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United States · Election results history · 2024 House · Kentucky
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in Kentucky

Kentucky elected 6 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 23.9 points: Morgan McGarvey (Democrat) beat Mike Craven (Republican), 61.9% to 38.0%, a margin of 23.9 points and 78,387 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 118 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Jefferson, cast 348,906 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.8 points. The closest was Fulton, where 859 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Erin Marshall85,524 (25.3%) James Comer252,729 (74.7%) R+49.4
2 Hank Linderman93,029 (26.9%) Brett Guthrie252,826 (73.1%) R+46.2
3 Morgan McGarvey203,100 (61.9%) Mike Craven124,713 (38.0%) 51 D+23.9
4 none Thomas Massie278,386 (99.6%) 1,131 R+99.6
5 none Hal Rogers261,407 (100.0%) R+100.0
6 Randy Cravens130,344 (37.0%) Andy Barr222,291 (63.0%) R+26.1

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 210,779 60.4% 138,076 39.6% 51 348,906 D+20.8
Fayette 73,333 51.2% 69,844 48.8% 143,177 D+2.4
Warren 18,659 33.0% 37,809 67.0% 56,468 R+33.9
Kenton 0 0.0% 53,783 99.9% 63 53,846 R+99.9
Boone 0 0.0% 51,749 99.5% 276 52,025 R+99.5
Hardin 15,299 32.2% 32,203 67.8% 47,502 R+35.6
Daviess 14,340 31.0% 31,922 69.0% 46,262 R+38.0
Madison 13,801 31.3% 30,312 68.7% 44,113 R+37.4
Bullitt 10,038 23.7% 32,287 76.3% 42,325 R+52.6
Campbell 0 0.0% 33,467 98.8% 420 33,887 R+98.8
McCracken 9,591 30.2% 22,129 69.8% 31,720 R+39.5
Scott 9,120 30.9% 20,423 69.1% 29,543 R+38.3
Oldham 0 0.0% 27,114 99.2% 212 27,326 R+99.2
Pulaski 0 0.0% 27,318 100.0% 27,318 R+100.0
Jessamine 7,120 26.8% 19,419 73.2% 26,539 R+46.3
Franklin 11,867 46.5% 13,676 53.5% 25,543 R+7.1
Laurel 0 0.0% 24,219 100.0% 24,219 R+100.0
Christian 6,842 32.1% 14,457 67.9% 21,299 R+35.8
Hopkins 4,853 24.0% 15,388 76.0% 20,241 R+52.0
Pike 0 0.0% 19,840 100.0% 19,840 R+100.0
Barren 4,116 21.1% 15,385 78.9% 19,501 R+57.8
Henderson 6,587 33.9% 12,832 66.1% 19,419 R+32.2
Nelson 2,721 14.0% 16,676 85.9% 5 19,402 R+71.9
Shelby 0 0.0% 18,460 99.8% 44 18,504 R+99.8
Clark 5,001 28.1% 12,778 71.9% 17,779 R+43.7
Marshall 3,693 21.1% 13,776 78.9% 17,469 R+57.7
Calloway 4,905 29.2% 11,884 70.8% 16,789 R+41.6
Graves 3,024 18.4% 13,449 81.6% 16,473 R+63.3
Boyd 0 0.0% 15,902 100.0% 15,902 R+100.0
Woodford 5,407 36.2% 9,527 63.8% 14,934 R+27.6
Boyle 4,745 33.4% 9,457 66.6% 14,202 R+33.2
Meade 3,251 23.3% 10,687 76.7% 13,938 R+53.4
Greenup 0 0.0% 13,864 99.7% 35 13,899 R+99.7
Muhlenberg 3,185 24.0% 10,087 76.0% 13,272 R+52.0
Whitley 0 0.0% 13,154 100.0% 13,154 R+100.0
Anderson 2,926 22.5% 10,060 77.5% 12,986 R+54.9
Montgomery 2,964 23.3% 9,765 76.7% 12,729 R+53.4
Logan 2,713 22.0% 9,643 78.0% 12,356 R+56.1
Floyd 0 0.0% 12,268 100.0% 12,268 R+100.0
Taylor 2,460 20.4% 9,595 79.6% 12,055 R+59.2
Grayson 2,015 17.0% 9,866 83.0% 11,881 R+66.1
Mercer 2,607 22.2% 9,123 77.8% 11,730 R+55.5
Knox 0 0.0% 11,127 100.0% 11,127 R+100.0
Ohio 2,054 19.2% 8,666 80.8% 10,720 R+61.7
Breckinridge 1,906 19.3% 7,989 80.7% 9,895 R+61.5
Grant 0 0.0% 9,763 99.8% 19 9,782 R+99.8
Lincoln 0 0.0% 9,497 100.0% 9,497 R+100.0
Bourbon 2,581 27.3% 6,877 72.7% 9,458 R+45.4
Spencer 0 0.0% 9,424 99.9% 6 9,430 R+99.9
Allen 1,433 15.4% 7,857 84.6% 9,290 R+69.1
Carter 0 0.0% 9,200 100.0% 9,200 R+100.0
Harlan 0 0.0% 8,914 100.0% 8,914 R+100.0
Marion 2,533 28.5% 6,352 71.5% 8,885 R+43.0
Garrard 1,517 17.2% 7,313 82.8% 8,830 R+65.6
Adair 1,203 13.7% 7,560 86.3% 8,763 R+72.5
Russell 1,088 12.4% 7,656 87.6% 8,744 R+75.1
Simpson 2,358 27.2% 6,307 72.8% 8,665 R+45.6
Johnson 0 0.0% 8,346 100.0% 8,346 R+100.0
Hart 1,583 19.2% 6,672 80.8% 8,255 R+61.6
Perry 0 0.0% 7,890 100.0% 7,890 R+100.0
Bell 0 0.0% 7,756 100.0% 7,756 R+100.0
Rowan 0 0.0% 7,196 100.0% 7,196 R+100.0
Trigg 1,633 22.9% 5,509 77.1% 7,142 R+54.3
Harrison 0 0.0% 7,136 100.0% 3 7,139 R+100.0
Larue 1,269 17.8% 5,853 82.2% 7,122 R+64.4
Wayne 0 0.0% 7,062 100.0% 7,062 R+100.0
Casey 715 10.2% 6,277 89.8% 6,992 R+79.5
Fleming 1,265 18.3% 5,649 81.7% 6,914 R+63.4
Rockcastle 0 0.0% 6,818 100.0% 6,818 R+100.0
Henry 0 0.0% 6,542 99.7% 17 6,559 R+99.7
Letcher 0 0.0% 6,526 100.0% 6,526 R+100.0
Clay 0 0.0% 6,236 100.0% 6,236 R+100.0
Estill 1,091 17.5% 5,133 82.5% 6,224 R+64.9
Washington 1,500 24.2% 4,698 75.8% 6,198 R+51.6
Edmonson 1,035 16.7% 5,151 83.3% 6,186 R+66.5
Caldwell 1,263 20.6% 4,870 79.4% 6,133 R+58.8
Mason 0 0.0% 6,078 99.9% 8 6,086 R+99.9
Union 1,287 21.7% 4,656 78.3% 5,943 R+56.7
Pendleton 0 0.0% 5,940 100.0% 5,940 R+100.0
Butler 845 14.3% 5,057 85.7% 5,902 R+71.4
Green 688 12.0% 5,041 88.0% 5,729 R+76.0
Lawrence 0 0.0% 5,537 100.0% 5,537 R+100.0
McCreary 0 0.0% 5,483 100.0% 5,483 R+100.0
Webster 1,178 21.6% 4,264 78.4% 5,442 R+56.7
Jackson 0 0.0% 5,239 100.0% 5,239 R+100.0
Monroe 451 8.6% 4,765 91.4% 5,216 R+82.7
Powell 1,127 21.6% 4,084 78.4% 5,211 R+56.7
Lewis 0 0.0% 5,111 100.0% 5,111 R+100.0
Metcalfe 853 16.9% 4,194 83.1% 5,047 R+66.2
Todd 1,049 21.0% 3,953 79.0% 5,002 R+58.1
Livingston 914 18.6% 4,005 81.4% 4,919 R+62.8
Clinton 496 10.6% 4,201 89.4% 4,697 R+78.9
Owen 0 0.0% 4,556 99.9% 4 4,560 R+99.9
McLean 933 20.5% 3,619 79.5% 4,552 R+59.0
Hancock 1,159 25.5% 3,384 74.5% 4,543 R+49.0
Bath 334 7.4% 4,192 92.6% 4,526 R+85.2
Knott 0 0.0% 4,280 100.0% 4,280 R+100.0
Morgan 0 0.0% 4,223 100.0% 4,223 R+100.0
Lyon 909 21.8% 3,257 78.2% 4,166 R+56.4
Magoffin 0 0.0% 4,085 100.0% 4,085 R+100.0
Ballard 710 17.6% 3,324 82.4% 4,034 R+64.8
Breathitt 0 0.0% 3,980 100.0% 3,980 R+100.0
Crittenden 579 14.6% 3,394 85.4% 3,973 R+70.9
Leslie 0 0.0% 3,813 100.0% 3,813 R+100.0
Bracken 0 0.0% 3,523 99.9% 3 3,526 R+99.9
Trimble 0 0.0% 3,457 99.8% 7 3,464 R+99.8
Cumberland 410 12.1% 2,972 87.9% 3,382 R+75.8
Nicholas 681 20.7% 2,607 79.3% 3,288 R+58.6
Martin 0 0.0% 3,272 100.0% 3,272 R+100.0
Gallatin 0 0.0% 3,237 100.0% 3,237 R+100.0
Carroll 0 0.0% 3,154 99.7% 9 3,163 R+99.7
Menifee 0 0.0% 2,596 100.0% 2,596 R+100.0
Carlisle 396 15.3% 2,197 84.7% 2,593 R+69.5
Lee 0 0.0% 2,241 100.0% 2,241 R+100.0
Wolfe 0 0.0% 2,155 100.0% 2,155 R+100.0
Elliott 0 0.0% 2,148 100.0% 2,148 R+100.0
Fulton 630 29.7% 1,489 70.3% 2,119 R+40.5
Hickman 379 18.5% 1,668 81.5% 2,047 R+63.0
Owsley 0 0.0% 1,514 100.0% 1,514 R+100.0
Robertson 0 0.0% 912 100.0% 912 R+100.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 5 R+46.2
2022 D 1, R 5 R+31.6
2020 D 1, R 5 R+29.7
2018 D 1, R 5 R+20.5
2016 D 1, R 5 R+41.4
2014 D 1, R 5 R+27.1
2012 D 1, R 5 R+19.6
2010 D 2, R 4 R+25.0
2008 D 2, R 4 R+11.1
2006 D 2, R 4 R+0.8
2004 D 1, R 5 R+25.4
2002 D 1, R 5 R+31.3
2000 D 1, R 5 R+18.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.5
1996 D 1, R 5 R+18.0
1994 D 2, R 4 R+17.2
1992 D 4, R 2 D+6.1
1990 D 4, R 3 R+5.8