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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Wisconsin

John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in Wisconsin in 2004, 49.7% to 49.3%, a margin of 0.4 points and 11,384 votes.

Wisconsin voted 2.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.

Republicans led in 45 of the 72 counties and Democrats in 27. The largest, Milwaukee, cast 482,236 votes and went to the Democrat by 24.3 points. The closest was Price, where 37 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John Kerry won Democratic 1,489,504 49.7%
George W. Bush Republican 1,478,120 49.3%
All other candidates 29,383 1.0%
Total2,997,007

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Milwaukee 297,653 61.7% 180,287 37.4% 4,296 482,236 D+24.3
Dane 181,052 66.0% 90,369 33.0% 2,828 274,249 D+33.1
Waukesha 73,626 32.0% 154,926 67.3% 1,811 230,363 R+35.3
Brown 54,935 44.6% 67,173 54.5% 1,186 123,294 R+9.9
Racine 48,229 47.5% 52,456 51.6% 884 101,569 R+4.2
Outagamie 40,169 44.6% 48,903 54.3% 978 90,050 R+9.7
Winnebago 40,943 46.2% 46,542 52.5% 1,111 88,596 R+6.3
Rock 46,598 57.9% 33,151 41.2% 730 80,479 D+16.7
Kenosha 40,107 52.5% 35,587 46.6% 734 76,428 D+5.9
Washington 21,234 29.3% 50,641 69.9% 592 72,467 R+40.6
Marathon 30,899 45.4% 36,394 53.5% 766 68,059 R+8.1
Sheboygan 27,608 44.1% 34,458 55.0% 559 62,625 R+10.9
La Crosse 33,170 53.4% 28,289 45.5% 677 62,136 D+7.9
Eau Claire 30,068 54.2% 24,653 44.5% 716 55,437 D+9.8
Fond du Lac 19,216 36.2% 33,291 62.8% 529 53,036 R+26.5
Ozaukee 17,714 33.4% 34,904 65.8% 414 53,032 R+32.4
Walworth 19,177 39.6% 28,754 59.4% 515 48,446 R+19.8
Dodge 16,690 37.6% 27,201 61.4% 445 44,336 R+23.7
Manitowoc 20,652 46.8% 23,027 52.1% 481 44,160 R+5.4
Jefferson 17,925 42.6% 23,776 56.5% 414 42,115 R+13.9
St. Croix 18,784 44.9% 22,679 54.2% 372 41,835 R+9.3
Wood 18,950 47.3% 20,592 51.4% 529 40,071 R+4.1
Portage 21,861 56.1% 16,546 42.5% 554 38,961 D+13.6
Chippewa 14,751 48.3% 15,450 50.6% 323 30,524 R+2.3
Sauk 15,708 51.6% 14,415 47.4% 294 30,417 D+4.3
Columbia 14,300 48.4% 14,956 50.6% 299 29,555 R+2.2
Waupaca 10,792 40.0% 15,941 59.1% 241 26,974 R+19.1
Calumet 10,290 40.7% 14,721 58.2% 265 25,276 R+17.5
Grant 12,864 50.9% 12,208 48.3% 192 25,264 D+2.6
Douglas 16,537 65.7% 8,448 33.5% 202 25,187 D+32.1
Barron 11,696 48.9% 12,030 50.3% 211 23,937 R+1.4
Polk 11,173 47.5% 12,095 51.5% 235 23,503 R+3.9
Dunn 12,039 52.0% 10,879 46.9% 254 23,172 D+5.0
Marinette 10,190 45.8% 11,866 53.3% 214 22,270 R+7.5
Oneida 10,464 47.5% 11,351 51.5% 224 22,039 R+4.0
Pierce 11,176 51.1% 10,437 47.7% 263 21,876 D+3.4
Shawano 8,657 41.2% 12,150 57.9% 192 20,999 R+16.6
Oconto 8,534 43.1% 11,043 55.8% 217 19,794 R+12.7
Monroe 8,973 45.9% 10,375 53.1% 206 19,554 R+7.2
Green 9,575 52.5% 8,497 46.6% 176 18,248 D+5.9
Door 8,367 47.8% 8,910 50.9% 214 17,491 R+3.1
Lincoln 7,484 47.7% 8,024 51.1% 192 15,700 R+3.4
Clark 6,966 46.1% 7,966 52.7% 193 15,125 R+6.6
Vernon 7,924 53.4% 6,774 45.6% 147 14,845 D+7.7
Trempealeau 8,075 57.4% 5,878 41.8% 109 14,062 D+15.6
Vilas 5,713 40.8% 8,155 58.2% 134 14,002 R+17.4
Iowa 7,122 56.8% 5,348 42.6% 72 12,542 D+14.1
Juneau 5,734 46.3% 6,473 52.3% 172 12,379 R+6.0
Waushara 5,257 42.9% 6,888 56.2% 101 12,246 R+13.3
Kewaunee 5,175 45.9% 5,970 53.0% 128 11,273 R+7.1
Langlade 4,751 42.9% 6,235 56.3% 88 11,074 R+13.4
Adams 5,447 52.1% 4,890 46.8% 119 10,456 D+5.3
Green Lake 3,605 35.4% 6,472 63.6% 101 10,178 R+28.2
Jackson 5,249 54.0% 4,387 45.1% 90 9,726 D+8.9
Bayfield 5,845 60.3% 3,754 38.7% 100 9,699 D+21.6
Washburn 4,705 49.2% 4,762 49.8% 100 9,567 R+0.6
Taylor 3,829 40.1% 5,582 58.5% 132 9,543 R+18.4
Sawyer 4,411 46.7% 4,951 52.4% 91 9,453 R+5.7
Richland 4,501 47.8% 4,836 51.3% 83 9,420 R+3.6
Burnett 4,499 48.3% 4,743 50.9% 79 9,321 R+2.6
Ashland 5,805 63.1% 3,313 36.0% 81 9,199 D+27.1
Price 4,349 49.6% 4,312 49.2% 102 8,763 D+0.4
Marquette 3,785 44.7% 4,604 54.3% 88 8,477 R+9.7
Crawford 4,656 55.0% 3,680 43.5% 123 8,459 D+11.5
Lafayette 4,402 52.5% 3,929 46.8% 57 8,388 D+5.6
Rusk 3,820 48.2% 3,985 50.3% 122 7,927 R+2.1
Buffalo 3,998 52.7% 3,502 46.1% 91 7,591 D+6.5
Forest 2,509 48.7% 2,608 50.6% 36 5,153 R+1.9
Pepin 2,181 53.6% 1,853 45.6% 32 4,066 D+8.1
Iron 1,956 50.4% 1,884 48.6% 39 3,879 D+1.9
Florence 993 36.5% 1,703 62.5% 28 2,724 R+26.1
Menominee 1,412 82.6% 288 16.8% 10 1,710 D+65.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Wisconsin in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+0.9
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+0.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.8
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+6.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+13.9
2004 John Kerry (D) D+0.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.4
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+3.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+9.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+4.7
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+1.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.7
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+23.7
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+4.4
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+33.5
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+32.3
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+9.2
1924 Robert M. La Follette (other)
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+54.9
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+6.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+8.4
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+17.8
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+35.2
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.1
1896 William McKinley (R) R+22.9
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.7
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+4.6
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+11.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+9.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+12.5