United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 US House elections in Arizona

Arizona elected 9 members of the House in 2024: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 6th district, decided by 2.5 points: Juan Ciscomani (Republican) beat Kirsten Engel (Democrat), 50.0% to 47.5%, a margin of 2.5 points and 10,822 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 11 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,957,681 votes and went to the Republican by 2.3 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 1,118 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Amish Shah208,966 (48.0%) David Schweikert225,538 (51.8%) 786 R+3.8
2 Jonathan Nez184,772 (45.4%) Eli Crane220,641 (54.2%) 1,541 R+8.8
3 Yassamin Ansari143,336 (70.8%) Jeff Zink53,705 (26.5%) 5,358 D+44.3
4 Greg Stanton176,428 (52.7%) Kelly Cooper152,052 (45.4%) 6,325 D+7.3
5 Katrina Schaffner167,680 (39.6%) Andy Biggs255,628 (60.3%) 574 R+20.8
6 Kirsten Engel204,774 (47.5%) Juan Ciscomani215,596 (50.0%) 10,850 R+2.5
7 Raúl Grijalva171,954 (63.4%) Daniel Butierez99,057 (36.6%) D+26.9
8 Greg Whitten160,344 (43.5%) Abraham Hamadeh208,269 (56.5%) R+13.0
9 Quacy Smith132,640 (34.7%) Paul Gosar249,583 (65.2%) 431 R+30.6

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 949,745 48.5% 993,902 50.8% 14,034 1,957,681 R+2.3
Pima 282,627 56.9% 209,966 42.3% 4,049 496,642 D+14.6
Pinal 79,367 39.1% 122,845 60.6% 657 202,869 R+21.4
Yavapai 49,904 34.5% 94,836 65.5% 25 144,765 R+31.0
Mohave 23,226 22.0% 82,459 77.9% 123 105,808 R+56.0
Coconino 43,868 64.0% 24,602 35.9% 73 68,543 D+28.1
Yuma 27,439 41.9% 38,073 58.1% 65,512 R+16.2
Cochise 21,526 37.9% 34,577 60.9% 702 56,805 R+23.0
Navajo 23,273 46.6% 26,635 53.3% 72 49,980 R+6.7
Apache 22,012 69.1% 9,792 30.7% 54 31,858 D+38.4
Gila 8,994 33.8% 17,584 66.1% 41 26,619 R+32.3
Graham 3,910 17.9% 10,635 48.8% 7,239 21,784 R+30.9
Santa Cruz 11,934 63.6% 6,790 36.2% 35 18,759 D+27.4
La Paz 2,065 28.1% 5,260 71.7% 14 7,339 R+43.5
Greenlee 992 31.5% 2,110 67.0% 46 3,148 R+35.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 6 R+4.0
2022 D 3, R 6 R+13.2
2020 D 5, R 4 R+0.3
2018 D 5, R 4 D+1.7
2016 D 4, R 5 R+9.5
2014 D 4, R 5 R+16.3
2012 D 5, R 4 R+8.5
2010 D 3, R 5 R+11.1
2008 D 5, R 3 D+1.6
2006 D 4, R 4 R+9.6
2004 D 2, R 6 R+28.3
2002 D 2, R 6 R+17.6
2000 D 1, R 5 R+20.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.6
1996 D 1, R 5 R+20.6
1994 D 1, R 5 R+22.1
1992 D 3, R 3 R+11.2
1990 D 1, R 4 R+28.6