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Election 1976 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1976 presidential election in Kentucky

Jimmy Carter (Democrat) beat Gerald Ford (Republican) in Kentucky in 1976, 52.8% to 45.6%, a margin of 7.2 points and 83,865 votes.

Kentucky voted 5.1 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

Kentucky changed party: in 1972 it went Republican, for Richard Nixon.

Democrats led in 84 of the 120 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 35. The largest, Jefferson, cast 259,445 votes and went to the Republican by 2.9 points. The closest was Woodford, where 43 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jimmy Carter won Democratic 615,717 52.8%
Gerald Ford Republican 531,852 45.6%
All other candidates 19,573 1.7%
Total1,167,142

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 122,731 47.3% 130,262 50.2% 6,452 259,445 R+2.9
Fayette 28,012 43.1% 35,170 54.1% 1,807 64,989 R+11.0
Kenton 18,833 45.2% 22,087 53.0% 760 41,680 R+7.8
Campbell 12,423 43.1% 15,798 54.8% 600 28,821 R+11.7
Daviess 14,114 51.4% 12,826 46.7% 514 27,454 D+4.7
Pike 14,320 60.4% 9,178 38.7% 193 23,691 D+21.7
McCracken 14,956 65.9% 6,997 30.8% 734 22,687 D+35.1
Boyd 11,150 54.5% 9,106 44.5% 203 20,459 D+10.0
Warren 9,657 50.1% 9,439 48.9% 195 19,291 D+1.1
Franklin 10,475 63.7% 5,536 33.7% 430 16,441 D+30.0
Hardin 7,977 52.5% 6,965 45.9% 243 15,185 D+6.7
Pulaski 5,752 38.1% 9,226 61.2% 105 15,083 R+23.0
Madison 7,299 51.7% 6,581 46.6% 234 14,114 D+5.1
Floyd 10,151 76.1% 3,108 23.3% 74 13,333 D+52.8
Hopkins 7,749 59.7% 5,115 39.4% 126 12,990 D+20.3
Christian 7,845 60.7% 4,964 38.4% 105 12,914 D+22.3
Graves 8,982 72.3% 3,195 25.7% 243 12,420 D+46.6
Henderson 7,916 65.3% 4,053 33.4% 149 12,118 D+31.9
Greenup 6,880 57.3% 5,062 42.1% 71 12,013 D+15.1
Harlan 7,300 60.8% 4,624 38.5% 82 12,006 D+22.3
Calloway 8,141 70.7% 3,171 27.6% 195 11,507 D+43.2
Muhlenberg 7,058 61.6% 4,292 37.5% 99 11,449 D+24.2
Boone 5,602 49.2% 5,602 49.2% 181 11,385 level
Bell 5,284 50.4% 5,035 48.0% 164 10,483 D+2.4
Whitley 4,212 40.5% 6,100 58.7% 80 10,392 R+18.2
Perry 5,633 55.7% 4,434 43.8% 49 10,116 D+11.9
Laurel 3,813 37.9% 6,186 61.4% 74 10,073 R+23.6
Barren 5,878 60.2% 3,797 38.9% 96 9,771 D+21.3
Marshall 6,906 71.8% 2,578 26.8% 130 9,614 D+45.0
Bullitt 5,623 59.3% 3,639 38.4% 215 9,477 D+20.9
Knox 3,642 42.1% 4,931 56.9% 88 8,661 R+14.9
Johnson 3,683 42.7% 4,891 56.6% 61 8,635 R+14.0
Clark 4,575 58.9% 3,114 40.1% 79 7,768 D+18.8
Letcher 4,590 59.2% 3,122 40.3% 36 7,748 D+18.9
Boyle 4,095 53.2% 3,511 45.6% 97 7,703 D+7.6
Nelson 4,454 59.4% 2,804 37.4% 246 7,504 D+22.0
Logan 4,850 65.6% 2,430 32.9% 109 7,389 D+32.8
Ohio 3,508 47.8% 3,764 51.3% 65 7,337 R+3.5
Carter 3,915 54.9% 3,185 44.7% 33 7,133 D+10.2
Taylor 3,456 50.3% 3,337 48.6% 73 6,866 D+1.7
Shelby 3,841 56.1% 2,916 42.6% 90 6,847 D+13.5
Grayson 3,064 45.1% 3,658 53.9% 68 6,790 R+8.7
Oldham 2,819 42.5% 3,695 55.7% 117 6,631 R+13.2
Breckinridge 3,347 54.8% 2,698 44.1% 66 6,111 D+10.6
Jessamine 2,795 46.6% 3,081 51.3% 128 6,004 R+4.8
Mason 3,397 56.6% 2,529 42.1% 78 6,004 D+14.5
Mercer 3,411 56.9% 2,451 40.9% 129 5,991 D+16.0
Lincoln 3,198 54.0% 2,694 45.5% 33 5,925 D+8.5
Bourbon 3,504 59.3% 2,260 38.3% 140 5,904 D+21.1
Rowan 3,541 60.3% 2,244 38.2% 83 5,868 D+22.1
Wayne 2,537 43.6% 3,243 55.8% 37 5,817 R+12.1
Knott 4,762 82.4% 962 16.6% 55 5,779 D+65.8
Scott 3,118 55.3% 2,408 42.7% 112 5,638 D+12.6
Adair 2,366 42.0% 3,201 56.8% 67 5,634 R+14.8
Harrison 3,582 64.5% 1,911 34.4% 58 5,551 D+30.1
Woodford 2,689 49.2% 2,646 48.4% 130 5,465 D+0.8
Clay 1,674 31.4% 3,652 68.4% 10 5,336 R+37.1
Marion 3,520 66.1% 1,723 32.4% 79 5,322 D+33.8
Union 3,540 66.6% 1,716 32.3% 56 5,312 D+34.3
Leslie 1,478 28.0% 3,770 71.5% 23 5,271 R+43.5
Hart 3,189 60.8% 2,013 38.4% 42 5,244 D+22.4
Montgomery 3,141 60.0% 2,032 38.8% 61 5,234 D+21.2
McCreary 1,827 35.5% 3,272 63.6% 43 5,142 R+28.1
Casey 1,602 31.8% 3,379 67.2% 51 5,032 R+35.3
Webster 3,523 70.9% 1,402 28.2% 45 4,970 D+42.7
Caldwell 3,016 61.6% 1,808 36.9% 75 4,899 D+24.7
Meade 3,030 62.2% 1,755 36.1% 83 4,868 D+26.2
Monroe 1,412 29.4% 3,352 69.9% 31 4,795 R+40.5
Allen 2,231 46.7% 2,508 52.5% 39 4,778 R+5.8
Russell 1,803 38.1% 2,882 60.9% 47 4,732 R+22.8
Breathitt 3,544 77.4% 1,014 22.2% 18 4,576 D+55.3
Green 2,085 46.1% 2,397 53.0% 37 4,519 R+6.9
Lewis 1,929 44.5% 2,383 55.0% 20 4,332 R+10.5
Estill 2,034 47.1% 2,250 52.2% 30 4,314 R+5.0
Simpson 2,782 64.7% 1,481 34.4% 36 4,299 D+30.3
Lawrence 2,402 56.1% 1,838 42.9% 43 4,283 D+13.2
Magoffin 2,451 57.5% 1,793 42.1% 19 4,263 D+15.4
Washington 2,376 56.1% 1,765 41.7% 94 4,235 D+14.4
Henry 2,985 70.7% 1,192 28.2% 43 4,220 D+42.5
Anderson 2,388 57.8% 1,682 40.7% 62 4,132 D+17.1
Rockcastle 1,408 35.1% 2,583 64.4% 22 4,013 R+29.3
Garrard 1,887 47.3% 2,045 51.3% 56 3,988 R+4.0
Fleming 2,317 58.2% 1,647 41.4% 19 3,983 D+16.8
Butler 1,588 39.9% 2,363 59.4% 30 3,981 R+19.5
Morgan 2,897 74.3% 973 25.0% 27 3,897 D+49.4
Trigg 2,727 72.8% 991 26.5% 27 3,745 D+46.4
Ballard 2,794 75.7% 649 17.6% 250 3,693 D+58.1
Larue 2,207 60.4% 1,409 38.5% 39 3,655 D+21.8
Grant 2,336 64.3% 1,212 33.4% 86 3,634 D+30.9
Todd 2,436 67.7% 1,095 30.4% 66 3,597 D+37.3
McLean 2,346 65.3% 1,212 33.7% 35 3,593 D+31.6
Fulton 2,370 68.3% 1,060 30.5% 40 3,470 D+37.8
Jackson 680 19.6% 2,766 79.8% 20 3,466 R+60.2
Pendleton 2,147 62.6% 1,230 35.9% 50 3,427 D+26.8
Livingston 2,497 73.1% 878 25.7% 40 3,415 D+47.4
Martin 1,267 37.1% 2,120 62.1% 26 3,413 R+25.0
Edmonson 1,418 41.6% 1,976 57.9% 17 3,411 R+16.4
Clinton 987 29.1% 2,354 69.5% 48 3,389 R+40.3
Crittenden 1,715 51.2% 1,596 47.6% 41 3,352 D+3.6
Metcalfe 1,877 57.5% 1,356 41.5% 33 3,266 D+16.0
Carroll 2,251 72.6% 815 26.3% 33 3,099 D+46.3
Bath 2,113 68.8% 938 30.5% 20 3,071 D+38.3
Owen 2,332 76.4% 676 22.2% 43 3,051 D+54.3
Powell 1,859 61.4% 1,148 37.9% 22 3,029 D+23.5
Hancock 1,562 56.9% 1,124 40.9% 61 2,747 D+15.9
Hickman 2,035 74.9% 585 21.5% 96 2,716 D+53.4
Lee 1,091 42.6% 1,449 56.5% 23 2,563 R+14.0
Cumberland 853 33.8% 1,653 65.4% 21 2,527 R+31.7
Bracken 1,577 63.2% 879 35.2% 39 2,495 D+28.0
Elliott 1,987 80.7% 455 18.5% 19 2,461 D+62.3
Wolfe 1,777 72.3% 659 26.8% 22 2,458 D+45.5
Carlisle 1,985 80.8% 435 17.7% 36 2,456 D+63.1
Nicholas 1,582 66.5% 738 31.0% 58 2,378 D+35.5
Lyon 1,606 72.3% 585 26.3% 30 2,221 D+46.0
Trimble 1,568 74.2% 517 24.5% 28 2,113 D+49.7
Spencer 1,209 61.0% 742 37.4% 32 1,983 D+23.6
Gallatin 1,164 71.7% 436 26.9% 23 1,623 D+44.9
Owsley 305 22.3% 1,053 77.0% 9 1,367 R+54.7
Menifee 1,041 76.8% 304 22.4% 11 1,356 D+54.4
Robertson 546 65.9% 275 33.2% 7 828 D+32.7

Counties as they stood in 1976; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4