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Election 2012 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2012 presidential election in Iowa

Barack Obama (Democrat) beat Mitt Romney (Republican) in Iowa in 2012, 52.0% to 46.2%, a margin of 5.8 points and 91,927 votes.

Iowa voted 2.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.9.

The Democratic hold continued from 2008, when Barack Obama also won.

Republicans led in 61 of the 99 counties and Democrats in 38. The largest, Polk, cast 228,882 votes and went to the Democrat by 14.1 points. The closest was Winnebago, where 3 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Barack Obama won Democratic 822,544 52.0%
Mitt Romney Republican 730,617 46.2%
All other candidates 29,019 1.8%
Total1,582,180

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Polk 128,465 56.1% 96,096 42.0% 4,321 228,882 D+14.1
Linn 68,581 57.9% 47,622 40.2% 2,250 118,453 D+17.7
Scott 50,652 56.1% 38,251 42.4% 1,360 90,263 D+13.7
Johnson 50,666 66.7% 23,698 31.2% 1,613 75,977 D+35.5
Black Hawk 39,821 59.3% 26,235 39.1% 1,085 67,141 D+20.2
Dubuque 28,768 56.5% 21,280 41.8% 846 50,894 D+14.7
Story 26,192 55.6% 19,668 41.7% 1,290 47,150 D+13.8
Woodbury 22,302 49.5% 21,841 48.5% 876 45,019 D+1.0
Pottawattamie 19,644 46.4% 21,860 51.7% 797 42,301 R+5.2
Dallas 16,576 43.5% 20,988 55.1% 552 38,116 R+11.6
Warren 12,551 48.1% 13,052 50.1% 469 26,072 R+1.9
Clinton 15,141 60.6% 9,432 37.7% 427 25,000 D+22.8
Cerro Gordo 13,316 55.9% 10,128 42.5% 380 23,824 D+13.4
Des Moines 11,888 58.3% 8,136 39.9% 361 20,385 D+18.4
Muscatine 11,323 57.0% 8,168 41.1% 374 19,865 D+15.9
Jasper 10,257 52.6% 8,877 45.5% 381 19,515 D+7.1
Marshall 10,257 53.8% 8,472 44.4% 335 19,064 D+9.4
Lee 10,714 56.7% 7,785 41.2% 412 18,911 D+15.5
Webster 9,537 52.1% 8,469 46.3% 286 18,292 D+5.8
Marion 7,507 42.4% 9,828 55.6% 352 17,687 R+13.1
Sioux 2,700 15.6% 14,407 83.2% 201 17,308 R+67.6
Wapello 8,663 54.9% 6,789 43.1% 318 15,770 D+11.9
Boone 7,512 52.2% 6,556 45.6% 320 14,388 D+6.6
Benton 6,862 48.9% 6,940 49.5% 221 14,023 R+0.6
Bremer 6,763 50.7% 6,405 48.0% 178 13,346 D+2.7
Plymouth 4,164 32.2% 8,597 66.4% 189 12,950 R+34.2
Winneshiek 6,256 56.4% 4,622 41.7% 206 11,084 D+14.7
Washington 5,115 46.5% 5,562 50.5% 327 11,004 R+4.1
Mahaska 4,213 38.7% 6,448 59.2% 222 10,883 R+20.5
Carroll 4,947 46.3% 5,601 52.5% 126 10,674 R+6.1
Buchanan 5,911 56.1% 4,450 42.2% 174 10,535 D+13.9
Jones 5,534 53.0% 4,721 45.2% 194 10,449 D+7.8
Fayette 5,732 55.3% 4,492 43.3% 142 10,366 D+12.0
Jackson 5,907 57.7% 4,177 40.8% 158 10,242 D+16.9
Dickinson 4,095 40.3% 5,912 58.2% 152 10,159 R+17.9
Poweshiek 5,357 53.7% 4,424 44.4% 194 9,975 D+9.4
Henry 4,460 46.0% 5,035 51.9% 202 9,697 R+5.9
Cedar 4,972 51.5% 4,529 46.9% 148 9,649 D+4.6
Delaware 4,616 49.2% 4,636 49.4% 126 9,378 R+0.2
Clayton 4,806 52.6% 4,164 45.6% 168 9,138 D+7.0
Tama 4,768 52.9% 4,098 45.4% 151 9,017 D+7.4
Kossuth 3,850 43.1% 4,937 55.3% 136 8,923 R+12.2
Hardin 4,075 45.8% 4,670 52.5% 153 8,898 R+6.7
Iowa 4,144 46.7% 4,569 51.5% 153 8,866 R+4.8
Jefferson 4,798 56.2% 3,436 40.3% 296 8,530 D+16.0
Clay 3,385 39.8% 4,951 58.2% 166 8,502 R+18.4
Madison 3,630 42.9% 4,638 54.8% 190 8,458 R+11.9
Buena Vista 3,700 44.1% 4,554 54.3% 129 8,383 R+10.2
Floyd 4,680 56.7% 3,472 42.0% 105 8,257 D+14.6
Hamilton 3,782 47.7% 3,991 50.3% 154 7,927 R+2.6
Butler 3,329 44.1% 4,106 54.4% 110 7,545 R+10.3
O'Brien 1,969 26.8% 5,266 71.7% 106 7,341 R+44.9
Harrison 3,136 42.8% 4,065 55.5% 121 7,322 R+12.7
Mills 2,848 39.5% 4,216 58.5% 148 7,212 R+19.0
Cass 2,858 39.7% 4,217 58.5% 130 7,205 R+18.9
Page 2,613 36.9% 4,348 61.4% 118 7,079 R+24.5
Grundy 2,635 37.8% 4,215 60.5% 112 6,962 R+22.7
Allamakee 3,553 51.2% 3,264 47.1% 117 6,934 D+4.2
Crawford 3,066 45.4% 3,595 53.2% 91 6,752 R+7.8
Lyon 1,423 21.9% 4,978 76.5% 108 6,509 R+54.6
Chickasaw 3,554 54.8% 2,836 43.7% 94 6,484 D+11.1
Shelby 2,469 38.1% 3,911 60.3% 103 6,483 R+22.2
Cherokee 2,634 41.1% 3,662 57.1% 119 6,415 R+16.0
Wright 2,836 45.2% 3,349 53.3% 93 6,278 R+8.2
Appanoose 2,951 47.3% 3,161 50.6% 133 6,245 R+3.4
Union 3,043 51.1% 2,813 47.2% 101 5,957 D+3.9
Hancock 2,521 42.5% 3,317 56.0% 87 5,925 R+13.4
Winnebago 2,903 49.1% 2,906 49.1% 109 5,918 R+0.1
Guthrie 2,569 43.6% 3,171 53.9% 148 5,888 R+10.2
Mitchell 2,831 50.7% 2,643 47.3% 112 5,586 D+3.4
Sac 2,122 40.1% 3,094 58.5% 75 5,291 R+18.4
Keokuk 2,303 43.7% 2,843 54.0% 120 5,266 R+10.3
Calhoun 2,238 42.8% 2,891 55.3% 101 5,230 R+12.5
Franklin 2,266 43.7% 2,823 54.4% 97 5,186 R+10.7
Humboldt 1,972 38.2% 3,099 60.1% 87 5,158 R+21.8
Montgomery 1,922 38.2% 3,001 59.7% 102 5,025 R+21.5
Louisa 2,452 49.4% 2,420 48.7% 96 4,968 D+0.6
Palo Alto 2,139 43.8% 2,660 54.4% 88 4,887 R+10.7
Greene 2,375 49.0% 2,380 49.1% 91 4,846 R+0.1
Monona 2,101 44.3% 2,557 53.9% 84 4,742 R+9.6
Emmet 2,099 44.8% 2,507 53.5% 81 4,687 R+8.7
Howard 2,768 59.6% 1,795 38.6% 82 4,645 D+20.9
Clarke 2,189 49.4% 2,124 47.9% 117 4,430 D+1.5
Lucas 1,987 46.0% 2,254 52.1% 82 4,323 R+6.2
Worth 2,350 56.3% 1,744 41.8% 78 4,172 D+14.5
Pocahontas 1,523 37.8% 2,396 59.4% 113 4,032 R+21.7
Adair 1,790 44.8% 2,114 52.9% 92 3,996 R+8.1
Decatur 1,791 46.7% 1,947 50.8% 95 3,833 R+4.1
Monroe 1,731 45.2% 2,026 52.9% 73 3,830 R+7.7
Davis 1,520 40.3% 2,138 56.7% 115 3,773 R+16.4
Fremont 1,637 44.6% 1,972 53.8% 59 3,668 R+9.1
Ida 1,321 36.1% 2,286 62.4% 56 3,663 R+26.3
Van Buren 1,402 39.3% 2,064 57.8% 103 3,569 R+18.5
Audubon 1,611 46.6% 1,802 52.1% 44 3,457 R+5.5
Osceola 912 28.6% 2,230 69.8% 52 3,194 R+41.3
Taylor 1,262 42.1% 1,683 56.2% 50 2,995 R+14.1
Wayne 1,251 43.1% 1,583 54.6% 66 2,900 R+11.4
Ringgold 1,186 45.6% 1,368 52.6% 45 2,599 R+7.0
Adams 1,028 47.0% 1,108 50.7% 49 2,185 R+3.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Iowa in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+8.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.4
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.0
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+10.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.2
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+18.4
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+28.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+2.7
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.5
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+4.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+11.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+24.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+38.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+45.4
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+12.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.3
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+15.0
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+32.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+18.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+12.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+5.3
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+7.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+5.2
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+24.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+20.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.1
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.8