United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 US House elections in Virginia

Virginia elected 11 members of the House in 2012: Democrats won 3 seats and Republicans 8.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 7.7 points: E. Scott Rigell (Republican) beat Paul O. Hirschbiel, Jr. (Democrat), 53.8% to 46.1%, a margin of 7.7 points and 23,683 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 96 of the 129 counties and Democrats in 33. The largest, Fairfax, cast 530,853 votes and went to the Democrat by 16.0 points. The closest was Covington city, where 28 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Adam M. Cook147,036 (41.2%) Robert J. Wittman200,845 (56.3%) 8,925 R+15.1
2 Paul O. Hirschbiel, Jr.142,548 (46.1%) E. Scott Rigell166,231 (53.8%) 443 R+7.7
3 Robert C. "Bobby" Scott259,199 (81.3%) Dean J. Longo58,931 (18.5%) 806 D+62.8
4 Ella P. Ward150,190 (42.9%) J. Randy Forbes199,292 (56.9%) 564 R+14.0
5 John Wade Douglass149,214 (42.9%) Robert Hurt193,009 (55.4%) 5,888 R+12.6
6 Andy B. Schmookler111,949 (34.6%) Bob Goodlatte211,278 (65.2%) 666 R+30.7
7 E. Wayne Powell158,012 (41.4%) Eric Cantor222,983 (58.4%) 914 R+17.0
8 James P. Moran226,847 (64.6%) J. Patrick Murray107,370 (30.6%) 16,970 D+34.0
9 Anthony J. Flaccavento116,400 (38.6%) H. Morgan Griffith184,882 (61.3%) 376 R+22.7
10 Kristin A. Cabral142,024 (38.8%) Frank R. Wolf214,038 (58.4%) 10,382 R+19.7
11 Gerald E. Connolly202,606 (61.0%) Chris S. Perkins117,902 (35.5%) 11,735 D+25.5

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 298,432 56.2% 213,528 40.2% 18,893 530,853 D+16.0
Virginia Beach city 83,960 44.1% 105,847 55.6% 434 190,241 R+11.5
Prince William 95,081 54.2% 74,828 42.6% 5,610 175,519 D+11.5
Chesterfield 71,314 43.3% 92,986 56.5% 405 164,705 R+13.2
Henrico 87,041 55.1% 69,997 44.3% 881 157,919 D+10.8
Loudoun 64,483 41.1% 87,722 55.9% 4,817 157,022 R+14.8
Arlington 74,436 64.8% 33,215 28.9% 7,131 114,782 D+35.9
Chesapeake city 47,693 44.0% 60,582 55.8% 232 108,507 R+11.9
Richmond 74,418 76.6% 22,277 22.9% 469 97,164 D+53.7
Roanoke 34,502 39.9% 51,740 59.9% 158 86,400 R+20.0
Norfolk city 59,186 71.0% 23,893 28.7% 305 83,384 D+42.3
Newport News city 48,812 63.0% 28,312 36.5% 385 77,509 D+26.4
Alexandria city 47,862 67.4% 19,578 27.6% 3,602 71,042 D+39.8
Hampton city 46,182 71.4% 18,350 28.4% 188 64,720 D+43.0
Stafford 24,538 41.3% 33,184 55.8% 1,753 59,475 R+14.5
Hanover 18,069 31.5% 39,091 68.1% 204 57,364 R+36.6
Spotsylvania 23,499 41.9% 32,201 57.4% 410 56,110 R+15.5
Albemarle 27,481 51.9% 24,408 46.1% 1,058 52,947 D+5.8
Portsmouth city 33,548 75.3% 10,889 24.4% 144 44,581 D+50.8
Suffolk city 20,789 50.2% 20,608 49.7% 34 41,431 D+0.4
James City 15,799 39.1% 23,621 58.5% 964 40,384 R+19.4
Montgomery 19,236 48.5% 20,348 51.3% 103 39,687 R+2.8
Bedford 9,711 24.8% 28,984 74.1% 424 39,119 R+49.3
Lynchburg city 13,585 38.8% 21,271 60.8% 129 34,985 R+22.0
Frederick 9,167 26.3% 24,723 70.9% 976 34,866 R+44.6
Fauquier 13,097 37.8% 20,581 59.5% 939 34,617 R+21.6
Rockingham 9,135 26.7% 25,037 73.1% 75 34,247 R+46.4
York 10,963 32.9% 21,530 64.7% 791 33,284 R+31.7
Augusta 8,315 25.2% 24,587 74.6% 58 32,960 R+49.4
Franklin 10,487 34.7% 19,292 63.9% 408 30,187 R+29.2
Pittsylvania 9,989 33.2% 19,733 65.6% 356 30,078 R+32.4
Washington 9,290 36.9% 15,874 63.0% 36 25,200 R+26.1
Campbell 6,596 26.3% 18,081 72.2% 359 25,036 R+45.9
Henry 8,929 39.2% 13,710 60.3% 114 22,753 R+21.0
Charlottesville city 15,489 73.2% 5,208 24.6% 477 21,174 D+48.6
Isle of Wight 7,413 36.4% 12,929 63.5% 20 20,362 R+27.1
Culpeper 7,884 40.1% 11,745 59.8% 24 19,653 R+19.6
Gloucester 5,685 29.6% 13,001 67.8% 489 19,175 R+38.2
Danville city 10,571 55.4% 8,267 43.3% 243 19,081 D+12.1
Shenandoah 5,795 30.6% 13,085 69.2% 38 18,918 R+38.5
Botetourt 4,439 24.6% 13,608 75.3% 29 18,076 R+50.7
Tazewell 4,575 26.7% 12,567 73.3% 11 17,153 R+46.6
Louisa 6,912 42.8% 9,207 57.0% 28 16,147 R+14.2
Halifax 7,235 45.1% 8,593 53.5% 220 16,048 R+8.5
Warren 5,836 36.7% 10,016 63.0% 59 15,911 R+26.3
Orange 6,473 40.7% 9,396 59.1% 19 15,888 R+18.4
Prince George 6,654 42.9% 8,835 57.0% 21 15,510 R+14.1
Accomack 6,794 44.1% 8,588 55.8% 14 15,396 R+11.7
Powhatan 3,460 22.9% 11,597 76.9% 24 15,081 R+54.0
Harrisonburg city 7,670 51.1% 7,284 48.6% 49 15,003 D+2.6
Petersburg city 13,368 90.7% 1,316 8.9% 53 14,737 D+81.8
Manassas city 6,570 44.7% 7,692 52.3% 444 14,706 R+7.6
Wise 5,181 35.3% 9,467 64.6% 12 14,660 R+29.2
Pulaski 5,300 37.0% 9,022 63.0% 10 14,332 R+26.0
Amherst 4,872 34.3% 9,328 65.6% 15 14,215 R+31.3
Mecklenburg 5,913 41.8% 8,076 57.0% 172 14,161 R+15.3
Caroline 6,520 49.6% 6,267 47.7% 361 13,148 D+1.9
Goochland 4,682 36.0% 8,304 63.8% 23 13,009 R+27.8
Dinwiddie 5,352 41.6% 7,493 58.3% 17 12,862 R+16.6
Smyth 5,105 40.8% 7,398 59.1% 8 12,511 R+18.3
Fluvanna 5,303 42.5% 6,909 55.4% 256 12,468 R+12.9
Salem city 4,357 36.0% 7,728 63.9% 14 12,099 R+27.9
Wythe 4,018 33.5% 7,948 66.3% 22 11,988 R+32.8
Carroll 3,929 32.9% 8,007 67.0% 15 11,951 R+34.1
Russell 5,038 42.3% 6,865 57.6% 9 11,912 R+15.3
King George 3,886 34.9% 6,996 62.8% 251 11,133 R+27.9
Fredericksburg city 6,267 57.3% 4,336 39.7% 332 10,935 D+17.7
Staunton city 5,134 47.3% 5,708 52.6% 11 10,853 R+5.3
New Kent 3,550 33.4% 7,060 66.4% 23 10,633 R+33.0
Page 3,533 34.8% 6,615 65.1% 14 10,162 R+30.3
Rockbridge 3,384 33.9% 6,572 65.9% 16 9,972 R+32.0
Scott 3,136 31.8% 6,710 68.1% 13 9,859 R+36.3
Winchester city 3,634 37.4% 5,803 59.8% 273 9,710 R+22.3
Buchanan 3,760 39.8% 5,689 60.2% 2 9,451 R+20.4
Lee 3,477 36.9% 5,930 63.0% 5 9,412 R+26.1
Greene 2,907 32.9% 5,755 65.1% 181 8,843 R+32.2
Southampton 3,509 39.8% 5,310 60.2% 7 8,826 R+20.4
Prince Edward 4,464 50.6% 4,237 48.0% 120 8,821 D+2.6
King William 2,890 33.4% 5,545 64.0% 224 8,659 R+30.7
Waynesboro city 3,401 39.6% 5,171 60.2% 12 8,584 R+20.6
Colonial Heights city 1,886 22.6% 6,439 77.2% 11 8,336 R+54.6
Hopewell city 3,862 46.9% 4,339 52.7% 28 8,229 R+5.8
Nelson 3,868 47.7% 4,074 50.3% 160 8,102 R+2.5
Westmoreland 3,268 41.7% 4,431 56.5% 137 7,836 R+14.8
Patrick 2,398 30.7% 5,412 69.2% 7 7,817 R+38.6
Appomattox 2,221 28.7% 5,382 69.6% 125 7,728 R+40.9
Brunswick 4,449 58.8% 3,035 40.1% 85 7,569 D+18.7
Giles 2,694 36.0% 4,792 64.0% 3 7,489 R+28.0
Williamsburg city 4,351 58.6% 2,816 37.9% 255 7,422 D+20.7
Northumberland 2,755 37.2% 4,577 61.8% 77 7,409 R+24.6
Floyd 2,846 38.5% 4,531 61.3% 14 7,391 R+22.8
Clarke 2,284 31.0% 4,884 66.2% 206 7,374 R+35.3
Bristol city 2,884 39.8% 4,341 59.9% 21 7,246 R+20.1
Falls Church city 4,695 65.9% 2,026 28.4% 402 7,123 D+37.5
Buckingham 3,330 46.9% 3,662 51.5% 115 7,107 R+4.7
Poquoson city 1,187 17.0% 5,623 80.6% 166 6,976 R+63.6
Alleghany 2,871 41.4% 4,057 58.5% 7 6,935 R+17.1
Lancaster 2,747 40.2% 3,977 58.1% 116 6,840 R+18.0
Dickenson 3,235 47.6% 3,564 52.4% 3 6,802 R+4.8
Grayson 2,391 36.0% 4,249 64.0% 6,640 R+28.0
Amelia 2,052 30.9% 4,572 68.9% 8 6,632 R+38.0
Madison 2,383 36.7% 3,986 61.3% 132 6,501 R+24.7
Nottoway 2,626 41.0% 3,780 59.0% 3 6,409 R+18.0
Northampton 3,334 53.0% 2,957 47.0% 4 6,295 D+6.0
Martinsville city 3,409 57.8% 2,482 42.1% 11 5,902 D+15.7
Middlesex 2,065 35.2% 3,692 62.9% 113 5,870 R+27.7
Charlotte 2,239 39.0% 3,439 59.9% 60 5,738 R+20.9
Essex 2,495 45.7% 2,874 52.6% 93 5,462 R+6.9
Lunenburg 2,359 44.0% 2,937 54.8% 68 5,364 R+10.8
Radford city 2,674 50.8% 2,562 48.7% 25 5,261 D+2.1
Mathews 1,526 29.1% 3,626 69.2% 90 5,242 R+40.1
Sussex 2,790 53.9% 2,389 46.1% 1 5,180 D+7.7
Cumberland 2,154 44.4% 2,616 54.0% 77 4,847 R+9.5
Greensville 2,617 55.8% 2,068 44.1% 1 4,686 D+11.7
Manassas Park city 2,364 51.7% 2,053 44.9% 158 4,575 D+6.8
Rappahannock 1,945 45.6% 2,227 52.2% 92 4,264 R+6.6
Surry 2,699 64.6% 1,473 35.3% 5 4,177 D+29.4
Charles City 2,767 68.4% 1,274 31.5% 2 4,043 D+36.9
King and Queen 1,537 43.3% 1,951 54.9% 65 3,553 R+11.7
Bland 827 28.7% 2,053 71.3% 1 2,881 R+42.6
Craig 835 32.0% 1,774 68.0% 1 2,610 R+36.0
Lexington city 1,351 52.1% 1,229 47.4% 11 2,591 D+4.7
Emporia city 1,378 54.0% 1,176 46.0% 2,554 D+7.9
Buena Vista city 691 28.3% 1,749 71.6% 4 2,444 R+43.3
Covington city 1,164 50.5% 1,136 49.3% 4 2,304 D+1.2
Galax city 956 43.3% 1,254 56.7% 2,210 R+13.5
Bath 589 27.2% 1,574 72.6% 5 2,168 R+45.4
Norton city 676 45.8% 799 54.1% 2 1,477 R+8.3
Highland 351 24.9% 1,057 75.1% 1,408 R+50.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 6, R 5 D+3.8
2022 D 6, R 5 D+3.6
2020 D 7, R 4 D+4.8
2018 D 7, R 4 D+13.8
2016 D 4, R 7 D+0.4
2014 D 3, R 8 R+13.9
2012 D 3, R 8 R+1.9
2010 D 3, R 8 R+12.6
2008 D 6, R 5 D+7.5
2006 D 3, R 8 R+12.0
2004 D 3, R 8 R+26.4
2002 D 3, R 8 R+37.4
2000 D 4, R 6 R+3.0
1998 D 6, R 5 R+2.4
1996 D 6, R 5 R+4.1
1994 D 6, R 5 R+17.6
1992 D 7, R 4 D+0.3
1990 D 6, R 4 D+21.8