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Election 2010 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2010 US House elections in Virginia

Virginia elected 11 members of the House in 2010: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 8.

The closest was the 11th district, decided by 0.4 points: Gerald E. Connolly (Democrat) beat Keith S. Fimian (Republican), 49.2% to 48.8%, a margin of 0.4 points and 981 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 98 of the 129 counties and Democrats in 31. The largest, Fairfax, cast 310,491 votes and went to the Democrat by 2.3 points. The closest was Lee, where 26 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Krystal M. Ball73,824 (34.8%) Robert J. Wittman135,564 (63.9%) 2,848 R+29.1
2 Glenn C. Nye70,591 (42.5%) E. Scott Rigell88,340 (53.1%) 7,358 R+10.7
3 Robert C. "Bobby" Scott114,754 (70.0%) C. L. "Chuck" Smith, Jr.44,553 (27.2%) 4,593 D+42.8
4 Wynne V. E. Legrow74,298 (37.5%) J. Randy Forbes123,659 (62.3%) 432 R+24.9
5 Thomas S. P. Perriello110,562 (47.0%) Robert Hurt119,560 (50.8%) 5,177 R+3.8
6 none Bob Goodlatte127,487 (76.3%) 39,667 R+76.3
7 Rick E. Waugh79,616 (34.1%) Eric Cantor138,209 (59.2%) 15,577 R+25.1
8 James P. Moran116,404 (61.0%) J. Patrick Murray71,145 (37.3%) 3,199 D+23.7
9 Rick Boucher86,743 (46.4%) H. Morgan Griffith95,726 (51.2%) 4,448 R+4.8
10 Jeffery R. Barnett72,604 (34.8%) Frank R. Wolf131,116 (62.9%) 4,836 R+28.1
11 Gerald E. Connolly111,720 (49.2%) Keith S. Fimian110,739 (48.8%) 4,492 D+0.4

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 156,162 50.3% 149,019 48.0% 5,310 310,491 D+2.3
Virginia Beach city 48,674 41.0% 64,156 54.1% 5,781 118,611 R+13.1
Henrico 44,851 46.1% 47,384 48.7% 5,009 97,244 R+2.6
Chesterfield 33,659 34.8% 58,686 60.7% 4,283 96,628 R+25.9
Prince William 41,851 46.0% 47,191 51.9% 1,954 90,996 R+5.9
Loudoun 25,120 34.6% 45,765 63.0% 1,739 72,624 R+28.4
Arlington 39,829 63.3% 21,626 34.4% 1,417 62,872 D+29.0
Chesapeake city 21,399 37.1% 36,201 62.7% 97 57,697 R+25.7
Richmond 38,553 70.0% 14,761 26.8% 1,774 55,088 D+43.2
Roanoke 2,156 4.4% 35,424 71.7% 11,850 49,430 R+67.3
Norfolk city 32,362 66.2% 14,944 30.6% 1,548 48,854 D+35.7
Newport News city 23,717 55.3% 18,295 42.7% 863 42,875 D+12.6
Albemarle 22,874 57.2% 16,594 41.5% 496 39,964 D+15.7
Alexandria city 25,206 63.2% 14,057 35.3% 604 39,867 D+28.0
Hanover 8,183 22.9% 23,753 66.6% 3,741 35,677 R+43.6
Stafford 10,071 33.9% 19,224 64.8% 390 29,685 R+30.8
Portsmouth city 20,026 68.3% 8,154 27.8% 1,155 29,335 D+40.5
Spotsylvania 9,058 32.3% 18,541 66.1% 442 28,041 R+33.8
Bedford 4,907 18.9% 18,919 72.9% 2,112 25,938 R+54.0
James City 8,102 32.4% 16,532 66.1% 381 25,015 R+33.7
Montgomery 12,186 52.3% 10,603 45.5% 517 23,306 D+6.8
Suffolk city 9,334 40.9% 13,452 59.0% 28 22,814 R+18.1
Hampton city 11,512 50.8% 10,589 46.7% 581 22,682 D+4.1
Pittsylvania 8,032 36.5% 13,531 61.5% 449 22,012 R+25.0
Franklin 7,602 36.8% 12,411 60.0% 657 20,670 R+23.3
York 5,618 27.9% 14,206 70.7% 281 20,105 R+42.7
Frederick 4,275 22.6% 14,008 74.2% 599 18,882 R+51.5
Campbell 5,770 31.1% 12,189 65.7% 581 18,540 R+34.6
Fauquier 5,189 28.1% 12,899 69.8% 384 18,472 R+41.7
Washington 7,574 41.5% 10,149 55.6% 534 18,257 R+14.1
Rockingham 0 0.0% 14,585 81.5% 3,320 17,905 R+81.5
Augusta 0 0.0% 13,898 80.8% 3,295 17,193 R+80.8
Lynchburg city 0 0.0% 12,175 71.7% 4,795 16,970 R+71.7
Henry 7,068 42.0% 9,200 54.7% 545 16,813 R+12.7
Danville city 8,552 57.6% 6,135 41.3% 169 14,856 D+16.3
Charlottesville city 11,036 79.9% 2,662 19.3% 112 13,810 D+60.6
Halifax 5,454 45.6% 6,254 52.3% 252 11,960 R+6.7
Tazewell 4,647 39.2% 6,978 58.8% 235 11,860 R+19.7
Isle of Wight 3,442 30.7% 7,756 69.1% 23 11,221 R+38.4
Gloucester 2,660 24.8% 7,959 74.1% 125 10,744 R+49.3
Botetourt 0 0.0% 8,667 82.4% 1,848 10,515 R+82.4
Culpeper 2,957 28.7% 6,897 67.0% 440 10,294 R+38.3
Pulaski 4,891 48.3% 5,024 49.6% 216 10,131 R+1.3
Mecklenburg 4,345 43.2% 5,539 55.1% 169 10,053 R+11.9
Wise 4,867 48.6% 4,988 49.8% 156 10,011 R+1.2
Accomack 4,022 40.7% 5,627 57.0% 230 9,879 R+16.2
Prince George 3,387 34.9% 6,134 63.3% 171 9,692 R+28.3
Fluvanna 4,530 47.3% 4,857 50.7% 195 9,582 R+3.4
Louisa 3,314 34.8% 5,740 60.2% 473 9,527 R+25.5
Powhatan 1,768 18.9% 7,580 81.0% 13 9,361 R+62.1
Shenandoah 0 0.0% 7,197 77.9% 2,044 9,241 R+77.9
Orange 2,900 31.8% 5,983 65.7% 229 9,112 R+33.8
Smyth 4,117 45.6% 4,582 50.8% 324 9,023 R+5.2
Wythe 3,903 43.9% 4,736 53.3% 245 8,884 R+9.4
Russell 4,679 53.3% 3,941 44.9% 160 8,780 D+8.4
Goochland 2,508 28.8% 5,541 63.7% 653 8,702 R+34.9
Carroll 3,326 38.7% 4,917 57.2% 346 8,589 R+18.5
Warren 2,099 25.7% 5,844 71.5% 235 8,178 R+45.8
Amherst 0 0.0% 6,511 81.4% 1,485 7,996 R+81.4
Petersburg city 5,982 75.2% 1,925 24.2% 45 7,952 D+51.0
Dinwiddie 2,878 38.7% 4,561 61.3% 6 7,445 R+22.6
New Kent 1,963 26.8% 5,050 68.9% 314 7,327 R+42.1
Caroline 3,330 46.3% 3,687 51.2% 180 7,197 R+5.0
Scott 3,384 47.2% 3,670 51.2% 108 7,162 R+4.0
Manassas city 2,562 36.4% 4,342 61.7% 132 7,036 R+25.3
Buchanan 3,847 56.8% 2,844 42.0% 77 6,768 D+14.8
Salem city 0 0.0% 4,976 75.9% 1,584 6,560 R+75.9
Lee 3,183 49.1% 3,209 49.5% 90 6,482 R+0.4
Harrisonburg city 0 0.0% 3,783 60.8% 2,443 6,226 R+60.8
Nelson 3,339 54.1% 2,694 43.7% 137 6,170 D+10.5
King George 1,862 30.4% 4,211 68.7% 56 6,129 R+38.3
Greene 2,292 37.5% 3,670 60.0% 154 6,116 R+22.5
Prince Edward 3,199 53.2% 2,710 45.1% 106 6,015 D+8.1
Appomattox 1,968 33.4% 3,768 64.0% 148 5,884 R+30.6
Patrick 2,072 37.7% 3,304 60.1% 126 5,502 R+22.4
Giles 2,908 52.9% 2,469 44.9% 116 5,493 D+8.0
Rockbridge 0 0.0% 3,963 74.8% 1,336 5,299 R+74.8
Brunswick 3,125 59.3% 2,076 39.4% 73 5,274 D+19.9
Floyd 2,295 44.0% 2,796 53.6% 127 5,218 R+9.6
Northumberland 1,585 30.5% 3,571 68.7% 39 5,195 R+38.2
King William 1,563 30.3% 3,520 68.2% 81 5,164 R+37.9
Colonial Heights city 713 13.8% 4,430 86.0% 11 5,154 R+72.1
Winchester city 1,736 33.8% 3,257 63.4% 148 5,141 R+29.6
Grayson 2,133 41.8% 2,772 54.3% 202 5,107 R+12.5
Dickenson 2,940 58.2% 2,038 40.3% 74 5,052 D+17.9
Staunton city 0 0.0% 3,271 65.6% 1,718 4,989 R+65.6
Buckingham 2,545 51.5% 2,281 46.1% 118 4,944 D+5.3
Bristol city 2,000 41.4% 2,725 56.4% 110 4,835 R+15.0
Lancaster 1,536 32.1% 3,202 66.8% 53 4,791 R+34.8
Page 1,134 23.8% 3,475 73.0% 151 4,760 R+49.2
Fredericksburg city 2,260 47.7% 2,380 50.3% 95 4,735 R+2.5
Southampton 1,654 35.1% 3,056 64.8% 5 4,715 R+29.7
Hopewell city 1,935 41.6% 2,703 58.2% 9 4,647 R+16.5
Poquoson city 631 13.8% 3,891 84.9% 59 4,581 R+71.2
Westmoreland 1,607 35.1% 2,925 63.9% 45 4,577 R+28.8
Clarke 1,434 31.5% 2,966 65.2% 146 4,546 R+33.7
Alleghany 1,437 31.7% 2,778 61.3% 317 4,532 R+29.6
Martinsville city 2,655 60.2% 1,660 37.6% 95 4,410 D+22.6
Charlotte 1,877 42.9% 2,381 54.4% 117 4,375 R+11.5
Falls Church city 2,745 63.7% 1,486 34.5% 77 4,308 D+29.2
Waynesboro city 0 0.0% 3,191 74.8% 1,077 4,268 R+74.8
Lunenburg 1,889 45.1% 2,190 52.2% 114 4,193 R+7.2
Northampton 2,119 52.3% 1,819 44.9% 114 4,052 D+7.4
Amelia 1,139 28.4% 2,860 71.4% 5 4,004 R+43.0
Madison 1,271 32.1% 2,583 65.2% 106 3,960 R+33.1
Middlesex 1,088 27.9% 2,772 71.1% 40 3,900 R+43.2
Nottoway 1,411 36.8% 2,416 63.0% 10 3,837 R+26.2
Williamsburg city 1,843 51.1% 1,676 46.4% 90 3,609 D+4.6
Mathews 863 25.5% 2,488 73.4% 39 3,390 R+47.9
Surry 1,989 58.9% 1,278 37.9% 108 3,375 D+21.1
Cumberland 1,561 47.1% 1,657 50.0% 99 3,317 R+2.9
Radford city 1,778 56.6% 1,306 41.6% 58 3,142 D+15.0
Sussex 1,479 47.7% 1,622 52.3% 1 3,102 R+4.6
Greensville 1,564 51.3% 1,481 48.6% 3 3,048 D+2.7
Essex 1,203 40.1% 1,764 58.8% 35 3,002 R+18.7
Charles City 1,834 63.1% 1,039 35.7% 35 2,908 D+27.3
Rappahannock 1,145 41.7% 1,535 55.9% 68 2,748 R+14.2
King and Queen 948 39.7% 1,407 59.0% 30 2,385 R+19.2
Craig 985 43.0% 1,239 54.1% 65 2,289 R+11.1
Bland 843 40.3% 1,191 57.0% 57 2,091 R+16.6
Manassas Park city 766 42.4% 999 55.3% 40 1,805 R+12.9
Galax city 813 49.7% 764 46.7% 59 1,636 D+3.0
Emporia city 728 48.3% 778 51.6% 2 1,508 R+3.3
Covington city 601 42.2% 741 52.0% 83 1,425 R+9.8
Lexington city 0 0.0% 722 56.7% 552 1,274 R+56.7
Buena Vista city 0 0.0% 972 81.7% 218 1,190 R+81.7
Bath 0 0.0% 882 78.7% 239 1,121 R+78.7
Norton city 622 59.2% 418 39.8% 11 1,051 D+19.4
Highland 0 0.0% 663 78.6% 181 844 R+78.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 6, R 5 D+3.8
2022 D 6, R 5 D+3.6
2020 D 7, R 4 D+4.8
2018 D 7, R 4 D+13.8
2016 D 4, R 7 D+0.4
2014 D 3, R 8 R+13.9
2012 D 3, R 8 R+1.9
2010 D 3, R 8 R+12.6
2008 D 6, R 5 D+7.5
2006 D 3, R 8 R+12.0
2004 D 3, R 8 R+26.4
2002 D 3, R 8 R+37.4
2000 D 4, R 6 R+3.0
1998 D 6, R 5 R+2.4
1996 D 6, R 5 R+4.1
1994 D 6, R 5 R+17.6
1992 D 7, R 4 D+0.3
1990 D 6, R 4 D+21.8