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Election 1976 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1976 presidential election in Iowa

Gerald Ford (Republican) beat Jimmy Carter (Democrat) in Iowa in 1976, 49.5% to 48.5%, a margin of 1.0 point and 12,933 votes.

Iowa voted 3.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 1972, when Richard Nixon won.

Republicans led in 51 of the 99 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 48. The largest, Polk, cast 137,763 votes and went to the Democrat by 7.0 points. The closest was Van Buren, where 3 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Gerald Ford won Republican 632,864 49.5%
Jimmy Carter Democratic 619,931 48.5%
All other candidates 26,508 2.1%
Total1,279,303

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Polk 71,917 52.2% 62,316 45.2% 3,530 137,763 D+7.0
Linn 38,252 50.1% 36,513 47.8% 1,632 76,397 D+2.3
Scott 29,771 45.1% 35,021 53.1% 1,148 65,940 R+8.0
Black Hawk 29,508 47.8% 30,994 50.2% 1,213 61,715 R+2.4
Woodbury 19,664 45.4% 22,853 52.8% 770 43,287 R+7.4
Dubuque 20,548 52.6% 17,459 44.7% 1,042 39,049 D+7.9
Johnson 20,208 52.2% 16,090 41.6% 2,412 38,710 D+10.6
Story 15,717 44.3% 18,394 51.8% 1,365 35,476 R+7.5
Pottawattamie 14,754 45.4% 17,264 53.1% 501 32,519 R+7.7
Clinton 11,746 47.9% 12,401 50.5% 387 24,534 R+2.7
Cerro Gordo 11,189 50.4% 10,604 47.8% 403 22,196 D+2.6
Des Moines 11,268 54.9% 9,023 43.9% 245 20,536 D+10.9
Webster 10,543 52.7% 9,068 45.4% 384 19,995 D+7.4
Marshall 8,695 46.7% 9,562 51.3% 373 18,630 R+4.7
Lee 9,017 51.6% 8,195 46.9% 253 17,465 D+4.7
Wapello 10,249 59.4% 6,786 39.3% 233 17,268 D+20.1
Jasper 8,783 52.3% 7,728 46.0% 275 16,786 D+6.3
Muscatine 6,567 45.3% 7,697 53.1% 232 14,496 R+7.8
Warren 7,653 54.2% 6,099 43.2% 356 14,108 D+11.0
Sioux 3,322 25.7% 9,448 73.0% 165 12,935 R+47.4
Boone 6,595 53.8% 5,413 44.1% 255 12,263 D+9.6
Dallas 6,722 54.9% 5,308 43.3% 217 12,247 D+11.5
Fayette 5,220 43.1% 6,618 54.7% 264 12,102 R+11.6
Marion 6,226 52.5% 5,429 45.8% 202 11,857 D+6.7
Benton 5,514 51.5% 5,014 46.8% 175 10,703 D+4.7
Bremer 4,203 39.3% 6,252 58.5% 230 10,685 R+19.2
Mahaska 4,838 47.2% 5,267 51.4% 146 10,251 R+4.2
Kossuth 5,190 51.7% 4,653 46.3% 203 10,046 D+5.3
Plymouth 4,284 42.8% 5,590 55.8% 142 10,016 R+13.0
Carroll 5,333 55.5% 4,094 42.6% 181 9,608 D+12.9
Buena Vista 4,227 44.2% 5,126 53.6% 214 9,567 R+9.4
Hardin 4,479 48.0% 4,682 50.2% 167 9,328 R+2.2
Buchanan 4,258 46.2% 4,794 52.0% 171 9,223 R+5.8
Floyd 4,646 50.6% 4,361 47.5% 171 9,178 D+3.1
Winneshiek 4,158 45.4% 4,765 52.1% 226 9,149 R+6.6
Tama 4,580 50.3% 4,379 48.1% 148 9,107 D+2.2
Jackson 4,467 50.3% 4,221 47.5% 198 8,886 D+2.8
Jones 4,245 48.1% 4,463 50.5% 123 8,831 R+2.5
Clayton 3,804 43.2% 4,826 54.8% 177 8,807 R+11.6
Poweshiek 4,360 49.9% 4,194 48.0% 181 8,735 D+1.9
Clay 3,776 44.4% 4,548 53.5% 176 8,500 R+9.1
Page 2,865 34.4% 5,343 64.1% 127 8,335 R+29.7
Hamilton 3,953 49.3% 3,932 49.0% 140 8,025 D+0.3
Crawford 3,903 49.1% 3,879 48.8% 166 7,948 D+0.3
Henry 3,882 49.2% 3,848 48.8% 157 7,887 D+0.4
Cedar 3,354 42.9% 4,308 55.1% 160 7,822 R+12.2
Washington 3,448 44.2% 4,218 54.0% 141 7,807 R+9.9
Cass 2,866 38.0% 4,589 60.8% 94 7,549 R+22.8
O'Brien 2,732 36.4% 4,643 61.9% 131 7,506 R+25.5
Delaware 3,168 42.3% 4,161 55.6% 152 7,481 R+13.3
Cherokee 3,358 44.9% 3,993 53.4% 127 7,478 R+8.5
Iowa 3,367 45.4% 3,926 53.0% 118 7,411 R+7.5
Wright 3,637 49.9% 3,544 48.7% 101 7,282 D+1.3
Jefferson 3,377 46.6% 3,746 51.7% 121 7,244 R+5.1
Dickinson 3,074 43.9% 3,795 54.1% 141 7,010 R+10.3
Chickasaw 3,503 50.1% 3,432 49.1% 53 6,988 D+1.0
Butler 2,503 36.8% 4,207 61.8% 98 6,808 R+25.0
Harrison 3,228 47.5% 3,489 51.4% 73 6,790 R+3.8
Grundy 2,410 36.2% 4,173 62.7% 77 6,660 R+26.5
Appanoose 3,424 52.2% 3,036 46.3% 98 6,558 D+5.9
Keokuk 3,482 53.5% 2,920 44.9% 102 6,504 D+8.6
Sac 2,996 46.1% 3,347 51.5% 150 6,493 R+5.4
Winnebago 2,950 46.5% 3,315 52.2% 81 6,346 R+5.8
Allamakee 2,568 40.7% 3,648 57.9% 87 6,303 R+17.1
Calhoun 3,001 47.6% 3,215 51.0% 84 6,300 R+3.4
Shelby 2,851 45.5% 3,301 52.7% 109 6,261 R+7.2
Hancock 2,975 48.1% 3,127 50.5% 85 6,187 R+2.5
Greene 3,094 51.7% 2,811 46.9% 84 5,989 D+4.7
Montgomery 2,229 37.3% 3,673 61.5% 72 5,974 R+24.2
Union 2,955 49.7% 2,873 48.3% 120 5,948 D+1.4
Madison 3,109 52.6% 2,681 45.4% 120 5,910 D+7.2
Palo Alto 3,182 53.9% 2,623 44.4% 99 5,904 D+9.5
Mitchell 2,906 49.3% 2,887 49.0% 99 5,892 D+0.3
Pocahontas 3,055 51.9% 2,700 45.8% 134 5,889 D+6.0
Franklin 2,682 45.9% 3,056 52.3% 105 5,843 R+6.4
Humboldt 2,677 45.8% 3,075 52.6% 89 5,841 R+6.8
Emmet 2,720 47.8% 2,872 50.5% 95 5,687 R+2.7
Guthrie 2,873 50.9% 2,644 46.9% 124 5,641 D+4.1
Howard 2,917 51.9% 2,618 46.6% 81 5,616 D+5.3
Lyon 1,870 33.7% 3,558 64.1% 126 5,554 R+30.4
Monona 2,661 49.6% 2,636 49.1% 73 5,370 D+0.5
Lucas 2,733 55.8% 2,071 42.3% 90 4,894 D+13.5
Adair 2,294 48.6% 2,326 49.3% 102 4,722 R+0.7
Mills 1,908 40.5% 2,722 57.8% 80 4,710 R+17.3
Decatur 2,698 57.3% 1,932 41.0% 77 4,707 D+16.3
Ida 1,868 41.0% 2,590 56.9% 97 4,555 R+15.9
Louisa 2,089 47.0% 2,284 51.4% 68 4,441 R+4.4
Worth 2,399 54.2% 1,964 44.4% 62 4,425 D+9.8
Fremont 1,964 47.0% 2,163 51.8% 49 4,176 R+4.8
Clarke 2,333 56.2% 1,737 41.9% 79 4,149 D+14.4
Audubon 2,104 50.9% 1,978 47.9% 51 4,133 D+3.0
Davis 2,426 58.8% 1,631 39.5% 72 4,129 D+19.3
Taylor 1,947 48.0% 2,059 50.8% 48 4,054 R+2.8
Monroe 2,360 59.1% 1,581 39.6% 55 3,996 D+19.5
Wayne 2,145 53.7% 1,781 44.6% 69 3,995 D+9.1
Van Buren 1,807 49.2% 1,804 49.1% 60 3,671 D+0.1
Osceola 1,309 39.2% 1,955 58.5% 77 3,341 R+19.3
Ringgold 1,739 52.1% 1,543 46.3% 54 3,336 D+5.9
Adams 1,507 51.3% 1,388 47.3% 42 2,937 D+4.1

Counties as they stood in 1976; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Iowa in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+8.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.4
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.0
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+10.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.2
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+18.4
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+28.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+2.7
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.5
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+4.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+11.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+24.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+38.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+45.4
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+12.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.3
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+15.0
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+32.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+18.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+12.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+5.3
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+7.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+5.2
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+24.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+20.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.1
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.8