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Election 1940 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1940 presidential election in Kentucky

Franklin D. Roosevelt (Democrat) beat Wendell Willkie (Republican) in Kentucky in 1940, 57.4% to 42.3%, a margin of 15.1 points and 146,838 votes.

Kentucky voted 5.2 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+10.0.

The Democratic hold continued from 1936, when Franklin D. Roosevelt also won.

Democrats led in 85 of the 120 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 35. The largest, Jefferson, cast 161,221 votes and went to the Democrat by 17.8 points. The closest was Taylor, where 2 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Franklin D. Roosevelt won Democratic 557,222 57.4%
Wendell Willkie Republican 410,384 42.3%
All other candidates 2,457 0.3%
Total970,063

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 94,710 58.7% 66,052 41.0% 459 161,221 D+17.8
Kenton 19,261 59.3% 13,147 40.5% 75 32,483 D+18.8
Campbell 14,801 49.6% 14,916 50.0% 105 29,822 R+0.4
Fayette 15,834 55.7% 12,514 44.0% 85 28,433 D+11.7
Pike 12,160 57.5% 8,985 42.5% 17 21,162 D+15.0
Boyd 9,868 57.2% 7,322 42.4% 76 17,266 D+14.7
Harlan 10,582 64.2% 5,859 35.5% 42 16,483 D+28.7
McCracken 11,562 76.2% 3,554 23.4% 52 15,168 D+52.8
Daviess 9,344 62.2% 5,633 37.5% 49 15,026 D+24.7
Pulaski 4,896 36.3% 8,533 63.3% 43 13,472 R+27.0
Floyd 9,100 71.0% 3,711 29.0% 12,811 D+42.1
Hopkins 8,695 69.0% 3,884 30.8% 30 12,609 D+38.2
Madison 6,484 52.5% 5,789 46.9% 69 12,342 D+5.6
Christian 6,599 54.2% 5,566 45.7% 16 12,181 D+8.5
Graves 9,786 82.0% 2,122 17.8% 27 11,935 D+64.2
Warren 7,569 64.1% 4,195 35.6% 36 11,800 D+28.6
Perry 6,852 59.3% 4,693 40.6% 18 11,563 D+18.7
Bell 5,910 54.2% 4,962 45.5% 33 10,905 D+8.7
Whitley 4,078 38.5% 6,502 61.3% 19 10,599 R+22.9
Letcher 6,127 57.9% 4,433 41.9% 19 10,579 D+16.0
Muhlenberg 5,140 48.9% 5,332 50.8% 29 10,501 R+1.8
Henderson 6,727 73.0% 2,455 26.6% 32 9,214 D+46.4
Logan 6,631 74.4% 2,268 25.5% 9 8,908 D+49.0
Franklin 6,956 78.2% 1,927 21.7% 15 8,898 D+56.5
Greenup 4,742 53.7% 4,059 46.0% 24 8,825 D+7.7
Knox 3,319 39.8% 5,003 60.1% 8 8,330 R+20.2
Ohio 3,729 45.5% 4,451 54.3% 24 8,204 R+8.8
Barren 4,888 60.1% 3,233 39.8% 12 8,133 D+20.3
Mason 4,386 54.0% 3,704 45.6% 28 8,118 D+8.4
Johnson 3,042 37.6% 5,042 62.3% 11 8,095 R+24.7
Laurel 2,860 35.5% 5,180 64.3% 20 8,060 R+28.8
Carter 3,403 42.8% 4,520 56.9% 25 7,948 R+14.1
Hardin 4,718 66.5% 2,351 33.2% 22 7,091 D+33.4
Bourbon 4,254 61.4% 2,673 38.6% 4 6,931 D+22.8
Lincoln 3,657 53.9% 3,090 45.6% 36 6,783 D+8.4
Shelby 4,823 72.0% 1,861 27.8% 18 6,702 D+44.2
Calloway 5,793 86.5% 896 13.4% 9 6,698 D+73.1
Breckinridge 3,296 50.0% 3,258 49.4% 37 6,591 D+0.6
Adair 2,711 42.4% 3,674 57.4% 13 6,398 R+15.1
Boyle 4,081 64.3% 2,257 35.5% 12 6,350 D+28.7
Webster 4,197 66.4% 2,107 33.3% 17 6,321 D+33.1
Nelson 4,193 66.4% 2,109 33.4% 12 6,314 D+33.0
Lawrence 3,178 50.8% 3,055 48.9% 19 6,252 D+2.0
Hart 3,280 53.3% 2,866 46.5% 11 6,157 D+6.7
Clark 3,970 64.8% 2,136 34.9% 19 6,125 D+29.9
Clay 1,632 27.1% 4,395 72.9% 6,027 R+45.8
Harrison 4,228 71.0% 1,707 28.7% 19 5,954 D+42.3
Fleming 2,999 51.1% 2,855 48.7% 14 5,868 D+2.5
Grayson 2,678 45.7% 3,156 53.8% 28 5,862 R+8.2
Scott 4,039 69.0% 1,795 30.7% 16 5,850 D+38.4
Casey 1,862 32.4% 3,874 67.3% 17 5,753 R+35.0
Wayne 2,519 44.2% 3,177 55.7% 6 5,702 R+11.5
Morgan 4,148 73.3% 1,509 26.7% 5,657 D+46.7
Taylor 2,790 49.8% 2,792 49.8% 24 5,606 level
Breathitt 3,977 71.1% 1,602 28.7% 11 5,590 D+42.5
Estill 2,587 47.2% 2,889 52.7% 10 5,486 R+5.5
Magoffin 2,812 51.3% 2,668 48.7% 1 5,481 D+2.6
Union 4,355 79.6% 1,111 20.3% 8 5,474 D+59.3
Mercer 3,606 65.9% 1,845 33.7% 19 5,470 D+32.2
Henry 3,862 72.4% 1,445 27.1% 25 5,332 D+45.3
Allen 2,036 38.5% 3,232 61.1% 23 5,291 R+22.6
Marion 3,482 66.1% 1,763 33.5% 19 5,264 D+32.7
Lewis 1,878 35.8% 3,371 64.2% 5,249 R+28.4
Rockcastle 1,652 31.8% 3,536 68.1% 6 5,194 R+36.3
Knott 4,434 85.4% 759 14.6% 5,193 D+70.8
Caldwell 2,858 55.7% 2,246 43.8% 26 5,130 D+11.9
Washington 2,612 52.5% 2,362 47.5% 2 4,976 D+5.0
Todd 3,337 69.6% 1,436 30.0% 21 4,794 D+39.7
Monroe 1,390 29.4% 3,321 70.3% 11 4,722 R+40.9
Jessamine 2,815 60.0% 1,837 39.1% 41 4,693 D+20.8
Marshall 3,549 76.1% 1,100 23.6% 14 4,663 D+52.5
Butler 1,455 31.5% 3,163 68.4% 7 4,625 R+36.9
Green 1,993 44.2% 2,497 55.4% 19 4,509 R+11.2
Crittenden 1,834 41.0% 2,624 58.6% 17 4,475 R+17.7
Montgomery 2,755 62.1% 1,671 37.6% 13 4,439 D+24.4
McCreary 1,248 28.2% 3,172 71.6% 9 4,429 R+43.4
McLean 2,709 61.3% 1,698 38.4% 11 4,418 D+22.9
Fulton 3,592 81.8% 791 18.0% 9 4,392 D+63.8
Trigg 2,883 65.7% 1,494 34.0% 11 4,388 D+31.7
Russell 1,250 28.8% 3,069 70.8% 15 4,334 R+42.0
Garrard 2,162 50.1% 2,148 49.7% 8 4,318 D+0.3
Grant 2,729 63.9% 1,535 35.9% 7 4,271 D+28.0
Rowan 2,294 54.1% 1,944 45.8% 4 4,242 D+8.3
Owen 3,655 86.4% 569 13.4% 7 4,231 D+72.9
Jackson 465 11.1% 3,722 88.6% 13 4,200 R+77.5
Pendleton 2,165 51.6% 2,029 48.3% 4 4,198 D+3.2
Bath 2,528 60.5% 1,636 39.2% 12 4,176 D+21.4
Woodford 2,630 63.4% 1,514 36.5% 7 4,151 D+26.9
Metcalfe 1,826 45.1% 2,206 54.5% 14 4,046 R+9.4
Ballard 3,212 80.9% 758 19.1% 1 3,971 D+61.8
Simpson 2,950 74.8% 987 25.0% 8 3,945 D+49.8
Edmonson 1,322 33.7% 2,589 66.0% 13 3,924 R+32.3
Leslie 626 16.0% 3,292 84.0% 3 3,921 R+68.0
Boone 2,518 64.8% 1,357 34.9% 13 3,888 D+29.9
Larue 2,463 65.1% 1,309 34.6% 10 3,782 D+30.5
Anderson 2,515 66.7% 1,244 33.0% 11 3,770 D+33.7
Carroll 2,915 78.1% 804 21.5% 13 3,732 D+56.6
Bracken 1,961 55.7% 1,551 44.0% 9 3,521 D+11.6
Lee 1,622 46.4% 1,866 53.4% 9 3,497 R+7.0
Cumberland 872 25.6% 2,533 74.3% 5 3,410 R+48.7
Nicholas 2,124 63.5% 1,207 36.1% 14 3,345 D+27.4
Clinton 755 22.7% 2,573 77.3% 3,328 R+54.6
Owsley 591 18.1% 2,672 81.8% 3 3,266 R+63.7
Hickman 2,758 84.7% 490 15.0% 8 3,256 D+69.7
Wolfe 2,205 68.1% 1,032 31.9% 3,237 D+36.2
Livingston 2,013 62.6% 1,184 36.8% 17 3,214 D+25.8
Bullitt 2,388 74.4% 813 25.3% 8 3,209 D+49.1
Meade 2,114 67.7% 995 31.9% 14 3,123 D+35.8
Martin 826 26.6% 2,275 73.3% 1 3,102 R+46.7
Lyon 1,979 67.8% 921 31.6% 18 2,918 D+36.3
Carlisle 2,366 82.2% 500 17.4% 12 2,878 D+64.8
Oldham 1,983 69.8% 848 29.8% 10 2,841 D+40.0
Hancock 1,338 48.4% 1,424 51.5% 2 2,764 R+3.1
Elliott 2,013 76.0% 634 24.0% 2,647 D+52.1
Spencer 1,728 75.1% 567 24.7% 5 2,300 D+50.5
Powell 1,266 55.8% 989 43.6% 15 2,270 D+12.2
Trimble 1,909 88.5% 242 11.2% 5 2,156 D+77.3
Gallatin 1,473 74.7% 495 25.1% 4 1,972 D+49.6
Menifee 1,176 69.5% 511 30.2% 5 1,692 D+39.3
Robertson 829 58.6% 578 40.9% 7 1,414 D+17.8

Counties as they stood in 1940; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4