United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2012 Senate · Virginia
Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 US Senate election in Virginia

Timothy M. Kaine (Democrat) beat George F. Allen (Republican) in Virginia in 2012, 52.9% to 47.0%, a margin of 5.9 points and 224,525 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2006, when Jim Webb won.

Republicans led in 84 of the 129 counties and Democrats in 45. The largest, Fairfax, cast 534,820 votes and went to the Democrat by 22.5 points. The closest was Nottoway, where 33 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Timothy M. Kaine won Democratic 2,010,067 52.9%
George F. Allen Republican 1,785,542 47.0%
All other candidates 6,587 0.2%
Total3,802,196

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 326,476 61.0% 206,096 38.5% 2,248 534,820 D+22.5
Virginia Beach city 96,465 50.2% 95,390 49.6% 460 192,315 D+0.6
Prince William 102,859 57.8% 74,809 42.0% 320 177,988 D+15.8
Chesterfield 81,239 47.8% 88,142 51.9% 401 169,782 R+4.1
Henrico 93,124 57.9% 67,015 41.7% 747 160,886 D+16.2
Loudoun 83,383 52.8% 74,325 47.0% 277 157,985 D+5.7
Arlington 82,689 71.4% 32,807 28.3% 279 115,775 D+43.1
Chesapeake city 56,109 51.7% 52,182 48.1% 226 108,517 D+3.6
Richmond 78,333 78.4% 21,203 21.2% 331 99,867 D+57.2
Roanoke 44,879 49.8% 45,131 50.1% 134 90,144 R+0.3
Norfolk city 61,887 72.7% 22,953 27.0% 295 85,135 D+45.7
Newport News city 50,800 64.8% 27,332 34.9% 247 78,379 D+29.9
Alexandria city 52,502 72.7% 19,498 27.0% 267 72,267 D+45.7
Hampton city 46,432 71.1% 18,732 28.7% 146 65,310 D+42.4
Stafford 27,820 46.3% 31,997 53.3% 267 60,084 R+7.0
Hanover 20,003 34.1% 38,432 65.6% 160 58,595 R+31.5
Spotsylvania 25,833 45.2% 31,265 54.6% 113 57,211 R+9.5
Albemarle 30,973 57.9% 22,342 41.8% 136 53,451 D+16.1
Portsmouth city 32,281 71.4% 12,818 28.4% 114 45,213 D+43.0
Suffolk city 24,247 58.0% 17,544 41.9% 37 41,828 D+16.0
James City 18,878 46.1% 21,957 53.6% 101 40,936 R+7.5
Montgomery 20,875 51.8% 19,335 48.0% 83 40,293 D+3.8
Bedford 11,849 29.9% 27,680 69.9% 52 39,581 R+40.0
Frederick 13,342 37.2% 22,464 62.6% 65 35,871 R+25.4
Lynchburg city 16,129 45.0% 19,601 54.7% 83 35,813 R+9.7
Fauquier 14,351 40.8% 20,745 59.0% 87 35,183 R+18.2
Rockingham 10,015 29.1% 24,340 70.8% 47 34,402 R+41.6
Augusta 9,879 29.0% 24,153 70.9% 49 34,081 R+41.9
York 13,849 41.2% 19,745 58.7% 59 33,653 R+17.5
Pittsylvania 11,027 36.1% 19,520 63.9% 17 30,564 R+27.8
Franklin 12,521 41.0% 17,942 58.8% 47 30,510 R+17.8
Campbell 7,900 30.6% 17,904 69.3% 29 25,833 R+38.7
Washington 7,916 31.2% 17,417 68.7% 29 25,362 R+37.5
Henry 10,365 42.8% 13,831 57.1% 19 24,215 R+14.3
Charlottesville city 16,800 78.4% 4,589 21.4% 39 21,428 D+57.0
Isle of Wight 8,860 43.2% 11,645 56.7% 25 20,530 R+13.6
Culpeper 8,457 41.8% 11,743 58.1% 21 20,221 R+16.3
Danville city 11,840 59.9% 7,902 40.0% 23 19,765 D+19.9
Gloucester 7,195 37.3% 12,044 62.5% 29 19,268 R+25.2
Shenandoah 6,630 34.7% 12,411 65.0% 42 19,083 R+30.3
Botetourt 5,898 32.4% 12,253 67.4% 31 18,182 R+35.0
Tazewell 4,318 24.2% 13,477 75.7% 15 17,810 R+51.4
Halifax 7,649 46.2% 8,878 53.6% 26 16,553 R+7.4
Warren 6,616 40.3% 9,747 59.4% 41 16,404 R+19.1
Louisa 7,232 44.4% 9,036 55.5% 24 16,292 R+11.1
Orange 6,972 43.2% 9,114 56.4% 62 16,148 R+13.3
Prince George 7,052 44.5% 8,778 55.4% 12 15,842 R+10.9
Accomack 7,521 48.3% 8,041 51.6% 13 15,575 R+3.3
Petersburg city 13,882 89.6% 1,569 10.1% 35 15,486 D+79.5
Powhatan 4,470 29.1% 10,887 70.8% 29 15,386 R+41.7
Harrisonburg city 8,507 55.9% 6,681 43.9% 31 15,219 D+12.0
Amherst 6,073 40.5% 8,905 59.4% 20 14,998 R+18.9
Manassas city 8,322 55.9% 6,550 44.0% 27 14,899 D+11.9
Wise 4,236 28.7% 10,520 71.2% 12 14,768 R+42.6
Pulaski 5,732 39.6% 8,717 60.3% 19 14,468 R+20.6
Mecklenburg 6,344 44.1% 8,037 55.9% 14,381 R+11.8
Caroline 7,329 54.5% 6,057 45.1% 59 13,445 D+9.5
Dinwiddie 6,489 48.5% 6,880 51.4% 12 13,381 R+2.9
Goochland 5,050 38.4% 8,082 61.4% 24 13,156 R+23.0
Carroll 4,075 32.1% 8,596 67.7% 18 12,689 R+35.6
Smyth 4,562 36.2% 8,022 63.7% 8 12,592 R+27.5
Fluvanna 5,945 47.3% 6,618 52.6% 19 12,582 R+5.3
Salem city 5,138 42.2% 7,032 57.7% 18 12,188 R+15.5
Wythe 4,031 33.1% 8,080 66.3% 70 12,181 R+33.2
Russell 4,243 35.5% 7,714 64.5% 7 11,964 R+29.0
Fredericksburg city 7,233 64.4% 3,957 35.2% 36 11,226 D+29.2
King George 4,625 41.3% 6,565 58.6% 21 11,211 R+17.3
New Kent 3,815 35.0% 7,070 64.8% 18 10,903 R+29.9
Staunton city 5,625 51.7% 5,239 48.2% 13 10,877 D+3.5
Rockbridge 4,195 40.9% 6,063 59.0% 11 10,269 R+18.2
Page 3,806 37.3% 6,376 62.5% 22 10,204 R+25.2
Winchester city 5,292 52.2% 4,816 47.5% 38 10,146 D+4.7
Scott 2,776 28.0% 7,122 71.9% 10 9,908 R+43.9
Buchanan 3,408 35.7% 6,132 64.3% 2 9,542 R+28.5
Lee 2,883 30.4% 6,588 69.5% 8 9,479 R+39.1
Prince Edward 5,118 55.5% 4,100 44.4% 7 9,225 D+11.0
Southampton 4,440 48.9% 4,627 51.0% 10 9,077 R+2.1
Greene 3,374 37.8% 5,552 62.2% 6 8,932 R+24.4
Hopewell city 5,087 57.1% 3,809 42.8% 9 8,905 D+14.4
King William 3,470 39.2% 5,371 60.6% 22 8,863 R+21.4
Waynesboro city 3,873 44.7% 4,775 55.1% 14 8,662 R+10.4
Colonial Heights city 2,662 31.5% 5,772 68.3% 14 8,448 R+36.8
Patrick 2,679 32.6% 5,537 67.3% 10 8,226 R+34.7
Nelson 4,215 51.6% 3,946 48.3% 11 8,172 D+3.3
Westmoreland 4,331 53.8% 3,703 46.0% 14 8,048 D+7.8
Appomattox 2,568 32.8% 5,244 67.0% 11 7,823 R+34.2
Brunswick 4,736 60.6% 3,071 39.3% 6 7,813 D+21.3
Giles 3,082 39.9% 4,640 60.0% 10 7,732 R+20.2
Clarke 3,419 44.6% 4,224 55.2% 16 7,659 R+10.5
Williamsburg city 5,037 66.3% 2,546 33.5% 11 7,594 D+32.8
Floyd 2,968 39.4% 4,551 60.4% 15 7,534 R+21.0
Northumberland 3,253 43.5% 4,220 56.4% 5 7,478 R+12.9
Alleghany 3,507 48.0% 3,798 52.0% 4 7,309 R+4.0
Bristol city 2,682 36.8% 4,594 63.0% 21 7,297 R+26.2
Buckingham 3,654 50.3% 3,610 49.7% 3 7,267 D+0.6
Falls Church city 5,147 71.2% 2,051 28.4% 29 7,227 D+42.8
Grayson 2,398 34.0% 4,657 66.0% 7,055 R+32.0
Poquoson city 1,844 26.1% 5,194 73.6% 15 7,053 R+47.5
Lancaster 3,241 47.1% 3,622 52.6% 18 6,881 R+5.5
Dickenson 2,768 40.5% 4,064 59.5% 2 6,834 R+19.0
Amelia 2,481 36.7% 4,276 63.2% 5 6,762 R+26.5
Madison 2,678 40.2% 3,978 59.7% 9 6,665 R+19.5
Nottoway 3,294 49.7% 3,327 50.2% 2 6,623 R+0.5
Northampton 3,735 58.8% 2,606 41.1% 6 6,347 D+17.8
Martinsville city 3,811 62.3% 2,300 37.6% 9 6,120 D+24.7
Middlesex 2,455 41.3% 3,489 58.6% 5 5,949 R+17.4
Charlotte 2,516 42.8% 3,364 57.2% 5,880 R+14.4
Lunenburg 2,616 46.6% 2,985 53.2% 9 5,610 R+6.6
Essex 2,964 53.6% 2,562 46.3% 5 5,531 D+7.3
Sussex 3,278 61.4% 2,057 38.5% 7 5,342 D+22.9
Radford city 2,839 53.5% 2,453 46.2% 13 5,305 D+7.3
Mathews 1,907 36.0% 3,383 63.9% 5 5,295 R+27.9
Cumberland 2,411 48.6% 2,544 51.2% 9 4,964 R+2.7
Greensville 3,014 62.7% 1,794 37.3% 2 4,810 D+25.4
Manassas Park city 2,829 61.6% 1,752 38.1% 15 4,596 D+23.4
Rappahannock 2,036 47.2% 2,272 52.6% 8 4,316 R+5.5
Surry 2,553 60.5% 1,658 39.3% 10 4,221 D+21.2
Charles City 2,706 65.6% 1,413 34.2% 7 4,126 D+31.3
King and Queen 1,806 48.9% 1,877 50.9% 7 3,690 R+1.9
Bland 850 28.5% 2,132 71.5% 2,982 R+43.0
Lexington city 1,573 58.6% 1,102 41.1% 9 2,684 D+17.5
Emporia city 1,685 63.8% 957 36.2% 2,642 D+27.6
Craig 883 33.4% 1,755 66.5% 3 2,641 R+33.0
Buena Vista city 964 39.3% 1,478 60.3% 8 2,450 R+21.0
Covington city 1,306 54.9% 1,071 45.0% 2 2,379 D+9.9
Galax city 981 42.8% 1,309 57.1% 1 2,291 R+14.3
Bath 890 39.2% 1,374 60.5% 8 2,272 R+21.3
Norton city 620 41.9% 859 58.0% 1 1,480 R+16.1
Highland 477 33.3% 957 66.7% 1,434 R+33.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+8.9
2020 Mark Robert Warner (D) D+12.1
2018 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+16.0
2014 Mark R. Warner (D) D+0.8
2012 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+5.9
2008 Mark Warner (D) D+31.3
2006 Jim Webb (D) D+0.4
2002 John Warner (R) R+82.6
2000 George F. Allen (R) R+4.6
1996 John W. Warner (R) R+5.1
1994 Chuck Robb (D) D+2.7
1990 John Warner (R) R+80.9
1988 Charles S. Robb (D) D+42.6
1984 John Warner (R) R+40.1
1982 Paul Trible (R) R+2.4
1978 John William Warner (R) R+0.4
1976 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1972 William Lloyd Scott (R) R+5.3
1970 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1966 William B. Spong Jr. (D) D+25.1
1964 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+44.8
1960 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+81.3
1958 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+69.3
1954 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+79.9
1952 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+73.4
1948 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+34.8
1946 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+34.4
1942 Carter Glass (D) D+91.1
1940 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+93.3
1936 Carter Glass (D) D+86.9
1934 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+55.0
1930 Carter Glass (D) D+76.7
1928 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.8
1924 Carter Glass (D) D+48.9
1922 Claude Swanson (D) D+45.4
1918 Thomas S. Martin (D) D+99.7
1916 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.9