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Election 2010 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2010 US House elections in New Mexico

New Mexico elected 3 members of the House in 2010: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 1.

The closest was the 1st district, decided by 3.6 points: Martin Heinrich (Democrat) beat Jonathan L. Barela (Republican), 51.8% to 48.2%, a margin of 3.6 points and 7,795 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 18 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 15. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 201,779 votes and went to the Democrat by 4.7 points. The closest was Harding, where 1 vote separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Martin Heinrich112,010 (51.8%) Jonathan L. Barela104,215 (48.2%) D+3.6
2 Harry Teague75,708 (44.6%) Steve Pearce94,053 (55.4%) R+10.8
3 Ben Ray Lujan120,048 (57.0%) Thomas E. Mullins90,617 (43.0%) D+14.0

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 105,647 52.4% 96,132 47.6% 201,779 D+4.7
Santa Fe 37,966 71.6% 15,042 28.4% 53,008 D+43.2
Dona Ana 26,749 56.8% 20,370 43.2% 47,119 D+13.5
Sandoval 20,309 48.0% 22,035 52.0% 42,344 R+4.1
San Juan 12,231 34.4% 23,327 65.6% 35,558 R+31.2
Valencia 10,147 46.4% 11,739 53.6% 21,886 R+7.3
McKinley 12,233 73.8% 4,349 26.2% 16,582 D+47.5
Chaves 4,816 30.5% 10,958 69.5% 15,774 R+38.9
Otero 6,117 38.9% 9,590 61.1% 15,707 R+22.1
Eddy 4,775 33.0% 9,714 67.0% 14,489 R+34.1
Lea 2,803 21.6% 10,181 78.4% 12,984 R+56.8
Taos 9,621 81.4% 2,200 18.6% 11,821 D+62.8
Rio Arriba 8,653 73.5% 3,126 26.5% 11,779 D+46.9
Grant 5,750 55.6% 4,590 44.4% 10,340 D+11.2
Curry 2,851 28.8% 7,049 71.2% 9,900 R+42.4
San Miguel 6,989 77.1% 2,080 22.9% 9,069 D+54.1
Los Alamos 4,100 47.3% 4,570 52.7% 8,670 R+5.4
Lincoln 2,193 29.6% 5,216 70.4% 7,409 R+40.8
Cibola 3,767 58.5% 2,672 41.5% 6,439 D+17.0
Socorro 3,090 50.2% 3,065 49.8% 6,155 D+0.4
Luna 3,070 51.0% 2,946 49.0% 6,016 D+2.1
Torrance 2,162 38.7% 3,431 61.3% 5,593 R+22.7
Colfax 2,559 53.2% 2,252 46.8% 4,811 D+6.4
Roosevelt 1,353 30.8% 3,038 69.2% 4,391 R+38.4
Sierra 1,646 38.4% 2,642 61.6% 4,288 R+23.2
Quay 1,270 42.8% 1,698 57.2% 2,968 R+14.4
Mora 1,961 76.3% 609 23.7% 2,570 D+52.6
Catron 533 28.7% 1,321 71.3% 1,854 R+42.5
Guadalupe 1,144 62.2% 696 37.8% 1,840 D+24.3
Hidalgo 859 50.5% 842 49.5% 1,701 D+1.0
Union 542 37.4% 908 62.6% 1,450 R+25.2
De Baca 299 34.8% 560 65.2% 859 R+30.4
Harding 268 49.9% 269 50.1% 537 R+0.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2022 D 3, R 0 D+10.1
2020 D 2, R 1 D+9.7
2018 D 3, R 0 D+20.1
2016 D 2, R 1 D+12.0
2014 D 2, R 1 D+6.0
2012 D 2, R 1 D+10.3
2010 D 2, R 1 D+3.2
2008 D 3, R 0 D+16.7
2006 D 1, R 2 D+11.6
2004 D 1, R 2 D+3.6
2002 D 1, R 2 D+19.8
2000 D 1, R 2 D+4.4
1998 D 1, R 2 R+3.6
1996 D 1, R 2 D+1.9
1994 D 1, R 2 R+16.5
1992 D 1, R 2 R+0.9
1990 D 1, R 2 R+19.0