1,699 123,835 R+31.8
Clay 37,973 40.2% 54,879 58.1% 1,600 94,452 R+17.9
Jefferson 44,594 48.2% 46,204 50.0% 1,676 92,474 R+1.7
Boone 29,425 40.0% 42,977 58.4% 1,191 73,593 R+18.4
Jasper 10,624 23.9% 33,378 74.9% 533 44,535 R+51.1
Franklin 15,921 35.8% 27,760 62.5% 767 44,448 R+26.6
Cass 20,556 47.3% 21,740 50.0% 1,159 43,455 R+2.7
Platte 15,402 37.3% 25,305 61.3% 567 41,274 R+24.0
Buchanan 13,673 36.4% 23,256 61.9% 620 37,549 R+25.5
Cole 26,538 73.3% 9,201 25.4% 482 36,221 D+47.9
Cape Girardeau 7,542 22.1% 26,250 76.7% 410 34,202 R+54.7
Christian 8,059 26.0% 22,546 72.8% 358 30,963 R+46.8
Newton 5,237 22.1% 18,206 76.8% 255 23,698 R+54.7
St. Francois 7,641 33.8% 14,725 65.2% 210 22,576 R+31.4
Camden 10,541 54.6% 8,483 43.9% 283 19,307 D+10.7
Lincoln 7,294 37.8% 11,591 60.1% 394 19,279 R+22.3
Taney 4,802 25.5% 13,702 72.9% 297 18,801 R+47.3
Phelps 5,055 27.6% 12,961 70.8% 285 18,301 R+43.2
Callaway 5,253 30.0% 11,980 68.4% 272 17,505 R+38.4
Pettis 12,099 69.3% 5,160 29.6% 192 17,451 D+39.8
Scott 4,395 25.4% 12,805 74.0% 112 17,312 R+48.6
Butler 3,255 20.0% 12,807 78.9% 179 16,241 R+58.8
Howell 4,098 25.4% 11,773 72.9% 271 16,142 R+47.5
Lafayette 12,398 77.1% 3,527 21.9% 158 16,083 D+55.2
Lawrence 3,992 25.5% 11,512 73.5% 164 15,668 R+48.0
Stone 3,963 26.4% 10,879 72.5% 159 15,001 R+46.1
Laclede 9,188 62.3% 5,394 36.6% 161 14,743 D+25.7
Webster 7,479 50.9% 6,973 47.5% 235 14,687 D+3.4
Barry 3,540 25.7% 10,074 73.1% 172 13,786 R+47.4
Stoddard 2,875 21.8% 10,222 77.6% 71 13,168 R+55.8
Warren 4,631 35.4% 8,151 62.4% 284 13,066 R+26.9
Polk 3,848 31.4% 8,164 66.6% 253 12,265 R+35.2
Marion 3,729 30.5% 8,346 68.4% 135 12,210 R+37.8
Pulaski 8,728 72.3% 3,228 26.7% 117 12,073 D+45.6
Dunklin 3,457 30.3% 7,865 69.0% 84 11,406 R+38.6
Adair 3,702 33.7% 7,077 64.5% 201 10,980 R+30.7
Texas 2,935 26.9% 7,794 71.6% 162 10,891 R+44.6
Henry 7,914 74.0% 2,644 24.7% 139 10,697 D+49.3
Ray 7,324 68.9% 3,113 29.3% 191 10,628 D+39.6
Audrain 3,618 34.2% 6,863 64.8% 112 10,593 R+30.6
Miller 2,324 22.1% 8,033 76.3% 176 10,533 R+54.2
Randolph 3,012 30.0% 6,911 68.7% 132 10,055 R+38.8
Nodaway 2,574 25.8% 7,318 73.4% 80 9,972 R+47.6
Saline 7,813 78.5% 2,015 20.2% 125 9,953 D+58.3
Clinton 3,521 37.4% 5,734 61.0% 152 9,407 R+23.5
Crawford 3,371 37.2% 5,440 60.0% 249 9,060 R+22.8
Washington 3,243 35.8% 5,686 62.8% 121 9,050 R+27.0
Benton 5,929 66.5% 2,893 32.4% 97 8,919 D+34.0
Vernon 6,164 69.4% 2,602 29.3% 118 8,884 D+40.1
Morgan 5,697 65.7% 2,864 33.0% 113 8,674 D+32.7
Bates 6,003 71.9% 2,240 26.8% 110 8,353 D+45.0
Wright 1,608 19.5% 6,538 79.3% 96 8,242 R+59.8
Andrew 2,147 26.2% 5,969 72.8% 84 8,200 R+46.6
Ste. Genevieve 4,286 52.5% 3,694 45.3% 178 8,158 D+7.3
Perry 1,417 17.4% 6,634 81.7% 71 8,122 R+64.2
New Madrid 2,726 34.7% 5,065 64.5% 57 7,848 R+29.8
Pike 2,991 38.2% 4,712 60.3% 117 7,820 R+22.0
McDonald 1,796 23.7% 5,647 74.5% 134 7,577 R+50.8
Macon 2,289 30.9% 5,032 68.0% 79 7,400 R+37.1
Cooper 2,162 29.3% 5,097 69.2% 110 7,369 R+39.8
Dallas 4,012 56.0% 3,033 42.4% 115 7,160 D+13.7
Gasconade 1,732 24.5% 5,219 74.0% 106 7,057 R+49.4
Moniteau 4,754 71.7% 1,809 27.3% 67 6,630 D+44.4
Osage 1,229 18.7% 5,290 80.5% 51 6,570 R+61.8
Pemiscot 2,688 41.2% 3,731 57.2% 103 6,522 R+16.0
Dent 1,497 23.7% 4,708 74.5% 112 6,317 R+50.8
Livingston 1,630 25.9% 4,589 73.0% 69 6,288 R+47.1
Wayne 1,630 26.4% 4,501 72.9% 41 6,172 R+46.5
Douglas 1,321 21.5% 4,699 76.4% 132 6,152 R+54.9
Cedar 3,024 50.0% 2,857 47.3% 164 6,045 D+2.8
Barton 2,538 43.3% 3,251 55.4% 79 5,868 R+12.2
Linn 1,944 33.2% 3,843 65.7% 63 5,850 R+32.5
Bollinger 1,200 21.0% 4,480 78.4% 37 5,717 R+57.4
Montgomery 1,614 28.6% 3,954 70.0% 83 5,651 R+41.4
Ripley 1,375 24.7% 4,119 74.0% 70 5,564 R+49.3
Mississippi 1,635 31.1% 3,575 68.1% 41 5,251 R+36.9
Ralls 1,792 36.2% 3,115 62.9% 49 4,956 R+26.7
St. Clair 3,308 67.2% 1,541 31.3% 71 4,920 D+35.9
Madison 1,431 29.3% 3,410 69.8% 45 4,886 R+40.5
Hickory 3,095 64.5% 1,633 34.0% 71 4,799 D+30.5
Grundy 1,047 21.8% 3,677 76.7% 69 4,793 R+54.9
Howard 1,786 37.3% 2,926 61.0% 81 4,793 R+23.8
Carroll 1,127 24.0% 3,525 75.1% 43 4,695 R+51.1
DeKalb 1,297 27.9% 3,289 70.7% 69 4,655 R+42.8
Iron 1,483 32.1% 3,076 66.6% 61 4,620 R+34.5
Oregon 1,581 34.4% 2,946 64.2% 65 4,592 R+29.7
Ozark 1,190 26.1% 3,277 71.8% 95 4,562 R+45.7
Lewis 1,371 30.4% 3,062 67.9% 77 4,510 R+37.5
Maries 1,302 30.2% 2,941 68.2% 71 4,314 R+38.0
Caldwell 1,284 30.3% 2,882 67.9% 77 4,243 R+37.7
Monroe 1,389 32.8% 2,813 66.4% 36 4,238 R+33.6
Chariton 1,574 37.3% 2,609 61.8% 36 4,219 R+24.5
Shannon 1,165 28.9% 2,820 70.0% 44 4,029 R+41.1
Harrison 908 22.8% 3,047 76.3% 36 3,991 R+53.6
Dade 1,591 40.3% 2,312 58.5% 47 3,950 R+18.3
Daviess 1,065 28.5% 2,616 70.1% 52 3,733 R+41.5
Clark 1,148 31.5% 2,423 66.4% 77 3,648 R+35.0
Shelby 967 28.3% 2,422 70.8% 32 3,421 R+42.5
Gentry 824 25.1% 2,432 74.0% 29 3,285 R+48.9
Reynolds 1,008 32.0% 2,123 67.3% 22 3,153 R+35.4
Atchison 608 19.4% 2,515 80.2% 11 3,134 R+60.8
Sullivan 890 29.0% 2,147 70.0% 28 3,065 R+41.0
Carter 654 24.2% 2,033 75.2% 16 2,703 R+51.0
Holt 528 19.8% 2,128 79.8% 11 2,667 R+60.0
Putnam 518 21.6% 1,857 77.4% 23 2,398 R+55.8
Scotland 518 24.6% 1,572 74.8% 12 2,102 R+50.1
Schuyler 643 32.9% 1,289 65.9% 23 1,955 R+33.0
Knox 555 28.7% 1,367 70.6% 13 1,935 R+42.0
Mercer 314 18.1% 1,411 81.5% 6 1,731 R+63.4
Worth 315 27.8% 809 71.5% 8 1,132 R+43.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 6 R+20.0
2022 D 2, R 6 R+20.8
2020 D 2, R 6 R+18.6
2018 D 2, R 6 R+12.5
2016 D 2, R 6 R+20.3
2014 D 2, R 6 R+22.8
2012 D 2, R 6 R+12.9
2010 D 3, R 6 R+20.6
2008 D 4, R 5 D+3.5
2006 D 4, R 5 R+2.7
2004 D 4, R 5 R+8.9
2002 D 4, R 5 R+8.5
2000 D 4, R 5 level
1998 D 5, R 4 D+2.5
1996 D 5, R 3 D+13.4
1994 D 6, R 3 D+3.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+9.9
1990 D 6, R 3 D+7.6