United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1904 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1904 presidential election in Kentucky

Alton B. Parker (Democrat) beat Theodore Roosevelt (Republican) in Kentucky in 1904, 49.8% to 47.1%, a margin of 2.7 points and 11,713 votes.

Kentucky voted 21.5 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+18.9.

The Democratic hold continued from 1900, when William Jennings Bryan won.

Democrats led in 69 of the 119 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 50. The largest, Jefferson, cast 45,959 votes and went to the Democrat by 2.4 points. The closest was Fleming, where 5 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Alton B. Parker won Democratic 217,170 49.8%
Theodore Roosevelt Republican 205,457 47.1%
All other candidates 13,319 3.1%
Total435,946

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 22,781 49.6% 21,664 47.1% 1,514 45,959 D+2.4
Kenton 5,760 44.0% 6,306 48.1% 1,032 13,098 R+4.2
Campbell 4,562 39.5% 5,759 49.8% 1,232 11,553 R+10.4
Fayette 5,119 55.6% 3,947 42.9% 141 9,207 D+12.7
Daviess 4,754 56.7% 3,381 40.3% 248 8,383 D+16.4
Graves 4,935 73.0% 1,615 23.9% 208 6,758 D+49.1
Christian 2,681 40.3% 3,870 58.2% 102 6,653 R+17.9
Warren 3,484 54.4% 2,737 42.8% 181 6,402 D+11.7
Hopkins 3,125 50.2% 2,826 45.4% 275 6,226 D+4.8
Henderson 3,448 57.4% 2,300 38.3% 259 6,007 D+19.1
Ohio 2,519 43.4% 3,063 52.8% 220 5,802 R+9.4
Madison 2,891 50.0% 2,774 47.9% 121 5,786 D+2.0
Pulaski 1,870 32.6% 3,713 64.8% 149 5,732 R+32.2
McCracken 2,832 51.8% 2,413 44.1% 221 5,466 D+7.7
Barren 3,051 58.5% 2,073 39.7% 92 5,216 D+18.8
Mason 2,792 54.6% 2,209 43.2% 113 5,114 D+11.4
Logan 2,696 52.8% 2,250 44.1% 157 5,103 D+8.7
Bourbon 2,586 53.7% 2,147 44.6% 86 4,819 D+9.1
Muhlenberg 1,954 42.9% 2,476 54.4% 125 4,555 R+11.5
Breckinridge 2,066 45.5% 2,353 51.8% 125 4,544 R+6.3
Hardin 2,714 59.8% 1,671 36.8% 152 4,537 D+23.0
Pike 1,935 43.0% 2,486 55.3% 74 4,495 R+12.3
Franklin 2,941 66.3% 1,449 32.6% 49 4,439 D+33.6
Shelby 2,657 60.8% 1,638 37.5% 73 4,368 D+23.3
Boyd 1,716 39.3% 2,544 58.3% 105 4,365 R+19.0
Harrison 2,688 62.5% 1,538 35.8% 73 4,299 D+26.8
Clark 2,442 58.5% 1,683 40.3% 49 4,174 D+18.2
Scott 2,374 57.1% 1,713 41.2% 74 4,161 D+15.9
Grayson 1,683 41.3% 2,179 53.5% 211 4,073 R+12.2
Whitley 658 16.6% 3,174 80.2% 124 3,956 R+63.6
Carter 1,442 36.6% 2,419 61.4% 76 3,937 R+24.8
Lawrence 1,752 45.9% 2,014 52.7% 53 3,819 R+6.9
Owen 2,932 76.8% 827 21.7% 59 3,818 D+55.1
Lewis 1,286 34.0% 2,374 62.7% 124 3,784 R+28.8
Webster 2,134 57.0% 1,453 38.8% 159 3,746 D+18.2
Union 2,533 67.8% 1,071 28.7% 132 3,736 D+39.1
Henry 2,137 58.3% 1,434 39.1% 94 3,665 D+19.2
Hart 1,658 46.4% 1,794 50.2% 122 3,574 R+3.8
Calloway 2,466 69.6% 824 23.3% 252 3,542 D+46.4
Lincoln 1,713 48.4% 1,648 46.6% 177 3,538 D+1.8
Fleming 1,712 48.9% 1,707 48.8% 80 3,499 D+0.1
Nelson 2,160 62.0% 1,263 36.2% 62 3,485 D+25.7
Todd 1,671 50.2% 1,589 47.7% 70 3,330 D+2.5
Butler 951 28.6% 2,298 69.1% 79 3,328 R+40.5
Mercer 1,703 51.8% 1,494 45.4% 93 3,290 D+6.4
Laurel 1,050 32.1% 2,152 65.8% 67 3,269 R+33.7
Greenup 1,112 34.4% 2,005 62.0% 116 3,233 R+27.6
Allen 1,379 43.0% 1,768 55.1% 60 3,207 R+12.1
Marion 1,857 60.1% 1,191 38.5% 42 3,090 D+21.6
Boyle 1,646 53.6% 1,366 44.5% 60 3,072 D+9.1
Adair 1,327 43.6% 1,652 54.2% 67 3,046 R+10.7
Crittenden 1,207 40.3% 1,690 56.4% 99 2,996 R+16.1
Knox 711 23.7% 2,240 74.8% 44 2,995 R+51.1
Washington 1,482 49.9% 1,448 48.8% 39 2,969 D+1.1
Morgan 1,807 61.1% 1,119 37.8% 33 2,959 D+23.3
Bath 1,503 51.2% 1,342 45.7% 93 2,938 D+5.5
Woodford 1,620 55.2% 1,280 43.6% 34 2,934 D+11.6
Nicholas 1,741 60.4% 1,067 37.0% 76 2,884 D+23.4
Bracken 1,596 55.9% 1,165 40.8% 94 2,855 D+15.1
Wayne 1,202 42.3% 1,577 55.5% 63 2,842 R+13.2
Johnson 886 31.2% 1,925 67.9% 26 2,837 R+36.6
Grant 1,651 58.3% 1,148 40.6% 32 2,831 D+17.8
Jessamine 1,466 52.1% 1,247 44.3% 100 2,813 D+7.8
Montgomery 1,488 53.0% 1,266 45.1% 53 2,807 D+7.9
Floyd 1,580 56.4% 1,201 42.9% 20 2,801 D+13.5
Pendleton 1,421 50.8% 1,246 44.5% 132 2,799 D+6.3
Casey 1,133 40.6% 1,595 57.1% 66 2,794 R+16.5
Caldwell 1,227 44.2% 1,413 50.9% 136 2,776 R+6.7
Marshall 1,587 57.5% 920 33.4% 251 2,758 D+24.2
McLean 1,336 50.3% 1,163 43.8% 158 2,657 D+6.5
Boone 2,013 76.6% 578 22.0% 38 2,629 D+54.6
Trigg 1,170 45.1% 1,285 49.5% 142 2,597 R+4.4
Garrard 1,176 45.3% 1,351 52.1% 68 2,595 R+6.7
Rockcastle 848 33.7% 1,624 64.5% 46 2,518 R+30.8
Anderson 1,429 57.6% 959 38.7% 93 2,481 D+18.9
Simpson 1,540 62.3% 863 34.9% 69 2,472 D+27.4
Monroe 779 31.8% 1,644 67.1% 27 2,450 R+35.3
Hickman 1,680 68.6% 702 28.7% 66 2,448 D+40.0
Magoffin 1,000 41.3% 1,404 58.0% 17 2,421 R+16.7
Breathitt 1,537 64.3% 829 34.7% 26 2,392 D+29.6
Bell 538 23.0% 1,764 75.4% 38 2,340 R+52.4
Taylor 1,147 49.3% 1,092 46.9% 88 2,327 D+2.4
Green 1,071 46.3% 1,201 51.9% 40 2,312 R+5.6
Clay 532 23.7% 1,685 75.1% 26 2,243 R+51.4
Larue 1,321 59.5% 863 38.9% 36 2,220 D+20.6
Ballard 1,598 72.5% 556 25.2% 51 2,205 D+47.3
Livingston 1,259 57.3% 838 38.1% 100 2,197 D+19.2
Estill 850 38.8% 1,280 58.5% 58 2,188 R+19.7
Fulton 1,560 71.7% 561 25.8% 54 2,175 D+45.9
Metcalfe 1,011 46.9% 1,115 51.7% 31 2,157 R+4.8
Carroll 1,548 72.0% 546 25.4% 56 2,150 D+46.6
Meade 1,245 58.3% 834 39.0% 57 2,136 D+19.2
Carlisle 1,428 70.3% 468 23.0% 135 2,031 D+47.3
Edmonson 760 38.7% 1,172 59.7% 30 1,962 R+21.0
Hancock 846 44.0% 997 51.8% 80 1,923 R+7.9
Bullitt 1,284 66.9% 593 30.9% 41 1,918 D+36.0
Jackson 216 11.8% 1,606 87.4% 16 1,838 R+75.6
Russell 671 36.8% 1,079 59.3% 71 1,821 R+22.4
Wolfe 1,114 62.0% 676 37.6% 6 1,796 D+24.4
Elliott 1,143 65.5% 594 34.0% 9 1,746 D+31.4
Harlan 286 16.5% 1,446 83.2% 6 1,738 R+66.7
Trimble 1,275 76.2% 360 21.5% 38 1,673 D+54.7
Lyon 838 50.6% 678 40.9% 141 1,657 D+9.7
Cumberland 561 35.0% 1,001 62.4% 42 1,604 R+27.4
Knott 1,092 68.7% 483 30.4% 14 1,589 D+38.3
Spencer 1,024 64.7% 529 33.4% 29 1,582 D+31.3
Rowan 661 43.1% 844 55.1% 27 1,532 R+11.9
Lee 527 37.0% 879 61.7% 19 1,425 R+24.7
Perry 431 30.4% 979 68.9% 10 1,420 R+38.6
Powell 738 52.2% 647 45.8% 28 1,413 D+6.4
Oldham 882 63.5% 452 32.5% 56 1,390 D+30.9
Letcher 405 29.7% 960 70.3% 1,365 R+40.7
Owsley 224 16.8% 1,100 82.6% 7 1,331 R+65.8
Clinton 305 23.6% 948 73.3% 40 1,293 R+49.7
Gallatin 941 72.9% 334 25.9% 16 1,291 D+47.0
Menifee 719 61.0% 450 38.2% 9 1,178 D+22.8
Robertson 709 62.5% 409 36.0% 17 1,135 D+26.4
Martin 188 17.0% 900 81.6% 15 1,103 R+64.6
Leslie 71 6.9% 953 92.0% 12 1,036 R+85.1

Counties as they stood in 1904; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4