United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Michigan

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Michigan in 2024, 49.7% to 48.3%, a margin of 1.4 points and 80,103 votes.

Michigan voted 0.1 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

Michigan changed party: in 2020 it went Democratic, for Joe Biden.

Republicans led in 74 of the 83 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Wayne, cast 856,690 votes and went to the Democrat by 29.0 points. The closest was Keweenaw, where 206 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 2,816,636 49.7%
Kamala Harris Democratic 2,736,533 48.3%
All other candidates 111,017 2.0%
Total5,664,186

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wayne 537,032 62.7% 288,860 33.7% 30,798 856,690 D+29.0
Oakland 419,519 54.3% 337,791 43.7% 14,835 772,145 D+10.6
Macomb 214,977 42.2% 284,660 55.9% 9,515 509,152 R+13.7
Kent 192,668 51.8% 172,720 46.4% 6,559 371,947 D+5.4
Genesee 114,670 51.4% 105,303 47.2% 3,295 223,268 D+4.2
Washtenaw 157,152 70.9% 58,844 26.6% 5,546 221,542 D+44.4
Ottawa 69,653 39.0% 106,133 59.5% 2,721 178,507 R+20.4
Ingham 94,542 63.8% 50,564 34.1% 2,995 148,101 D+29.7
Kalamazoo 84,501 58.0% 58,671 40.3% 2,538 145,710 D+17.7
Livingston 49,503 37.4% 81,217 61.3% 1,728 132,448 R+23.9
Saginaw 49,515 47.7% 52,912 51.0% 1,419 103,846 R+3.3
St. Clair 30,844 32.0% 64,277 66.6% 1,403 96,524 R+34.6
Muskegon 46,028 48.4% 47,733 50.1% 1,420 95,181 R+1.8
Monroe 32,622 35.7% 57,405 62.8% 1,329 91,356 R+27.1
Berrien 38,323 45.4% 44,975 53.2% 1,190 84,488 R+7.9
Jackson 32,348 38.6% 50,199 59.9% 1,280 83,827 R+21.3
Allegan 25,627 35.6% 45,202 62.9% 1,070 71,899 R+27.2
Calhoun 28,988 42.3% 38,606 56.4% 911 68,505 R+14.0
Eaton 31,056 47.6% 33,102 50.8% 1,050 65,208 R+3.1
Grand Traverse 30,339 48.3% 31,423 50.1% 1,010 62,772 R+1.7
Bay 25,767 42.0% 34,792 56.7% 779 61,338 R+14.7
Lapeer 16,338 29.5% 38,398 69.3% 703 55,439 R+39.8
Lenawee 20,787 37.8% 33,463 60.8% 766 55,016 R+23.0
Midland 20,926 41.6% 28,571 56.8% 804 50,301 R+15.2
Clinton 22,450 44.9% 26,751 53.5% 785 49,986 R+8.6
Van Buren 17,185 41.7% 23,411 56.8% 587 41,183 R+15.1
Shiawassee 15,335 37.7% 24,718 60.8% 632 40,685 R+23.1
Marquette 20,866 53.5% 17,459 44.8% 684 39,009 D+8.7
Barry 12,391 32.1% 25,650 66.4% 584 38,625 R+34.3
Montcalm 10,368 29.8% 23,946 68.7% 531 34,845 R+39.0
Ionia 11,338 33.3% 22,179 65.2% 504 34,021 R+31.9
Isabella 14,011 45.4% 16,320 52.9% 504 30,835 R+7.5
Tuscola 8,562 27.9% 21,764 70.9% 391 30,717 R+43.0
St. Joseph 9,452 32.3% 19,403 66.2% 452 29,307 R+34.0
Newaygo 8,131 27.8% 20,630 70.6% 440 29,201 R+42.8
Cass 9,050 32.5% 18,505 66.4% 316 27,871 R+33.9
Hillsdale 5,875 23.7% 18,631 75.0% 322 24,828 R+51.4
Sanilac 5,957 25.5% 17,080 73.2% 302 23,339 R+47.7
Emmet 10,005 43.8% 12,465 54.5% 381 22,851 R+10.8
Mecosta 7,688 34.2% 14,445 64.2% 356 22,489 R+30.0
Delta 7,462 34.1% 14,109 64.5% 303 21,874 R+30.4
Branch 5,911 28.0% 14,848 70.4% 330 21,089 R+42.4
Gratiot 6,682 33.7% 12,894 65.0% 272 19,848 R+31.3
Wexford 6,224 32.0% 12,968 66.6% 284 19,476 R+34.6
Houghton 7,881 40.7% 11,181 57.7% 312 19,374 R+17.0
Huron 5,522 29.1% 13,224 69.7% 223 18,969 R+40.6
Chippewa 6,796 37.0% 11,249 61.3% 320 18,365 R+24.2
Mason 6,973 38.6% 10,830 60.0% 261 18,064 R+21.4
Leelanau 9,406 53.2% 8,035 45.4% 244 17,685 D+7.8
Charlevoix 7,197 40.8% 10,183 57.7% 281 17,661 R+16.9
Clare 5,273 30.5% 11,772 68.1% 243 17,288 R+37.6
Alpena 6,038 35.1% 10,967 63.7% 208 17,213 R+28.6
Antrim 6,330 37.5% 10,341 61.3% 212 16,883 R+23.8
Cheboygan 5,543 33.8% 10,653 64.9% 227 16,423 R+31.1
Roscommon 5,290 32.9% 10,582 65.9% 196 16,068 R+32.9
Otsego 5,052 31.6% 10,693 67.0% 226 15,971 R+35.3
Iosco 5,344 34.0% 10,155 64.6% 232 15,731 R+30.6
Gladwin 4,501 29.1% 10,809 69.8% 178 15,488 R+40.7
Dickinson 4,763 31.1% 10,324 67.4% 225 15,312 R+36.3
Manistee 6,309 41.2% 8,748 57.2% 240 15,297 R+15.9
Oceana 5,085 34.2% 9,547 64.2% 238 14,870 R+30.0
Osceola 3,326 25.2% 9,639 73.1% 219 13,184 R+47.9
Menominee 4,256 32.6% 8,647 66.2% 157 13,060 R+33.6
Benzie 5,780 45.0% 6,895 53.7% 171 12,846 R+8.7
Ogemaw 3,578 28.3% 8,879 70.3% 165 12,622 R+42.0
Kalkaska 3,206 27.8% 8,149 70.7% 174 11,529 R+42.9
Arenac 2,662 29.1% 6,379 69.7% 117 9,158 R+40.6
Missaukee 1,945 21.3% 7,066 77.2% 141 9,152 R+56.0
Presque Isle 3,036 34.7% 5,568 63.7% 138 8,742 R+29.0
Crawford 2,752 32.5% 5,613 66.2% 111 8,476 R+33.8
Gogebic 3,385 40.8% 4,803 57.9% 107 8,295 R+17.1
Alcona 2,140 28.6% 5,257 70.3% 86 7,483 R+41.7
Mackinac 2,675 37.0% 4,476 61.8% 87 7,238 R+24.9
Iron 2,441 34.7% 4,501 64.1% 85 7,027 R+29.3
Lake 2,298 33.2% 4,523 65.4% 94 6,915 R+32.2
Montmorency 1,702 26.6% 4,599 72.0% 90 6,391 R+45.3
Alger 2,075 39.5% 3,116 59.3% 67 5,258 R+19.8
Oscoda 1,414 27.2% 3,716 71.6% 62 5,192 R+44.3
Schoolcraft 1,631 33.3% 3,196 65.3% 71 4,898 R+32.0
Baraga 1,488 34.3% 2,779 64.2% 65 4,332 R+29.8
Ontonagon 1,313 34.2% 2,479 64.5% 49 3,841 R+30.4
Luce 769 25.8% 2,170 72.7% 46 2,985 R+46.9
Keweenaw 690 42.8% 896 55.6% 25 1,611 R+12.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Michigan in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.4
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+2.8
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+16.5
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+5.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+7.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+19.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.5
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+5.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+14.4
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+6.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.0
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+0.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+41.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+62.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+50.5
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+8.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+29.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+43.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+19.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+10.3
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.9
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+0.8
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+15.2
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+8.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+27.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.0