United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2024 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2024 presidential election in Wisconsin

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Kamala Harris (Democrat) in Wisconsin in 2024, 49.6% to 48.7%, a margin of 0.9 points and 29,397 votes.

Wisconsin voted 0.6 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+1.5.

Wisconsin changed party: in 2020 it went Democratic, for Joe Biden.

Republicans led in 59 of the 72 counties and Democrats in 13. The largest, Milwaukee, cast 464,107 votes and went to the Democrat by 38.4 points. The closest was Green, where 60 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,697,626 49.6%
Kamala Harris Democratic 1,668,229 48.7%
All other candidates 57,063 1.7%
Total3,422,918

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Milwaukee 316,292 68.2% 138,022 29.7% 9,793 464,107 D+38.4
Dane 273,995 74.9% 85,454 23.4% 6,480 365,929 D+51.5
Waukesha 108,478 39.3% 162,768 59.0% 4,541 275,787 R+19.7
Brown 67,937 45.5% 79,132 53.0% 2,264 149,333 R+7.5
Outagamie 49,438 44.2% 60,827 54.3% 1,667 111,932 R+10.2
Racine 49,721 46.2% 56,347 52.3% 1,618 107,686 R+6.2
Winnebago 44,660 46.8% 49,179 51.6% 1,532 95,371 R+4.7
Washington 28,504 31.2% 61,604 67.4% 1,299 91,407 R+36.2
Kenosha 41,826 46.1% 47,478 52.4% 1,376 90,680 R+6.2
Rock 46,642 52.8% 40,218 45.5% 1,450 88,310 D+7.3
Marathon 31,529 40.0% 46,213 58.6% 1,084 78,826 R+18.6
La Crosse 39,008 54.0% 32,247 44.6% 1,006 72,261 D+9.4
Sheboygan 27,735 41.1% 38,763 57.4% 1,064 67,562 R+16.3
Ozaukee 27,874 43.9% 34,504 54.4% 1,094 63,472 R+10.4
Eau Claire 34,400 54.5% 27,728 43.9% 1,049 63,177 D+10.6
St. Croix 23,870 39.4% 35,537 58.6% 1,235 60,642 R+19.2
Walworth 23,161 38.2% 36,603 60.4% 833 60,597 R+22.2
Fond du Lac 20,495 35.0% 37,272 63.7% 760 58,527 R+28.7
Dodge 16,518 32.8% 33,067 65.7% 715 50,300 R+32.9
Jefferson 20,574 41.0% 28,771 57.4% 801 50,146 R+16.3
Manitowoc 17,399 37.6% 28,200 60.9% 717 46,316 R+23.3
Portage 21,503 49.7% 20,987 48.5% 768 43,258 D+1.2
Wood 16,599 39.3% 24,997 59.2% 620 42,216 R+19.9
Chippewa 14,573 37.9% 23,399 60.8% 499 38,471 R+22.9
Sauk 18,172 48.4% 18,798 50.0% 614 37,584 R+1.7
Columbia 16,388 46.9% 17,988 51.5% 538 34,914 R+4.6
Calumet 12,927 39.3% 19,488 59.2% 501 32,916 R+19.9
Waupaca 9,947 32.7% 20,093 66.1% 363 30,403 R+33.4
Polk 9,567 33.9% 18,296 64.8% 359 28,222 R+30.9
Grant 10,966 40.2% 15,922 58.3% 418 27,306 R+18.1
Barron 8,941 33.4% 16,726 62.4% 1,142 26,809 R+29.0
Dunn 10,643 41.4% 14,726 57.3% 309 25,678 R+15.9
Pierce 10,171 40.1% 14,417 56.8% 804 25,392 R+16.7
Douglas 13,073 51.8% 11,732 46.5% 429 25,234 D+5.3
Oconto 6,967 28.0% 17,675 70.9% 270 24,912 R+43.0
Oneida 10,080 40.5% 14,455 58.1% 360 24,895 R+17.6
Marinette 7,415 30.4% 16,670 68.3% 330 24,415 R+37.9
Shawano 7,336 31.2% 15,850 67.4% 314 23,500 R+36.2
Monroe 8,476 36.3% 14,563 62.3% 330 23,369 R+26.0
Green 10,903 49.4% 10,843 49.1% 330 22,076 D+0.3
Door 10,565 50.4% 10,099 48.2% 280 20,944 D+2.2
Lincoln 6,306 36.6% 10,633 61.8% 270 17,209 R+25.1
Vernon 7,514 45.2% 8,807 53.0% 288 16,609 R+7.8
Vilas 6,119 37.9% 9,837 61.0% 179 16,135 R+23.0
Trempealeau 6,219 38.7% 9,661 60.1% 199 16,079 R+21.4
Clark 4,509 29.4% 10,481 68.3% 350 15,340 R+38.9
Iowa 7,750 52.8% 6,631 45.2% 296 14,677 D+7.6
Juneau 4,854 33.4% 9,525 65.5% 174 14,553 R+32.1
Waushara 4,571 31.8% 9,625 67.0% 167 14,363 R+35.2
Adams 4,443 34.5% 7,763 60.3% 676 12,882 R+25.8
Kewaunee 4,059 32.5% 8,267 66.2% 158 12,484 R+33.7
Langlade 3,746 32.1% 7,782 66.7% 136 11,664 R+34.6
Bayfield 6,107 54.3% 4,860 43.2% 273 11,240 D+11.1
Taylor 2,823 25.2% 8,209 73.4% 154 11,186 R+48.1
Sawyer 4,599 41.3% 6,422 57.6% 119 11,140 R+16.4
Green Lake 3,449 31.2% 7,458 67.5% 145 11,052 R+36.3
Washburn 3,867 35.2% 6,962 63.4% 149 10,978 R+28.2
Burnett 3,665 33.9% 7,008 64.8% 137 10,810 R+30.9
Jackson 4,157 39.6% 6,204 59.1% 141 10,502 R+19.5
Marquette 3,252 34.5% 6,041 64.1% 134 9,427 R+29.6
Richland 3,985 42.7% 5,207 55.9% 131 9,323 R+13.1
Crawford 3,860 42.4% 5,113 56.2% 132 9,105 R+13.8
Ashland 4,612 51.5% 4,191 46.8% 152 8,955 D+4.7
Price 3,005 33.9% 5,763 65.1% 88 8,856 R+31.1
Lafayette 3,469 39.3% 5,256 59.5% 107 8,832 R+20.2
Rusk 2,516 30.4% 5,660 68.4% 94 8,270 R+38.0
Buffalo 2,765 34.1% 5,213 64.4% 122 8,100 R+30.2
Forest 1,681 33.0% 3,382 66.4% 34 5,097 R+33.4
Pepin 1,523 35.0% 2,798 64.3% 33 4,354 R+29.3
Iron 1,487 36.4% 2,557 62.6% 40 4,084 R+26.2
Florence 783 24.8% 2,356 74.6% 19 3,158 R+49.8
Menominee 1,266 80.5% 296 18.8% 10 1,572 D+61.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Wisconsin in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+0.9
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+0.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.8
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+6.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+13.9
2004 John Kerry (D) D+0.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.4
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+3.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+9.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+4.7
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+1.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+23.7
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+4.4
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.5
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+32.3
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+9.2
1924 Robert M. La Follette (other)
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+54.9
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+6.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+8.4
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+17.8
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+35.2
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.1
1896 William McKinley (R) R+22.9
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.7
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+4.6
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+11.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+9.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+12.5