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United States · Election results history · 2020 House · Missouri
Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 US House elections in Missouri

Missouri elected 8 members of the House in 2020: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 6.4 points: Ann Wagner (Republican) beat Jill Schupp (Democrat), 51.9% to 45.5%, a margin of 6.4 points and 28,617 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 112 of the 116 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, St. Louis County, cast 532,794 votes and went to the Democrat by 18.5 points. The closest was Worth, where 673 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Cori Bush249,087 (78.8%) Anthony Rogers59,940 (19.0%) 7,144 D+59.8
2 Jill Schupp204,540 (45.5%) Ann Wagner233,157 (51.9%) 11,651 R+6.4
3 Megan Rezabek116,095 (28.5%) Blaine Luetkemeyer282,866 (69.4%) 8,387 R+40.9
4 Lindsey Simmons107,635 (29.7%) Vicky Hartzler245,247 (67.6%) 9,954 R+37.9
5 Emanuel Cleaver207,180 (58.8%) Ryan Derks135,934 (38.6%) 9,316 D+20.2
6 Gena L. Ross118,926 (30.8%) Sam Graves258,709 (67.1%) 8,144 R+36.2
7 Teresa Montseny98,111 (26.6%) Billy Long254,318 (68.9%) 16,854 R+42.3
8 Kathy Ellis70,561 (21.4%) Jason Smith253,811 (76.9%) 5,854 R+55.5

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
St. Louis County 309,857 58.2% 211,045 39.6% 11,892 532,794 D+18.5
St. Charles 80,554 37.3% 130,012 60.2% 5,454 216,020 R+22.9
Jackson 88,370 46.0% 98,822 51.4% 5,117 192,309 R+5.4
Greene 50,881 36.5% 81,048 58.2% 7,293 139,222 R+21.7
Kansas City 105,588 77.8% 26,770 19.7% 3,321 135,679 D+58.1
St. Louis City 104,767 80.0% 23,179 17.7% 2,948 130,894 D+62.3
Clay 53,647 43.2% 67,532 54.3% 3,075 124,254 R+11.2
Jefferson 36,351 32.2% 73,218 64.9% 3,237 112,806 R+32.7
Boone 45,540 51.3% 40,809 45.9% 2,495 88,844 D+5.3
Cass 17,050 30.1% 38,185 67.4% 1,380 56,615 R+37.3
Platte 24,026 42.5% 31,344 55.4% 1,225 56,595 R+12.9
Franklin 13,032 24.9% 38,283 73.1% 1,062 52,377 R+48.2
Jasper 12,424 24.1% 36,897 71.7% 2,133 51,454 R+47.6
Christian 10,444 22.7% 33,228 72.3% 2,269 45,941 R+49.6
Cape Girardeau 10,036 25.2% 29,028 72.9% 739 39,803 R+47.7
Cole 10,385 26.6% 27,676 70.8% 1,002 39,063 R+44.3
Buchanan 11,659 32.2% 23,523 65.0% 1,008 36,190 R+32.8
Lincoln 6,179 21.7% 21,592 75.9% 665 28,436 R+54.2
Newton 5,408 19.3% 21,625 77.3% 953 27,986 R+57.9
St. Francois 7,170 26.3% 19,505 71.6% 576 27,251 R+45.3
Taney 4,870 18.9% 19,902 77.3% 972 25,744 R+58.4
Camden 4,931 20.3% 18,922 77.7% 486 24,339 R+57.5
Johnson 6,452 28.3% 15,612 68.4% 773 22,837 R+40.1
Callaway 4,974 23.9% 15,349 73.8% 487 20,810 R+49.9
Phelps 5,302 27.4% 13,591 70.2% 456 19,349 R+42.8
Pettis 4,437 23.7% 13,742 73.3% 569 18,748 R+49.6
Webster 3,312 18.0% 14,472 78.5% 649 18,433 R+60.5
Howell 3,027 16.6% 14,937 81.7% 309 18,273 R+65.2
Stone 3,140 17.5% 14,264 79.4% 567 17,971 R+61.9
Warren 4,286 23.9% 13,283 74.0% 385 17,954 R+50.1
Butler 3,154 17.7% 14,372 80.7% 289 17,815 R+63.0
Scott 3,671 21.0% 13,547 77.7% 227 17,445 R+56.6
Lawrence 3,210 18.4% 13,291 76.3% 926 17,427 R+57.8
Lafayette 5,270 31.2% 11,312 67.0% 310 16,892 R+35.8
Laclede 2,516 15.1% 13,720 82.4% 423 16,659 R+67.3
Barry 2,701 17.6% 12,016 78.5% 598 15,315 R+60.8
Polk 2,767 18.6% 11,479 77.2% 624 14,870 R+58.6
Pulaski 3,399 24.2% 10,163 72.3% 502 14,064 R+48.1
Stoddard 1,738 13.2% 11,316 85.7% 155 13,209 R+72.5
Marion 2,743 20.9% 10,171 77.4% 220 13,134 R+56.6
Miller 1,687 13.8% 10,288 84.5% 206 12,181 R+70.6
Ray 3,877 34.1% 7,198 63.2% 306 11,381 R+29.2
Texas 1,696 15.2% 9,278 83.3% 161 11,135 R+68.1
Crawford 2,052 18.9% 8,620 79.5% 171 10,843 R+60.6
Clinton 2,550 23.8% 7,922 73.8% 257 10,729 R+50.1
Henry 2,366 22.4% 7,973 75.4% 241 10,580 R+53.0
Randolph 2,325 22.0% 7,898 74.8% 335 10,558 R+52.8
Audrain 2,437 23.4% 7,692 73.7% 307 10,436 R+50.4
Benton 2,073 20.1% 7,981 77.3% 273 10,327 R+57.2
Adair 3,219 31.5% 6,814 66.6% 195 10,228 R+35.1
Dunklin 2,074 20.4% 7,978 78.4% 129 10,181 R+58.0
Nodaway 2,373 24.3% 7,242 74.0% 170 9,785 R+49.8
Andrew 2,002 20.8% 7,420 77.0% 217 9,639 R+56.2
Washington 1,915 19.9% 7,473 77.8% 219 9,607 R+57.9
Saline 3,546 37.8% 5,618 59.9% 213 9,377 R+22.1
Morgan 1,762 18.9% 7,315 78.6% 235 9,312 R+59.6
Perry 1,621 17.7% 7,397 80.8% 134 9,152 R+63.1
Vernon 1,751 19.3% 7,145 78.9% 163 9,059 R+59.5
Ste. Genevieve 2,704 29.9% 6,170 68.2% 178 9,052 R+38.3
McDonald 1,375 15.5% 7,240 81.5% 268 8,883 R+66.0
Wright 1,113 13.0% 7,342 85.5% 130 8,585 R+72.6
Cooper 2,040 23.8% 6,227 72.6% 313 8,580 R+48.8
Bates 1,556 18.8% 6,539 78.9% 195 8,290 R+60.1
Dallas 1,255 15.8% 6,498 81.6% 208 7,961 R+65.9
Gasconade 1,315 16.9% 6,351 81.7% 107 7,773 R+64.8
Macon 1,413 18.3% 6,191 80.3% 108 7,712 R+62.0
Pike 1,572 20.9% 5,821 77.4% 126 7,519 R+56.5
Osage 813 10.9% 6,543 87.7% 104 7,460 R+76.8
New Madrid 1,676 23.6% 5,326 75.1% 87 7,089 R+51.5
Dent 1,042 14.7% 5,884 83.1% 154 7,080 R+68.4
Moniteau 1,201 17.0% 5,679 80.6% 168 7,048 R+63.5
Cedar 1,070 15.5% 5,657 81.9% 176 6,903 R+66.4
Douglas 941 13.8% 5,771 84.4% 127 6,839 R+70.6
Livingston 1,040 15.6% 5,536 83.0% 90 6,666 R+67.4
Barton 758 12.8% 5,053 85.1% 129 5,940 R+72.3
Bollinger 791 13.4% 5,020 85.3% 73 5,884 R+71.9
Wayne 821 14.3% 4,823 84.2% 85 5,729 R+69.9
Montgomery 1,024 18.1% 4,552 80.5% 82 5,658 R+62.4
Linn 1,091 19.4% 4,429 78.7% 110 5,630 R+59.3
Madison 1,085 19.4% 4,413 78.9% 95 5,593 R+59.5
Ripley 840 15.1% 4,655 83.6% 70 5,565 R+68.6
Ralls 1,094 19.7% 4,369 78.6% 96 5,559 R+58.9
Pemiscot 1,488 27.0% 3,953 71.8% 62 5,503 R+44.8
Hickory 962 19.3% 3,907 78.4% 112 4,981 R+59.1
Howard 1,313 26.4% 3,474 69.9% 180 4,967 R+43.5
St. Clair 965 19.6% 3,847 78.3% 104 4,916 R+58.6
DeKalb 820 17.2% 3,840 80.4% 115 4,775 R+63.2
Ozark 706 14.9% 3,976 83.8% 62 4,744 R+68.9
Maries 740 15.7% 3,885 82.6% 80 4,705 R+66.8
Mississippi 1,077 23.3% 3,457 74.9% 81 4,615 R+51.6
Oregon 817 17.7% 3,713 80.5% 84 4,614 R+62.8
Caldwell 768 16.7% 3,693 80.2% 142 4,603 R+63.5
Lewis 783 17.5% 3,625 80.9% 73 4,481 R+63.4
Carroll 639 14.3% 3,772 84.5% 55 4,466 R+70.2
Iron 985 22.3% 3,358 75.9% 82 4,425 R+53.6
Grundy 661 15.0% 3,662 83.3% 74 4,397 R+68.3
Monroe 803 18.5% 3,460 79.6% 85 4,348 R+61.1
Dade 605 15.0% 3,345 82.8% 89 4,039 R+67.8
Chariton 782 19.5% 3,175 79.0% 60 4,017 R+59.6
Daviess 638 16.6% 3,125 81.3% 82 3,845 R+64.7
Shannon 717 18.9% 3,039 80.0% 43 3,799 R+61.1
Harrison 496 13.1% 3,250 85.8% 42 3,788 R+72.7
Clark 587 17.7% 2,660 80.1% 72 3,319 R+62.5
Shelby 502 15.4% 2,704 83.0% 50 3,256 R+67.6
Gentry 535 16.8% 2,591 81.2% 63 3,189 R+64.5
Reynolds 546 17.3% 2,546 80.7% 64 3,156 R+63.4
Carter 392 14.0% 2,378 84.8% 35 2,805 R+70.8
Atchison 444 16.0% 2,257 81.4% 72 2,773 R+65.4
Sullivan 411 16.9% 1,992 81.8% 33 2,436 R+64.9
Holt 264 11.4% 2,002 86.4% 52 2,318 R+75.0
Putnam 272 11.8% 2,013 87.1% 26 2,311 R+75.3
Schuyler 290 14.8% 1,624 83.1% 40 1,954 R+68.3
Scotland 278 14.5% 1,614 84.0% 30 1,922 R+69.5
Knox 252 14.0% 1,513 84.3% 29 1,794 R+70.3
Mercer 181 10.4% 1,544 88.5% 19 1,744 R+78.2
Worth 192 17.7% 865 79.6% 30 1,087 R+61.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Missouri in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 2, R 6 R+20.0
2022 D 2, R 6 R+20.8
2020 D 2, R 6 R+18.6
2018 D 2, R 6 R+12.5
2016 D 2, R 6 R+20.3
2014 D 2, R 6 R+22.8
2012 D 2, R 6 R+12.9
2010 D 3, R 6 R+20.6
2008 D 4, R 5 D+3.5
2006 D 4, R 5 R+2.7
2004 D 4, R 5 R+8.9
2002 D 4, R 5 R+8.5
2000 D 4, R 5 level
1998 D 5, R 4 D+2.5
1996 D 5, R 3 D+13.4
1994 D 6, R 3 D+3.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+9.9
1990 D 6, R 3 D+7.6