United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 US House elections in New Mexico

New Mexico elected 3 members of the House in 2020: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 1.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 7.5 points: Yvette Herrell (Republican) beat Xochitl Torres Small (Democrat), 53.9% to 46.4%, a margin of 7.5 points and 19,769 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 19 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 14. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 311,007 votes and went to the Democrat by 18.0 points. The closest was Harding, where 107 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Deb Haaland186,952 (58.2%) Michelle Garcia Holmes134,336 (41.8%) D+16.4
2 Xochitl Torres Small122,506 (46.4%) Yvette Herrell142,275 (53.9%) R+7.5
3 Teresa Leger Fernandez186,282 (58.7%) Alexis Johnson131,166 (41.3%) D+17.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 183,473 59.0% 127,536 41.0% 311,007 D+18.0
Dona Ana 49,417 61.1% 31,694 39.2% 80,941 D+21.9
Santa Fe 61,933 77.0% 18,523 23.0% 80,456 D+54.0
Sandoval 39,575 52.7% 35,455 47.3% 75,030 D+5.5
San Juan 17,730 34.8% 33,207 65.2% 50,937 R+30.4
Valencia 15,131 47.9% 16,499 52.3% 31,576 R+4.3
McKinley 17,217 67.9% 8,162 32.2% 25,374 D+35.7
Otero 9,007 39.3% 13,970 61.0% 22,918 R+21.7
Eddy 6,001 26.5% 16,645 73.6% 22,605 R+47.1
Chaves 7,054 32.1% 14,975 68.2% 21,966 R+36.1
Lea 4,557 22.5% 15,772 77.8% 20,280 R+55.3
Taos 13,419 80.0% 3,363 20.0% 16,782 D+59.9
Rio Arriba 11,377 71.1% 4,633 28.9% 16,010 D+42.1
Curry 4,301 29.2% 10,420 70.8% 14,721 R+41.6
Grant 7,897 55.8% 6,282 44.4% 14,140 D+11.4
Los Alamos 7,062 58.4% 5,028 41.6% 12,090 D+16.8
San Miguel 8,455 74.6% 2,884 25.4% 11,339 D+49.1
Lincoln 3,323 32.9% 6,808 67.3% 10,109 R+34.5
Cibola 4,868 56.2% 3,817 44.1% 8,656 D+12.1
Luna 3,854 48.9% 4,045 51.3% 7,882 R+2.4
Torrance 2,323 32.4% 4,854 67.6% 7,177 R+35.3
Socorro 3,975 56.8% 3,048 43.6% 6,996 D+13.3
Roosevelt 1,817 28.2% 4,632 71.9% 6,440 R+43.7
Colfax 2,789 47.1% 3,132 52.9% 5,921 R+5.8
Sierra 2,381 41.1% 3,425 59.1% 5,797 R+18.0
Quay 1,194 31.9% 2,554 68.1% 3,748 R+36.3
Mora 1,867 72.1% 724 27.9% 2,591 D+44.1
Catron 619 27.6% 1,631 72.8% 2,241 R+45.2
Guadalupe 1,352 63.8% 772 36.4% 2,119 D+27.4
Hidalgo 881 46.5% 1,018 53.8% 1,893 R+7.2
Union 398 22.8% 1,344 77.2% 1,742 R+54.3
De Baca 269 30.6% 615 69.9% 880 R+39.3
Harding 187 38.9% 294 61.1% 481 R+22.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2022 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2020 D 2, R 1 D+9.7
2018 D 3, R 0 D+20.1
2016 D 2, R 1 D+12.0
2014 D 2, R 1 D+6.0
2012 D 2, R 1 D+10.3
2010 D 2, R 1 D+3.2
2008 D 3, R 0 D+16.7
2006 D 1, R 2 D+11.6
2004 D 1, R 2 D+3.6
2002 D 1, R 2 D+19.8
2000 D 1, R 2 D+4.4
1998 D 1, R 2 R+3.6
1996 D 1, R 2 D+1.9
1994 D 1, R 2 R+16.5
1992 D 1, R 2 R+0.9
1990 D 1, R 2 R+19.0