Election 2012 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2012 presidential election in Montana
Mitt Romney (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Montana in 2012, 55.4% to 41.7%, a margin of 13.7 points and 66,089 votes.
Montana voted 17.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.
The Republican hold continued from 2008, when John McCain won.
Republicans led in 48 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 68,807 votes and went to the Republican by 20.5 points. The closest was Petroleum, where 191 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitt Romney won | Republican | 267,928 | 55.4% |
| Barack Obama | Democratic | 201,839 | 41.7% |
| All other candidates | 14,281 | 3.0% | |
| Total | 484,048 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellowstone | 26,403 38.4% | 40,500 58.9% | 1,904 | 68,807 | R+20.5 |
| Missoula | 32,824 57.4% | 22,652 39.6% | 1,716 | 57,192 | D+17.8 |
| Gallatin | 21,961 45.9% | 24,358 50.9% | 1,563 | 47,882 | R+5.0 |
| Flathead | 13,892 32.0% | 28,309 65.1% | 1,275 | 43,476 | R+33.2 |
| Cascade | 15,232 44.1% | 18,345 53.1% | 987 | 34,564 | R+9.0 |
| Lewis and Clark | 15,620 46.9% | 16,803 50.4% | 895 | 33,318 | R+3.6 |
| Ravalli | 7,285 32.8% | 14,307 64.4% | 614 | 22,206 | R+31.6 |
| Silver Bow | 10,857 64.8% | 5,430 32.4% | 469 | 16,756 | D+32.4 |
| Lake | 5,805 43.6% | 7,135 53.6% | 364 | 13,304 | R+10.0 |
| Lincoln | 2,552 28.7% | 6,057 68.1% | 280 | 8,889 | R+39.4 |
| Park | 3,783 43.1% | 4,709 53.7% | 276 | 8,768 | R+10.6 |
| Hill | 3,403 49.9% | 3,164 46.4% | 253 | 6,820 | D+3.5 |
| Jefferson | 2,272 34.8% | 4,055 62.2% | 193 | 6,520 | R+27.3 |
| Fergus | 1,640 27.0% | 4,257 70.1% | 174 | 6,071 | R+43.1 |
| Sanders | 1,720 29.1% | 3,980 67.4% | 201 | 5,901 | R+38.3 |
| Carbon | 2,146 36.7% | 3,533 60.4% | 167 | 5,846 | R+23.7 |
| Custer | 1,833 34.2% | 3,373 62.9% | 159 | 5,365 | R+28.7 |
| Beaverhead | 1,371 28.5% | 3,289 68.3% | 152 | 4,812 | R+39.9 |
| Stillwater | 1,248 26.5% | 3,337 71.0% | 117 | 4,702 | R+44.4 |
| Richland | 1,002 21.6% | 3,510 75.6% | 133 | 4,645 | R+54.0 |
| Big Horn | 2,882 62.3% | 1,667 36.0% | 77 | 4,626 | D+26.3 |
| Madison | 1,289 28.5% | 3,130 69.1% | 111 | 4,530 | R+40.6 |
| Deer Lodge | 2,860 64.1% | 1,448 32.5% | 152 | 4,460 | D+31.7 |
| Glacier | 2,924 65.7% | 1,415 31.8% | 113 | 4,452 | D+33.9 |
| Dawson | 1,219 27.6% | 3,029 68.5% | 175 | 4,423 | R+40.9 |
| Valley | 1,385 35.9% | 2,337 60.6% | 137 | 3,859 | R+24.7 |
| Roosevelt | 2,086 56.8% | 1,514 41.2% | 72 | 3,672 | D+15.6 |
| Rosebud | 1,422 40.4% | 2,004 56.9% | 97 | 3,523 | R+16.5 |
| Teton | 1,082 33.0% | 2,113 64.4% | 86 | 3,281 | R+31.4 |
| Broadwater | 764 25.4% | 2,152 71.5% | 95 | 3,011 | R+46.1 |
| Blaine | 1,616 56.5% | 1,178 41.2% | 65 | 2,859 | D+15.3 |
| Chouteau | 978 34.7% | 1,758 62.3% | 85 | 2,821 | R+27.6 |
| Powell | 888 32.0% | 1,806 65.1% | 82 | 2,776 | R+33.1 |
| Pondera | 975 35.9% | 1,673 61.5% | 71 | 2,719 | R+25.7 |
| Musselshell | 492 20.4% | 1,833 76.2% | 82 | 2,407 | R+55.7 |
| Phillips | 471 21.1% | 1,688 75.8% | 69 | 2,228 | R+54.6 |
| Sweet Grass | 475 22.4% | 1,594 75.3% | 48 | 2,117 | R+52.9 |
| Toole | 582 27.7% | 1,440 68.5% | 80 | 2,102 | R+40.8 |
| Mineral | 700 34.7% | 1,216 60.3% | 101 | 2,017 | R+25.6 |
| Sheridan | 665 34.5% | 1,207 62.6% | 56 | 1,928 | R+28.1 |
| Granite | 533 31.3% | 1,107 64.9% | 65 | 1,705 | R+33.7 |
| Fallon | 237 16.9% | 1,128 80.3% | 40 | 1,405 | R+63.4 |
| Judith Basin | 337 27.7% | 854 70.3% | 24 | 1,215 | R+42.6 |
| Powder River | 170 16.6% | 833 81.1% | 24 | 1,027 | R+64.6 |
| Daniels | 237 23.5% | 740 73.5% | 30 | 1,007 | R+50.0 |
| McCone | 223 22.5% | 745 75.0% | 25 | 993 | R+52.6 |
| Wheatland | 272 27.4% | 693 69.9% | 27 | 992 | R+42.4 |
| Liberty | 257 26.0% | 702 71.1% | 29 | 988 | R+45.0 |
| Meagher | 269 27.7% | 670 68.9% | 33 | 972 | R+41.3 |
| Carter | 96 12.1% | 678 85.4% | 20 | 794 | R+73.3 |
| Prairie | 167 23.8% | 520 74.0% | 16 | 703 | R+50.2 |
| Garfield | 66 9.4% | 622 88.9% | 12 | 700 | R+79.4 |
| Wibaux | 98 18.0% | 421 77.4% | 25 | 544 | R+59.4 |
| Golden Valley | 110 23.0% | 351 73.3% | 18 | 479 | R+50.3 |
| Treasure | 114 25.1% | 319 70.1% | 22 | 455 | R+45.1 |
| Petroleum | 49 16.4% | 240 80.5% | 9 | 298 | R+64.1 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Montana in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump (R) | R+19.9 |
| 2020 | Donald Trump (R) | R+16.4 |
| 2016 | Donald Trump (R) | R+20.4 |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney (R) | R+13.7 |
| 2008 | John McCain (R) | R+2.3 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+20.5 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+25.1 |
| 1996 | Bob Dole (R) | R+2.9 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.5 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+5.9 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+22.3 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+24.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+7.4 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+20.1 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+9.0 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+18.4 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+2.5 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+14.3 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+19.3 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+9.9 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+9.4 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+18.6 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+41.7 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+22.7 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+17.9 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+23.1 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+29.1 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+19.3 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+11.8 |
| 1908 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+4.4 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+20.4 |
| 1900 | William Jennings Bryan (D) | D+18.6 |
| 1896 | William Jennings Bryan (D) | D+60.6 |
| 1892 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+2.7 |