United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2008 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2008 US Senate election in Virginia

Mark Warner (Democrat) beat Jim Gilmore (Republican) in Virginia in 2008, 65.0% to 33.7%, a margin of 31.3 points and 1,140,497 votes.

Virginia changed party: in 2002 it went Republican, for John Warner.

Democrats led in 123 of the 129 counties and Republicans in 6. The largest, Fairfax, cast 520,691 votes and went to the Democrat by 37.0 points. The closest was Amelia, where 56 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mark Warner won Democratic 2,369,327 65.0%
Jim Gilmore Republican 1,228,830 33.7%
All other candidates 45,137 1.2%
Total3,643,294

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 353,505 67.9% 160,801 30.9% 6,385 520,691 D+37.0
Virginia Beach city 124,517 63.9% 67,886 34.8% 2,592 194,995 D+29.0
Prince William 104,517 65.3% 53,545 33.5% 1,937 159,999 D+31.9
Chesterfield 93,910 58.8% 63,950 40.0% 1,986 159,846 D+18.7
Henrico 102,465 67.2% 48,286 31.7% 1,624 152,375 D+35.6
Loudoun 84,470 61.6% 50,962 37.2% 1,602 137,034 D+24.5
Arlington 82,119 76.0% 24,232 22.4% 1,753 108,104 D+53.5
Chesapeake city 65,527 62.5% 38,304 36.5% 1,042 104,873 D+26.0
Richmond 78,890 83.7% 13,854 14.7% 1,558 94,302 D+69.0
Roanoke 59,606 65.9% 29,936 33.1% 962 90,504 D+32.8
Norfolk city 69,102 79.6% 16,660 19.2% 1,070 86,832 D+60.4
Newport News city 57,654 72.8% 20,469 25.9% 1,047 79,170 D+47.0
Alexandria city 53,472 77.3% 14,756 21.3% 983 69,211 D+55.9
Hampton city 51,193 77.3% 14,149 21.4% 872 66,214 D+55.9
Hanover 27,218 49.0% 27,559 49.6% 742 55,519 R+0.6
Stafford 32,150 59.0% 21,695 39.8% 677 54,522 D+19.2
Spotsylvania 31,660 59.4% 21,025 39.5% 605 53,290 D+20.0
Albemarle 34,603 68.9% 15,076 30.0% 560 50,239 D+38.9
Portsmouth city 35,371 77.7% 9,597 21.1% 562 45,530 D+56.6
Montgomery 27,564 69.0% 11,767 29.5% 589 39,920 D+39.6
James City 22,682 59.6% 14,908 39.2% 487 38,077 D+20.4
Bedford 19,610 51.8% 17,978 47.4% 304 37,892 D+4.3
Suffolk city 24,069 65.4% 12,260 33.3% 448 36,777 D+32.1
Fauquier 18,725 55.4% 14,707 43.5% 364 33,796 D+11.9
Lynchburg city 19,852 58.9% 13,489 40.0% 382 33,723 D+18.9
York 18,389 55.1% 14,599 43.7% 411 33,399 D+11.3
Frederick 18,168 54.8% 14,647 44.1% 361 33,176 D+10.6
Rockingham 15,475 47.0% 17,156 52.1% 303 32,934 R+5.1
Augusta 14,963 46.5% 16,750 52.1% 463 32,176 R+5.6
Franklin 18,608 63.8% 10,250 35.1% 315 29,173 D+28.6
Pittsylvania 17,092 58.9% 11,557 39.8% 360 29,009 D+19.1
Campbell 13,016 52.4% 11,499 46.3% 326 24,841 D+6.1
Henry 17,753 72.3% 6,551 26.7% 247 24,551 D+45.6
Washington 12,929 54.0% 10,835 45.2% 198 23,962 D+8.7
Charlottesville city 16,470 83.7% 2,923 14.9% 285 19,678 D+68.8
Isle of Wight 11,579 58.9% 7,849 39.9% 239 19,667 D+19.0
Danville city 14,294 73.0% 5,069 25.9% 210 19,573 D+47.1
Culpeper 11,031 58.0% 7,727 40.6% 259 19,017 D+17.4
Gloucester 10,622 56.1% 8,039 42.5% 262 18,923 D+13.7
Shenandoah 9,686 51.3% 8,938 47.3% 264 18,888 D+4.0
Botetourt 9,230 53.6% 7,811 45.4% 180 17,221 D+8.2
Tazewell 9,194 57.5% 6,583 41.1% 225 16,002 D+16.3
Halifax 9,881 62.4% 5,769 36.4% 187 15,837 D+26.0
Warren 8,862 56.0% 6,766 42.7% 205 15,833 D+13.2
Prince George 8,876 56.5% 6,570 41.8% 267 15,713 D+14.7
Orange 9,275 59.8% 6,050 39.0% 188 15,513 D+20.8
Accomack 9,594 63.1% 5,379 35.4% 229 15,202 D+27.7
Petersburg city 13,605 90.2% 1,276 8.5% 209 15,090 D+81.7
Louisa 9,020 59.8% 5,859 38.9% 201 15,080 D+21.0
Pulaski 9,467 64.2% 5,113 34.7% 165 14,745 D+29.5
Mecklenburg 8,445 58.6% 5,747 39.8% 230 14,422 D+18.7
Harrisonburg city 9,867 68.8% 4,268 29.8% 200 14,335 D+39.1
Powhatan 6,363 44.5% 7,774 54.4% 165 14,302 R+9.9
Amherst 8,152 57.1% 5,895 41.3% 236 14,283 D+15.8
Wise 8,605 62.1% 5,114 36.9% 130 13,849 D+25.2
Caroline 8,799 69.3% 3,780 29.8% 126 12,705 D+39.5
Fluvanna 7,635 60.8% 4,811 38.3% 119 12,565 D+22.5
Dinwiddie 7,561 60.6% 4,747 38.1% 159 12,467 D+22.6
Goochland 6,777 54.7% 5,472 44.1% 147 12,396 D+10.5
Wythe 7,325 59.2% 4,899 39.6% 143 12,367 D+19.6
Salem city 7,617 62.0% 4,550 37.0% 120 12,287 D+25.0
Carroll 6,737 55.3% 5,247 43.1% 194 12,178 D+12.2
Smyth 7,199 59.8% 4,703 39.1% 133 12,035 D+20.7
Manassas city 7,624 63.9% 4,167 34.9% 149 11,940 D+29.0
Russell 7,472 66.0% 3,773 33.3% 69 11,314 D+32.7
Staunton city 6,897 64.6% 3,656 34.3% 116 10,669 D+30.4
King George 6,026 58.7% 4,112 40.1% 125 10,263 D+18.6
Page 5,797 56.6% 4,327 42.3% 111 10,235 D+14.4
Winchester city 6,896 68.8% 3,017 30.1% 113 10,026 D+38.7
Rockbridge 6,098 61.1% 3,771 37.8% 117 9,986 D+23.3
New Kent 4,989 50.7% 4,713 47.9% 143 9,845 D+2.8
Scott 5,241 54.6% 4,255 44.3% 105 9,601 D+10.3
Fredericksburg city 7,100 74.8% 2,233 23.5% 153 9,486 D+51.3
Lee 5,507 61.2% 3,411 37.9% 82 9,000 D+23.3
Southampton 5,884 66.2% 2,906 32.7% 96 8,886 D+33.5
Hopewell city 5,844 66.3% 2,849 32.3% 128 8,821 D+34.0
Prince Edward 5,881 66.9% 2,767 31.5% 143 8,791 D+35.4
Waynesboro city 5,039 58.0% 3,549 40.8% 103 8,691 D+17.1
Colonial Heights city 4,076 47.3% 4,405 51.1% 142 8,623 R+3.8
Buchanan 6,017 70.0% 2,533 29.5% 49 8,599 D+40.5
King William 4,719 57.2% 3,436 41.7% 94 8,249 D+15.6
Greene 4,293 53.0% 3,711 45.8% 97 8,101 D+7.2
Nelson 5,581 69.3% 2,412 29.9% 63 8,056 D+39.3
Westmoreland 5,485 68.7% 2,395 30.0% 108 7,988 D+38.7
Patrick 4,580 57.6% 3,221 40.5% 156 7,957 D+17.1
Brunswick 5,655 73.5% 1,961 25.5% 78 7,694 D+48.0
Giles 5,108 67.4% 2,353 31.1% 117 7,578 D+36.4
Appomattox 4,551 60.3% 2,921 38.7% 71 7,543 D+21.6
Floyd 4,597 62.4% 2,649 36.0% 119 7,365 D+26.4
Clarke 4,495 61.3% 2,745 37.4% 97 7,337 D+23.9
Northumberland 4,285 58.8% 2,928 40.2% 74 7,287 D+18.6
Alleghany 5,397 74.4% 1,794 24.7% 66 7,257 D+49.6
Bristol city 4,060 56.6% 3,031 42.2% 88 7,179 D+14.3
Grayson 4,121 59.1% 2,743 39.3% 111 6,975 D+19.8
Poquoson city 3,324 47.7% 3,562 51.1% 87 6,973 R+3.4
Buckingham 4,581 66.4% 2,229 32.3% 94 6,904 D+34.1
Lancaster 4,072 60.4% 2,602 38.6% 67 6,741 D+21.8
Williamsburg city 4,875 73.0% 1,630 24.4% 171 6,676 D+48.6
Falls Church city 5,022 75.2% 1,550 23.2% 102 6,674 D+52.0
Dickenson 4,415 67.1% 2,105 32.0% 60 6,580 D+35.1
Northampton 4,803 74.2% 1,583 24.4% 89 6,475 D+49.7
Amelia 3,219 49.9% 3,163 49.0% 72 6,454 D+0.9
Madison 3,701 57.3% 2,657 41.2% 96 6,454 D+16.2
Martinsville city 5,261 82.3% 1,089 17.0% 40 6,390 D+65.3
Nottoway 4,142 65.1% 2,123 33.4% 99 6,364 D+31.7
Middlesex 3,325 56.3% 2,510 42.5% 71 5,906 D+13.8
Charlotte 3,616 62.2% 2,115 36.4% 85 5,816 D+25.8
Lunenburg 3,542 63.9% 1,932 34.9% 66 5,540 D+29.1
Radford city 3,853 71.8% 1,460 27.2% 57 5,370 D+44.6
Mathews 3,070 57.4% 2,228 41.6% 53 5,351 D+15.7
Essex 3,565 67.9% 1,633 31.1% 51 5,249 D+36.8
Sussex 3,817 74.0% 1,281 24.8% 61 5,159 D+49.2
Greensville 3,507 74.4% 1,155 24.5% 53 4,715 D+49.9
Cumberland 2,866 62.4% 1,665 36.3% 59 4,590 D+26.2
Rappahannock 2,632 60.3% 1,675 38.4% 57 4,364 D+21.9
Charles City 3,105 75.5% 967 23.5% 39 4,111 D+52.0
Manassas Park city 2,743 67.4% 1,264 31.1% 63 4,070 D+36.3
Surry 2,732 71.8% 1,029 27.1% 42 3,803 D+44.8
King and Queen 2,340 65.3% 1,204 33.6% 41 3,585 D+31.7
Bland 1,517 54.2% 1,232 44.0% 49 2,798 D+10.2
Craig 1,585 60.2% 1,006 38.2% 42 2,633 D+22.0
Emporia city 1,907 75.1% 598 23.6% 33 2,538 D+51.6
Lexington city 1,796 74.5% 588 24.4% 27 2,411 D+50.1
Bath 1,544 64.6% 821 34.4% 25 2,390 D+30.3
Buena Vista city 1,591 66.8% 769 32.3% 21 2,381 D+34.5
Covington city 1,817 78.5% 474 20.5% 23 2,314 D+58.0
Galax city 1,534 67.3% 726 31.8% 21 2,281 D+35.4
Highland 905 57.7% 640 40.8% 23 1,568 D+16.9
Norton city 1,076 72.0% 398 26.6% 21 1,495 D+45.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+8.9
2020 Mark Robert Warner (D) D+12.1
2018 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+16.0
2014 Mark R. Warner (D) D+0.8
2012 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+5.9
2008 Mark Warner (D) D+31.3
2006 Jim Webb (D) D+0.4
2002 John Warner (R) R+82.6
2000 George F. Allen (R) R+4.6
1996 John W. Warner (R) R+5.1
1994 Chuck Robb (D) D+2.7
1990 John Warner (R) R+80.9
1988 Charles S. Robb (D) D+42.6
1984 John Warner (R) R+40.1
1982 Paul Trible (R) R+2.4
1978 John William Warner (R) R+0.4
1976 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1972 William Lloyd Scott (R) R+5.3
1970 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1966 William B. Spong Jr. (D) D+25.1
1964 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+44.8
1960 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+81.3
1958 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+69.3
1954 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+79.9
1952 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+73.4
1948 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+34.8
1946 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+34.4
1942 Carter Glass (D) D+91.1
1940 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+93.3
1936 Carter Glass (D) D+86.9
1934 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+55.0
1930 Carter Glass (D) D+76.7
1928 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.8
1924 Carter Glass (D) D+48.9
1922 Claude Swanson (D) D+45.4
1918 Thomas S. Martin (D) D+99.7
1916 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.9