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Election 2012 Results

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2012 US House elections in Arizona

Arizona elected 9 members of the House in 2012: Democrats won 5 seats and Republicans 4.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 0.8 points: Ron Barber (Democrat) beat Martha McSally (Republican), 50.4% to 49.6%, a margin of 0.8 points and 2,454 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 9 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,283,851 votes and went to the Republican by 10.9 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 74 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Ann Kirkpatrick122,774 (48.8%) Jonathan Paton113,594 (45.1%) 15,227 D+3.7
2 Ron Barber147,338 (50.4%) Martha McSally144,884 (49.6%) 57 D+0.8
3 Raúl M. Grijalva98,468 (58.4%) Gabriela Saucedo Mercer62,663 (37.1%) 7,567 D+21.2
4 Johnnie Robinson69,154 (28.4%) Paul A. Gosar162,907 (66.8%) 11,699 R+38.5
5 Spencer Morgan89,589 (32.8%) Matt Salmon183,470 (67.2%) R+34.4
6 Matt Jette97,666 (33.3%) David Schweikert179,706 (61.3%) 15,805 R+28.0
7 Ed Pastor104,489 (81.7%) none 23,338 D+81.7
8 Gene Scharer95,635 (35.1%) Trent Franks172,809 (63.3%) 4,347 R+28.3
9 Kyrsten Sinema121,881 (48.7%) Vernon B. Parker111,630 (44.6%) 16,620 D+4.1

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 540,551 42.1% 679,961 53.0% 63,339 1,283,851 R+10.9
Pima 196,993 53.1% 169,426 45.7% 4,638 371,057 D+7.4
Pinal 40,299 39.0% 56,678 54.8% 6,370 103,347 R+15.8
Yavapai 29,249 30.6% 61,475 64.2% 4,989 95,713 R+33.7
Mohave 17,331 26.4% 44,976 68.4% 3,449 65,756 R+42.0
Coconino 28,627 56.9% 18,405 36.6% 3,237 50,269 D+20.3
Cochise 19,815 41.2% 28,242 58.7% 16 48,073 R+17.5
Yuma 16,652 41.8% 21,569 54.1% 1,631 39,852 R+12.3
Navajo 17,252 47.5% 16,642 45.8% 2,441 36,335 D+1.7
Apache 17,456 68.9% 6,612 26.1% 1,253 25,321 D+42.8
Gila 7,280 35.2% 12,108 58.6% 1,285 20,673 R+23.4
Santa Cruz 8,739 64.9% 4,203 31.2% 525 13,467 D+33.7
Graham 3,812 33.1% 6,793 59.1% 897 11,502 R+25.9
La Paz 1,615 30.8% 3,324 63.4% 308 5,247 R+32.6
Greenlee 1,323 46.4% 1,249 43.8% 282 2,854 D+2.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 6 R+4.0
2022 D 3, R 6 R+13.2
2020 D 5, R 4 R+0.3
2018 D 5, R 4 D+1.7
2016 D 4, R 5 R+9.5
2014 D 4, R 5 R+16.3
2012 D 5, R 4 R+8.5
2010 D 3, R 5 R+11.1
2008 D 5, R 3 D+1.6
2006 D 4, R 4 R+9.6
2004 D 2, R 6 R+28.3
2002 D 2, R 6 R+17.6
2000 D 1, R 5 R+20.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.6
1996 D 1, R 5 R+20.6
1994 D 1, R 5 R+22.1
1992 D 3, R 3 R+11.2
1990 D 1, R 4 R+28.6