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Election 2008 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2008 US Senate election in Montana

Max Baucus (Democrat) beat Bob Kelleher (Republican) in Montana in 2008, 72.9% to 27.1%, a margin of 45.8 points and 218,920 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2002, when Max Baucus also won.

Democrats led in 56 of the 56 counties. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 67,434 votes and went to the Democrat by 48.7 points. The closest was Petroleum, where 69 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Max Baucus won Democratic 348,289 72.9%
Bob Kelleher Republican 129,369 27.1%
Total477,658

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 50,126 74.3% 17,308 25.7% 67,434 D+48.7
Missoula 45,621 79.2% 11,961 20.8% 57,582 D+58.5
Gallatin 33,142 71.3% 13,359 28.7% 46,501 D+42.5
Flathead 26,963 63.6% 15,459 36.4% 42,422 D+27.1
Cascade 27,349 77.9% 7,758 22.1% 35,107 D+55.8
Lewis and Clark 24,702 76.9% 7,419 23.1% 32,121 D+53.8
Ravalli 13,557 63.0% 7,956 37.0% 21,513 D+26.0
Silver Bow 14,445 86.4% 2,265 13.6% 16,710 D+72.9
Lake 9,633 70.7% 3,996 29.3% 13,629 D+41.4
Lincoln 5,627 62.0% 3,449 38.0% 9,076 D+24.0
Park 6,129 70.8% 2,530 29.2% 8,659 D+41.6
Hill 5,333 80.6% 1,285 19.4% 6,618 D+61.2
Jefferson 4,294 69.4% 1,892 30.6% 6,186 D+38.8
Fergus 3,939 65.4% 2,088 34.6% 6,027 D+30.7
Sanders 3,362 58.9% 2,350 41.1% 5,712 D+17.7
Carbon 4,085 73.1% 1,502 26.9% 5,587 D+46.2
Custer 4,003 75.0% 1,333 25.0% 5,336 D+50.0
Big Horn 4,300 82.9% 888 17.1% 5,188 D+65.8
Deer Lodge 4,393 86.6% 681 13.4% 5,074 D+73.2
Glacier 4,162 84.3% 777 15.7% 4,939 D+68.5
Beaverhead 3,233 68.0% 1,518 32.0% 4,751 D+36.1
Stillwater 3,022 67.2% 1,474 32.8% 4,496 D+34.4
Madison 2,978 66.7% 1,488 33.3% 4,466 D+33.4
Richland 2,780 62.8% 1,649 37.2% 4,429 D+25.5
Dawson 3,012 68.9% 1,357 31.1% 4,369 D+37.9
Roosevelt 3,341 81.3% 766 18.7% 4,107 D+62.7
Valley 2,964 77.4% 864 22.6% 3,828 D+54.9
Rosebud 2,874 76.3% 895 23.7% 3,769 D+52.5
Teton 2,233 68.9% 1,009 31.1% 3,242 D+37.8
Blaine 2,379 82.3% 512 17.7% 2,891 D+64.6
Pondera 2,125 75.2% 702 24.8% 2,827 D+50.3
Chouteau 2,134 76.1% 671 23.9% 2,805 D+52.2
Powell 1,885 68.0% 886 32.0% 2,771 D+36.1
Musselshell 1,361 60.8% 878 39.2% 2,239 D+21.6
Toole 1,443 68.7% 658 31.3% 2,101 D+37.4
Phillips 1,468 70.3% 621 29.7% 2,089 D+40.5
Sweet Grass 1,161 58.6% 821 41.4% 1,982 D+17.2
Sheridan 1,468 74.3% 508 25.7% 1,976 D+48.6
Mineral 1,329 68.0% 624 32.0% 1,953 D+36.1
Granite 1,077 64.8% 586 35.2% 1,663 D+29.5
Fallon 879 63.3% 510 36.7% 1,389 D+26.6
Judith Basin 872 72.2% 336 27.8% 1,208 D+44.4
McCone 681 63.8% 386 36.2% 1,067 D+27.6
Broadwater 650 61.6% 405 38.4% 1,055 D+23.2
Daniels 716 69.3% 317 30.7% 1,033 D+38.6
Powder River 598 60.8% 385 39.2% 983 D+21.7
Liberty 715 74.0% 251 26.0% 966 D+48.0
Wheatland 632 66.2% 322 33.8% 954 D+32.5
Meagher 635 68.1% 297 31.9% 932 D+36.3
Prairie 439 61.7% 273 38.3% 712 D+23.3
Garfield 423 59.8% 284 40.2% 707 D+19.7
Carter 444 63.3% 257 36.7% 701 D+26.7
Wibaux 366 66.7% 183 33.3% 549 D+33.3
Golden Valley 288 61.5% 180 38.5% 468 D+23.1
Treasure 336 72.7% 126 27.3% 462 D+45.5
Petroleum 183 61.6% 114 38.4% 297 D+23.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Tim Sheehy (R) R+7.1
2020 Steve Daines (R) R+10.0
2018 Jon Tester (D) D+3.6
2014 Steve Daines (R) R+17.7
2012 Jon Tester (D) D+3.7
2008 Max Baucus (D) D+45.8
2006 Jon Tester (D) D+0.9
2002 Max Baucus (D) D+31.0
2000 Conrad Burns (R) R+3.3
1996 Max Baucus (D) D+4.9
1994 Conrad R. Burns (R) R+24.7
1990 Max Baucus (D) D+38.7
1988 Conrad Burns (R) R+3.7
1984 Max Baucus (D) D+16.2
1982 John Melcher (D) D+12.8
1978 Max Baucus (D) D+11.4
1976 John Melcher (D) D+28.3
1972 Lee Metcalf (D) D+3.9
1970 Mike Mansfield (D) D+21.1
1966 Lee Metcalf (D) D+6.3
1964 Mike Mansfield (D) D+29.0
1960 Lee Metcalf (D) D+1.5
1958 Mike Mansfield (D) D+52.4
1954 James E. Murray (D) D+0.8
1952 Mike Mansfield (D) D+2.2
1948 James E. Murray (D) D+13.9
1946 Zales N. Ecton (R) R+8.1
1942 James E. Murray (D) D+0.7
1940 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+46.9
1936 James E. Murray (D) D+27.9
1934 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+41.4
1930 Thomas J. Walsh (D) D+22.5
1928 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+6.4
1924 Thomas J. Walsh (D) D+10.4
1922 Burton K. Wheeler (D) D+11.8
1918 Thomas J. Walsh (D) D+5.3
1916 Henry L. Myers (D) D+7.7