United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2008 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2008 presidential election in Montana

John McCain (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Montana in 2008, 49.5% to 47.2%, a margin of 2.3 points and 11,096 votes.

Montana voted 9.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+7.3.

The Republican hold continued from 2004, when George W. Bush won.

Republicans led in 43 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 13. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 70,431 votes and went to the Republican by 6.3 points. The closest was Sheridan, where 34 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John McCain won Republican 242,763 49.5%
Barack Obama Democratic 231,667 47.2%
All other candidates 15,872 3.2%
Total490,302

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 32,038 45.5% 36,483 51.8% 1,910 70,431 R+6.3
Missoula 36,531 61.8% 20,743 35.1% 1,830 59,104 D+26.7
Gallatin 24,205 50.3% 22,578 46.9% 1,386 48,169 D+3.4
Flathead 16,138 36.9% 25,559 58.4% 2,047 43,744 R+21.5
Cascade 17,664 49.9% 16,857 47.6% 875 35,396 D+2.3
Lewis and Clark 17,114 51.2% 14,966 44.8% 1,353 33,433 D+6.4
Ravalli 8,400 38.0% 13,002 58.8% 699 22,101 R+20.8
Silver Bow 11,676 68.8% 4,818 28.4% 475 16,969 D+40.4
Lake 6,766 48.6% 6,498 46.7% 655 13,919 D+1.9
Park 4,173 42.5% 4,376 44.6% 1,266 9,815 R+2.1
Lincoln 3,025 32.8% 5,704 61.8% 498 9,227 R+29.0
Hill 3,596 54.0% 2,787 41.8% 278 6,661 D+12.1
Jefferson 2,582 40.7% 3,538 55.8% 221 6,341 R+15.1
Fergus 1,933 31.0% 4,108 65.9% 191 6,232 R+34.9
Sanders 1,970 33.6% 3,563 60.7% 335 5,868 R+27.1
Carbon 2,443 42.5% 3,108 54.1% 199 5,750 R+11.6
Custer 2,267 41.4% 3,047 55.6% 168 5,482 R+14.2
Big Horn 3,516 67.4% 1,628 31.2% 75 5,219 D+36.2
Deer Lodge 3,402 67.0% 1,502 29.6% 170 5,074 D+37.4
Glacier 3,423 68.9% 1,451 29.2% 97 4,971 D+39.7
Roosevelt 2,564 51.8% 1,473 29.8% 910 4,947 D+22.1
Beaverhead 1,617 33.9% 3,008 63.2% 138 4,763 R+29.2
Stillwater 1,512 32.4% 2,991 64.1% 164 4,667 R+31.7
Madison 1,607 35.2% 2,822 61.8% 139 4,568 R+26.6
Richland 1,203 26.6% 3,184 70.5% 129 4,516 R+43.9
Dawson 1,593 35.8% 2,639 59.3% 218 4,450 R+23.5
Valley 1,645 37.2% 2,121 47.9% 660 4,426 R+10.8
Rosebud 1,919 50.4% 1,768 46.4% 123 3,810 D+4.0
Teton 1,294 39.5% 1,874 57.3% 104 3,272 R+17.7
Blaine 1,702 56.5% 1,139 37.8% 173 3,014 D+18.7
Powell 1,021 34.7% 1,683 57.2% 236 2,940 R+22.5
Pondera 1,223 42.4% 1,588 55.0% 74 2,885 R+12.7
Chouteau 1,122 39.1% 1,634 57.0% 110 2,866 R+17.9
Broadwater 854 30.8% 1,853 66.8% 68 2,775 R+36.0
Musselshell 636 27.6% 1,581 68.6% 89 2,306 R+41.0
Sweet Grass 541 23.5% 1,494 65.0% 264 2,299 R+41.5
Phillips 638 28.7% 1,423 64.0% 163 2,224 R+35.3
Toole 737 34.7% 1,317 62.1% 67 2,121 R+27.3
Mineral 845 41.8% 1,053 52.1% 123 2,021 R+10.3
Sheridan 953 47.5% 987 49.2% 66 2,006 R+1.7
Granite 601 35.0% 1,013 59.0% 104 1,718 R+24.0
Fallon 318 20.7% 1,064 69.1% 157 1,539 R+48.5
Powder River 208 14.8% 802 57.1% 394 1,404 R+42.3
Judith Basin 397 32.1% 801 64.8% 38 1,236 R+32.7
McCone 321 29.0% 726 65.6% 59 1,106 R+36.6
Daniels 343 32.0% 694 64.7% 36 1,073 R+32.7
Liberty 367 36.7% 594 59.3% 40 1,001 R+22.7
Wheatland 289 29.4% 657 66.8% 37 983 R+37.4
Meagher 298 30.8% 624 64.6% 44 966 R+33.7
Carter 111 12.8% 573 66.2% 182 866 R+53.3
Prairie 211 25.4% 503 60.6% 116 830 R+35.2
Garfield 110 15.1% 598 82.3% 19 727 R+67.1
Wibaux 146 25.9% 379 67.3% 38 563 R+41.4
Golden Valley 124 25.2% 343 69.7% 25 492 R+44.5
Treasure 156 32.1% 314 64.6% 16 486 R+32.5
Petroleum 68 22.7% 227 75.7% 5 300 R+53.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+19.9
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+16.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+20.4
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+13.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+2.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+20.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+25.1
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.0
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+19.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+9.9
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+41.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+23.1
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+29.1
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+19.3
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+11.8
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+4.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+20.4
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+18.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+60.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.7