United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 1940 president · Michigan
Election 1940 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1940 presidential election in Michigan

Wendell Willkie (Republican) beat Franklin D. Roosevelt (Democrat) in Michigan in 1940, 49.9% to 49.5%, a margin of 0.3 points and 6,926 votes.

Michigan voted 10.3 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+10.0.

Michigan changed party: in 1936 it went Democratic, for Franklin D. Roosevelt.

Republicans led in 68 of the 83 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 15. The largest, Wayne, cast 732,569 votes and went to the Democrat by 23.9 points. The closest was Iron, where 42 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Wendell Willkie won Republican 1,039,917 49.9%
Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic 1,032,991 49.5%
All other candidates 13,021 0.6%
Total2,085,929

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wayne 451,003 61.6% 275,974 37.7% 5,592 732,569 D+23.9
Kent 48,196 47.2% 53,131 52.1% 749 102,076 R+4.8
Oakland 47,022 48.7% 49,002 50.7% 599 96,623 R+2.0
Genesee 50,300 56.3% 38,495 43.1% 488 89,283 D+13.2
Ingham 24,375 42.5% 32,565 56.8% 442 57,382 R+14.3
Saginaw 22,490 45.2% 27,042 54.4% 221 49,753 R+9.1
Kalamazoo 17,733 40.7% 25,596 58.7% 293 43,622 R+18.0
Calhoun 18,682 46.0% 21,633 53.3% 295 40,610 R+7.3
Berrien 16,961 42.5% 22,778 57.0% 208 39,947 R+14.6
Jackson 15,170 38.0% 24,558 61.5% 213 39,941 R+23.5
Macomb 21,003 53.8% 17,848 45.7% 203 39,054 D+8.1
Muskegon 19,257 55.9% 14,957 43.4% 210 34,424 D+12.5
Washtenaw 11,802 35.0% 21,664 64.2% 253 33,719 R+29.2
St. Clair 12,259 39.6% 18,635 60.2% 82 30,976 R+20.6
Bay 14,902 50.4% 14,618 49.4% 67 29,587 D+1.0
Ottawa 9,152 36.9% 15,462 62.4% 170 24,784 R+25.5
Lenawee 7,132 29.5% 16,963 70.2% 71 24,166 R+40.7
Monroe 10,368 43.3% 13,517 56.5% 60 23,945 R+13.2
Marquette 12,854 58.5% 9,034 41.1% 94 21,982 D+17.4
Houghton 10,815 49.3% 11,030 50.3% 81 21,926 R+1.0
Allegan 5,385 30.3% 12,347 69.4% 60 17,792 R+39.1
Van Buren 5,625 32.5% 11,571 66.9% 101 17,297 R+34.4
Shiawassee 5,727 36.2% 9,995 63.2% 82 15,804 R+27.0
Gogebic 9,104 57.9% 6,431 40.9% 199 15,734 D+17.0
Eaton 5,645 36.2% 9,864 63.3% 85 15,594 R+27.1
St. Joseph 5,045 33.4% 10,025 66.3% 45 15,115 R+32.9
Delta 8,802 58.3% 6,218 41.2% 81 15,101 D+17.1
Ionia 5,399 36.2% 9,439 63.3% 78 14,916 R+27.1
Dickinson 7,582 54.7% 6,188 44.6% 89 13,859 D+10.1
Tuscola 3,257 24.2% 10,146 75.4% 45 13,448 R+51.2
Huron 2,654 20.0% 10,570 79.7% 34 13,258 R+59.7
Hillsdale 3,538 27.2% 9,398 72.3% 71 13,007 R+45.1
Gratiot 3,825 30.5% 8,661 69.0% 65 12,551 R+38.5
Sanilac 2,195 17.5% 10,289 82.1% 43 12,527 R+64.6
Montcalm 4,119 34.7% 7,633 64.4% 103 11,855 R+29.6
Branch 4,318 36.7% 7,400 62.9% 46 11,764 R+26.2
Chippewa 5,473 48.2% 5,851 51.5% 29 11,353 R+3.3
Cass 4,340 38.5% 6,868 61.0% 60 11,268 R+22.4
Menominee 5,727 51.1% 5,409 48.3% 72 11,208 D+2.8
Clinton 2,745 24.8% 8,311 75.0% 25 11,081 R+50.2
Lapeer 3,299 29.9% 7,714 69.8% 31 11,044 R+40.0
Livingston 3,254 31.4% 7,068 68.3% 34 10,356 R+36.8
Midland 3,834 37.7% 6,269 61.7% 54 10,157 R+24.0
Barry 3,091 30.8% 6,872 68.5% 62 10,025 R+37.7
Isabella 2,828 28.6% 7,019 71.0% 44 9,891 R+42.4
Iron 4,808 49.8% 4,766 49.3% 87 9,661 D+0.4
Manistee 4,242 47.7% 4,630 52.1% 20 8,892 R+4.4
Mason 3,836 43.8% 4,874 55.6% 53 8,763 R+11.8
Grand Traverse 3,095 35.4% 5,620 64.3% 30 8,745 R+28.9
Alpena 3,597 42.7% 4,822 57.2% 13 8,432 R+14.5
Newaygo 2,693 33.1% 5,418 66.5% 34 8,145 R+33.5
Wexford 2,947 40.2% 4,322 59.0% 57 7,326 R+18.8
Emmet 2,831 40.0% 4,216 59.6% 24 7,071 R+19.6
Mecosta 2,153 31.1% 4,759 68.7% 20 6,932 R+37.6
Cheboygan 2,856 43.8% 3,646 55.9% 21 6,523 R+12.1
Oceana 2,379 38.8% 3,711 60.6% 37 6,127 R+21.7
Ontonagon 3,103 50.7% 2,880 47.1% 133 6,116 D+3.6
Osceola 1,555 26.9% 4,217 72.8% 17 5,789 R+46.0
Charlevoix 2,163 37.7% 3,522 61.4% 51 5,736 R+23.7
Presque Isle 2,595 50.3% 2,552 49.5% 13 5,160 D+0.8
Baraga 2,152 45.8% 2,512 53.5% 33 4,697 R+7.7
Mackinac 2,075 44.3% 2,591 55.4% 13 4,679 R+11.0
Alger 2,984 63.8% 1,629 34.8% 62 4,675 D+29.0
Antrim 1,497 32.9% 3,027 66.5% 29 4,553 R+33.6
Schoolcraft 2,320 53.5% 2,003 46.2% 11 4,334 D+7.3
Clare 1,277 29.7% 3,004 69.9% 19 4,300 R+40.2
Gladwin 1,294 32.0% 2,741 67.8% 9 4,044 R+35.8
Iosco 1,303 34.1% 2,504 65.5% 18 3,825 R+31.4
Arenac 1,499 39.4% 2,293 60.2% 15 3,807 R+20.9
Benzie 1,429 38.0% 2,320 61.6% 16 3,765 R+23.7
Ogemaw 1,278 34.2% 2,447 65.4% 14 3,739 R+31.3
Leelanau 1,223 33.6% 2,405 66.1% 11 3,639 R+32.5
Missaukee 1,037 32.2% 2,154 66.8% 32 3,223 R+34.7
Luce 1,069 40.8% 1,542 58.9% 6 2,617 R+18.1
Alcona 847 33.9% 1,648 65.9% 6 2,501 R+32.0
Lake 1,070 42.9% 1,413 56.6% 12 2,495 R+13.7
Otsego 1,119 45.1% 1,353 54.6% 8 2,480 R+9.4
Roscommon 739 34.9% 1,360 64.2% 19 2,118 R+29.3
Keweenaw 967 46.9% 1,080 52.4% 13 2,060 R+5.5
Montmorency 768 39.1% 1,189 60.5% 9 1,966 R+21.4
Kalkaska 718 38.1% 1,155 61.3% 12 1,885 R+23.2
Crawford 777 46.8% 873 52.5% 12 1,662 R+5.8
Oscoda 409 38.1% 661 61.6% 3 1,073 R+23.5

Counties as they stood in 1940; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Michigan in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.4
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+2.8
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+16.5
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+5.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+7.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+19.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.5
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+5.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+14.4
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+6.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.0
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+0.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+41.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+62.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+50.5
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+8.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+29.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+43.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+19.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+10.3
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.9
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+0.8
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+15.2
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+8.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+27.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.0