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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 US House elections in New Jersey

New Jersey elected 12 members of the House in 2012: Democrats won 6 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 3rd district, decided by 8.9 points: Jon Runyan (Republican) beat Shelley Adler (Democrat), 53.7% to 44.9%, a margin of 8.9 points and 28,747 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 11 of the 21 counties and Democrats in 10. The largest, Bergen, cast 338,114 votes and went to the Democrat by 10.6 points. The closest was Burlington, where 163 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Robert E. Andrews210,470 (68.2%) Gregory W. Horton92,459 (30.0%) 5,590 D+38.3
2 Cassandra Shober116,462 (40.3%) Frank A. Lobiondo166,677 (57.7%) 5,930 R+17.4
3 Shelley Adler145,506 (44.9%) Jon Runyan174,253 (53.7%) 4,640 R+8.9
4 Brian P. Froelich107,991 (35.3%) Christopher H. Smith195,145 (63.7%) 3,111 R+28.5
5 Adam Gussen130,100 (42.7%) Scott Garrett167,501 (55.0%) 6,770 R+12.3
6 Frank Pallone, Jr.151,782 (63.3%) Anna Little84,360 (35.2%) 3,496 D+28.1
7 Upendra J. Chivukula123,057 (40.0%) Leonard Lance175,662 (57.2%) 8,596 R+17.1
8 Albio Sires130,853 (78.0%) Maria Karczewski31,763 (18.9%) 5,174 D+59.1
9 Bill Pascrell, Jr.162,822 (74.0%) Shmuley Boteach55,091 (25.0%) 2,220 D+48.9
10 Donald M. Payne, Jr.201,435 (87.6%) Brian C. Kelemen24,271 (10.5%) 4,354 D+77.0
11 John Arvanites123,897 (40.0%) Rodney P. Frelinghuysen182,237 (58.8%) 3,725 R+18.8
12 Rush D. Holt189,926 (69.2%) Eric A. Beck80,906 (29.5%) 3,546 D+39.7

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bergen 184,346 54.5% 148,600 43.9% 5,168 338,114 D+10.6
Middlesex 178,229 65.4% 90,244 33.1% 4,079 272,552 D+32.3
Monmouth 111,570 42.9% 145,897 56.1% 2,752 260,219 R+13.2
Essex 198,056 76.8% 55,239 21.4% 4,622 257,917 D+55.4
Ocean 82,256 35.5% 145,351 62.7% 4,103 231,710 R+27.2
Camden 150,151 70.6% 59,149 27.8% 3,446 212,746 D+42.8
Burlington 101,693 49.6% 101,530 49.5% 1,838 205,061 D+0.1
Morris 73,174 36.0% 128,293 63.0% 2,052 203,519 R+27.1
Union 110,782 63.0% 61,479 35.0% 3,561 175,822 D+28.0
Hudson 126,780 77.7% 31,554 19.3% 4,862 163,196 D+58.4
Passaic 103,533 65.2% 53,359 33.6% 2,003 158,895 D+31.6
Mercer 92,843 64.4% 49,738 34.5% 1,518 144,099 D+29.9
Somerset 64,298 48.6% 65,042 49.2% 2,984 132,324 R+0.6
Gloucester 71,104 55.2% 54,778 42.5% 2,902 128,784 D+12.7
Atlantic 46,854 44.5% 56,473 53.6% 1,958 105,285 R+9.1
Sussex 19,258 29.4% 43,639 66.7% 2,546 65,443 R+37.3
Hunterdon 20,044 32.1% 39,445 63.2% 2,954 62,443 R+31.1
Cumberland 22,258 45.0% 26,150 52.9% 1,060 49,468 R+7.9
Cape May 13,209 30.1% 29,706 67.8% 922 43,837 R+37.6
Warren 14,208 34.0% 26,573 63.6% 968 41,749 R+29.6
Salem 9,761 33.9% 18,147 63.1% 862 28,770 R+29.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Jersey in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 9, R 3 D+7.1
2022 D 9, R 3 D+9.8
2020 D 10, R 2 D+15.7
2018 D 11, R 1 D+21.2
2016 D 7, R 5 D+8.1
2014 D 6, R 6 D+2.0
2012 D 6, R 6 D+11.1
2010 D 7, R 6 R+1.4
2008 D 8, R 5 D+13.1
2006 D 7, R 6 D+14.3
2004 D 7, R 6 D+6.3
2002 D 7, R 6 D+4.8
2000 D 7, R 6 D+5.0
1998 D 7, R 6 D+2.4
1996 D 6, R 7 R+1.7
1994 D 5, R 8 R+10.5
1992 D 7, R 6 R+5.0
1990 D 8, R 6 R+4.1