United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in Virginia

Virginia elected 11 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 6 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 7th district, decided by 2.6 points: Eugene Vindman (Democrat) beat Derrick Anderson (Republican), 51.2% to 48.5%, a margin of 2.6 points and 10,489 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 94 of the 133 counties and Democrats in 39. The largest, Fairfax, cast 577,213 votes and went to the Democrat by 34.0 points. The closest was Surry, where 45 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Leslie Mehta208,445 (43.5%) Rob Wittman269,657 (56.3%) 804 R+12.8
2 Missy Cotter Smasal191,666 (46.9%) Jen Kiggans207,368 (50.7%) 9,668 R+3.8
3 Bobby Scott219,926 (70.0%) John Sitka93,801 (29.8%) 670 D+40.1
4 Jennifer McClellan252,885 (67.3%) Bill Moher121,814 (32.4%) 809 D+34.9
5 Gloria Witt184,229 (42.3%) John McGuire249,564 (57.3%) 2,046 R+15.0
6 Ken Mitchell141,612 (34.8%) Ben Cline256,933 (63.1%) 8,490 R+28.3
7 Eugene Vindman203,336 (51.2%) Derrick Anderson192,847 (48.5%) 1,116 D+2.6
8 Don Beyer274,593 (71.5%) Jerry Torres94,676 (24.7%) 14,646 D+46.9
9 Karen Baker109,570 (27.3%) Morgan Griffith290,645 (72.5%) 748 R+45.2
10 Suhas Subramanyam215,131 (52.1%) Mike Clancy196,343 (47.5%) 1,538 D+4.6
11 Gerry Connolly273,529 (66.7%) Mike Van Meter134,802 (32.9%) 1,855 D+33.8

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 382,726 66.3% 186,198 32.3% 8,289 577,213 D+34.0
Loudoun 127,234 56.0% 98,857 43.5% 1,027 227,118 D+12.5
Virginia Beach city 108,936 48.3% 111,293 49.3% 5,403 225,632 R+1.0
Prince William 130,533 58.4% 92,173 41.2% 869 223,575 D+17.2
Chesterfield 110,372 53.4% 95,945 46.4% 416 206,733 D+7.0
Henrico 112,355 62.9% 65,984 36.9% 335 178,674 D+26.0
Arlington 96,185 75.4% 26,659 20.9% 4,801 127,645 D+54.5
Chesapeake city 64,516 51.1% 59,978 47.5% 1,787 126,281 D+3.6
Richmond city 88,376 83.3% 17,394 16.4% 291 106,061 D+66.9
Norfolk city 61,429 72.7% 22,874 27.1% 206 84,509 D+45.6
Stafford 40,897 49.8% 41,019 50.0% 173 82,089 R+0.1
Alexandria city 59,657 75.1% 16,692 21.0% 3,117 79,466 D+54.1
Spotsylvania 35,407 45.2% 42,775 54.6% 147 78,329 R+9.4
Newport News city 50,150 67.6% 23,929 32.2% 144 74,223 D+35.3
Hanover 24,297 33.5% 48,071 66.3% 149 72,517 R+32.8
Albemarle 42,699 64.6% 23,210 35.1% 230 66,139 D+29.5
Hampton city 44,868 73.2% 16,335 26.6% 97 61,300 D+46.5
Roanoke 20,020 35.5% 35,800 63.4% 625 56,445 R+28.0
Suffolk city 28,918 54.9% 22,310 42.3% 1,467 52,695 D+12.5
Frederick 16,963 33.0% 33,057 64.4% 1,341 51,361 R+31.3
James City 24,239 47.7% 26,471 52.1% 91 50,801 R+4.4
Bedford 11,770 23.4% 38,377 76.3% 143 50,290 R+52.9
Rockingham 13,781 28.4% 33,912 70.0% 752 48,445 R+41.6
Montgomery 22,983 49.4% 23,423 50.3% 139 46,545 R+0.9
Augusta 10,211 23.1% 33,267 75.3% 717 44,195 R+52.2
Fauquier 16,073 36.7% 27,662 63.1% 70 43,805 R+26.5
Roanoke city 23,679 57.2% 16,642 40.2% 1,059 41,380 D+17.0
Portsmouth city 29,137 72.3% 11,111 27.6% 67 40,315 D+44.7
York 16,392 42.0% 22,568 57.8% 56 39,016 R+15.8
Lynchburg city 16,500 45.3% 19,693 54.0% 250 36,443 R+8.8
Pittsylvania 9,237 27.8% 23,902 71.9% 106 33,245 R+44.1
Campbell 7,642 24.7% 23,042 74.5% 241 30,925 R+49.8
Franklin 7,906 26.0% 22,506 73.9% 40 30,452 R+47.9
Washington 6,761 23.2% 22,354 76.6% 58 29,173 R+53.5
Culpeper 10,526 37.4% 17,602 62.5% 47 28,175 R+25.1
Henry 7,975 32.0% 16,871 67.8% 52 24,898 R+35.7
Isle of Wight 9,099 37.3% 14,781 60.5% 535 24,415 R+23.3
Shenandoah 6,287 26.0% 17,462 72.2% 426 24,175 R+46.2
Louisa 8,265 34.9% 15,322 64.6% 126 23,713 R+29.8
Charlottesville city 19,041 82.9% 3,815 16.6% 106 22,962 D+66.3
Gloucester 6,107 26.7% 16,695 73.1% 39 22,841 R+46.4
Warren 6,391 28.7% 15,430 69.2% 477 22,298 R+40.5
Orange 8,257 37.5% 13,700 62.2% 66 22,023 R+24.7
Botetourt 5,163 23.9% 16,039 74.3% 371 21,573 R+50.4
Powhatan 5,352 25.8% 15,278 73.8% 78 20,708 R+47.9
Goochland 7,267 37.4% 12,068 62.1% 95 19,430 R+24.7
Tazewell 3,191 16.5% 16,113 83.3% 30 19,334 R+66.8
Halifax 6,780 38.4% 10,799 61.2% 70 17,649 R+22.8
Pulaski 4,568 26.1% 12,877 73.7% 24 17,469 R+47.6
Caroline 7,688 44.5% 9,562 55.3% 28 17,278 R+10.8
Amherst 5,535 32.2% 11,609 67.5% 55 17,199 R+35.3
Prince George 6,941 40.4% 10,235 59.5% 13 17,189 R+19.2
Accomack 7,044 41.1% 9,795 57.1% 312 17,151 R+16.0
Danville city 10,137 59.4% 6,896 40.4% 42 17,075 D+19.0
Harrisonburg city 9,865 58.9% 6,415 38.3% 470 16,750 D+20.6
New Kent 5,140 31.0% 11,432 68.9% 19 16,591 R+37.9
Fluvanna 7,438 45.1% 8,983 54.4% 80 16,501 R+9.4
Wise 3,247 19.8% 13,082 79.9% 44 16,373 R+60.1
Carroll 2,879 18.1% 12,984 81.8% 14 15,877 R+63.6
Manassas city 8,741 55.5% 6,961 44.2% 44 15,746 D+11.3
Mecklenburg 5,887 37.4% 9,794 62.3% 48 15,729 R+24.8
Dinwiddie 6,055 39.4% 9,273 60.4% 31 15,359 R+21.0
King George 5,586 36.6% 9,662 63.3% 25 15,273 R+26.7
Wythe 2,990 19.6% 12,208 80.2% 31 15,229 R+60.5
Smyth 2,776 19.5% 11,425 80.3% 28 14,229 R+60.8
Fredericksburg city 8,719 65.1% 4,636 34.6% 37 13,392 D+30.5
Staunton city 7,046 52.8% 6,002 44.9% 306 13,354 D+7.8
Fairfax city 8,804 66.2% 4,434 33.3% 66 13,304 D+32.8
Russell 2,564 19.3% 10,696 80.5% 25 13,285 R+61.2
Page 2,698 20.8% 10,029 77.3% 252 12,979 R+56.5
Salem city 4,636 35.9% 7,975 61.7% 319 12,930 R+25.8
Petersburg city 11,160 87.4% 1,582 12.4% 33 12,775 D+75.0
Rockbridge 3,928 30.8% 8,639 67.8% 176 12,743 R+37.0
Greene 4,509 37.8% 7,397 62.0% 23 11,929 R+24.2
Winchester city 6,076 52.2% 5,250 45.1% 318 11,644 D+7.1
King William 3,093 27.3% 8,194 72.4% 29 11,316 R+45.1
Waynesboro city 4,846 43.8% 5,954 53.8% 262 11,062 R+10.0
Scott 1,743 16.1% 9,089 83.7% 23 10,855 R+67.7
Westmoreland 3,916 37.6% 6,484 62.3% 13 10,413 R+24.7
Lee 1,456 14.8% 8,357 85.0% 19 9,832 R+70.2
Southampton 3,551 36.8% 5,978 61.9% 126 9,655 R+25.1
Clarke 3,787 39.3% 5,639 58.5% 210 9,636 R+19.2
Floyd 2,957 30.8% 6,618 69.0% 12 9,587 R+38.2
Appomattox 2,206 23.3% 7,147 75.6% 101 9,454 R+52.3
Patrick 1,829 19.4% 7,595 80.5% 10 9,434 R+61.1
Nelson 4,189 45.0% 5,079 54.5% 43 9,311 R+9.6
Prince Edward 4,296 47.1% 4,781 52.4% 44 9,121 R+5.3
Giles 1,964 21.6% 7,119 78.2% 15 9,098 R+56.7
Buchanan 1,471 16.2% 7,598 83.6% 18 9,087 R+67.4
Falls Church city 6,988 78.3% 1,677 18.8% 265 8,930 D+59.5
Hopewell city 5,079 58.5% 3,592 41.3% 17 8,688 D+17.1
Colonial Heights city 3,087 36.1% 5,458 63.8% 10 8,555 R+27.7
Madison 2,659 31.8% 5,703 68.1% 8 8,370 R+36.4
Northumberland 2,805 34.4% 5,319 65.3% 23 8,147 R+30.9
Alleghany 1,900 23.5% 5,980 74.1% 193 8,073 R+50.5
Grayson 1,525 19.1% 6,426 80.7% 14 7,965 R+61.5
Poquoson city 1,790 22.5% 6,146 77.3% 13 7,949 R+54.8
Amelia 2,009 25.7% 5,755 73.7% 49 7,813 R+47.9
Williamsburg city 5,282 68.3% 2,438 31.5% 10 7,730 D+36.8
Buckingham 2,841 36.8% 4,843 62.7% 34 7,718 R+25.9
Brunswick 4,215 55.3% 3,406 44.7% 4 7,625 D+10.6
Bristol city 2,127 29.1% 5,169 70.7% 12 7,308 R+41.6
Lancaster 2,984 41.3% 4,227 58.6% 8 7,219 R+17.2
Dickenson 1,555 22.7% 5,294 77.2% 12 6,861 R+54.5
Middlesex 2,258 33.0% 4,566 66.8% 9 6,833 R+33.8
Northampton 3,386 49.7% 3,333 48.9% 91 6,810 D+0.8
Nottoway 2,495 37.2% 4,190 62.5% 20 6,705 R+25.3
Radford city 3,102 48.2% 3,320 51.6% 14 6,436 R+3.4
Essex 2,510 41.8% 3,477 58.0% 11 5,998 R+16.1
Charlotte 1,911 32.2% 4,009 67.5% 20 5,940 R+35.3
Mathews 1,523 25.9% 4,348 74.0% 8 5,879 R+48.1
Manassas Park city 3,432 59.4% 2,311 40.0% 38 5,781 D+19.4
Lunenburg 2,104 36.7% 3,609 63.0% 14 5,727 R+26.3
Martinsville city 3,219 58.6% 2,261 41.2% 12 5,492 D+17.4
Cumberland 1,945 36.5% 3,350 62.9% 27 5,322 R+26.4
Rappahannock 1,958 39.7% 2,964 60.0% 15 4,937 R+20.4
Sussex 2,502 52.8% 2,227 47.0% 7 4,736 D+5.8
Surry 2,176 50.4% 2,131 49.4% 8 4,315 D+1.0
Charles City 2,420 56.8% 1,836 43.1% 3 4,259 D+13.7
King and Queen 1,363 33.0% 2,761 66.9% 6 4,130 R+33.8
Richmond 1,192 29.1% 2,902 70.9% 1 4,095 R+41.8
Greensville 2,289 56.0% 1,787 43.7% 9 4,085 D+12.3
Franklin city 2,181 57.2% 1,525 40.0% 105 3,811 D+17.2
Bland 511 14.7% 2,961 85.2% 2 3,474 R+70.5
Craig 514 16.7% 2,557 83.1% 7 3,078 R+66.4
Lexington city 1,671 58.9% 1,097 38.7% 70 2,838 D+20.2
Buena Vista city 690 24.4% 2,060 72.9% 74 2,824 R+48.5
Galax city 738 27.5% 1,942 72.3% 6 2,686 R+44.8
Bath 541 21.2% 1,962 77.1% 43 2,546 R+55.8
Covington city 703 29.1% 1,656 68.5% 60 2,419 R+39.4
Emporia city 1,413 67.2% 684 32.5% 7 2,104 D+34.6
Norton city 428 26.9% 1,164 73.1% 1 1,593 R+46.2
Highland 390 25.7% 1,104 72.9% 21 1,515 R+47.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 6, R 5 D+3.8
2022 D 6, R 5 D+3.6
2020 D 7, R 4 D+4.8
2018 D 7, R 4 D+13.8
2016 D 4, R 7 D+0.4
2014 D 3, R 8 R+13.9
2012 D 3, R 8 R+1.9
2010 D 3, R 8 R+12.6
2008 D 6, R 5 D+7.5
2006 D 3, R 8 R+12.0
2004 D 3, R 8 R+26.4
2002 D 3, R 8 R+37.4
2000 D 4, R 6 R+3.0
1998 D 6, R 5 R+2.4
1996 D 6, R 5 R+4.1
1994 D 6, R 5 R+17.6
1992 D 7, R 4 D+0.3
1990 D 6, R 4 D+21.8