United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in New York

John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in New York in 2004, 58.4% to 40.1%, a margin of 18.3 points and 1,351,713 votes.

New York voted 20.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.

Republicans led in 40 of the 62 counties and Democrats in 22. The largest, Kings, cast 688,623 votes and went to the Democrat by 48.1 points. The closest was Niagara, where 96 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John Kerry won Democratic 4,314,280 58.4%
George W. Bush Republican 2,962,567 40.1%
All other candidates 114,189 1.5%
Total7,391,036

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Kings 509,948 74.1% 178,675 25.9% 688,623 D+48.1
New York 526,124 81.2% 121,728 18.8% 647,852 D+62.4
Suffolk 316,816 50.9% 306,106 49.1% 622,922 D+1.7
Nassau 327,416 54.1% 277,829 45.9% 605,245 D+8.2
Queens 436,106 72.1% 168,374 27.9% 604,480 D+44.3
Erie 248,246 56.8% 188,789 43.2% 437,035 D+13.6
Westchester 232,178 59.6% 157,600 40.4% 389,778 D+19.1
Bronx 285,783 82.4% 60,899 17.6% 346,682 D+64.9
Monroe 173,456 51.8% 161,398 48.2% 334,854 D+3.6
Onondaga 116,215 55.3% 94,103 44.7% 210,318 D+10.5
Richmond 68,371 44.1% 86,628 55.9% 154,999 R+11.8
Albany 88,966 61.3% 56,280 38.7% 145,246 D+22.5
Orange 63,611 45.4% 76,624 54.6% 140,235 R+9.3
Rockland 64,384 50.3% 63,528 49.7% 127,912 D+0.7
Dutchess 58,339 48.4% 62,151 51.6% 120,490 R+3.2
Saratoga 48,880 47.1% 54,914 52.9% 103,794 R+5.8
Niagara 47,102 50.1% 47,006 49.9% 94,108 D+0.1
Oneida 40,925 44.3% 51,412 55.7% 92,337 R+11.4
Broome 45,917 51.2% 43,737 48.8% 89,654 D+2.4
Ulster 46,984 54.7% 38,927 45.3% 85,911 D+9.4
Rensselaer 35,851 50.7% 34,858 49.3% 70,709 D+1.4
Schenectady 35,872 52.8% 32,029 47.2% 67,901 D+5.7
Chautauqua 27,211 46.0% 31,905 54.0% 59,116 R+7.9
Oswego 24,004 47.9% 26,159 52.1% 50,163 R+4.3
Ontario 21,158 43.6% 27,315 56.4% 48,473 R+12.7
Putnam 19,495 43.3% 25,536 56.7% 45,031 R+13.4
Tompkins 26,478 63.1% 15,451 36.9% 41,929 D+26.3
St. Lawrence 22,881 55.9% 18,071 44.1% 40,952 D+11.7
Steuben 14,540 35.8% 26,018 64.2% 40,558 R+28.3
Wayne 15,575 39.3% 24,093 60.7% 39,668 R+21.5
Chemung 17,170 45.3% 20,705 54.7% 37,875 R+9.3
Jefferson 16,864 44.9% 20,725 55.1% 37,589 R+10.3
Cayuga 17,453 49.7% 17,662 50.3% 35,115 R+0.6
Cattaraugus 13,505 40.9% 19,541 59.1% 33,046 R+18.3
Clinton 17,584 53.3% 15,408 46.7% 32,992 D+6.6
Columbia 15,725 51.8% 14,641 48.2% 30,366 D+3.6
Sullivan 14,908 49.4% 15,244 50.6% 30,152 R+1.1
Warren 13,471 44.8% 16,616 55.2% 30,087 R+10.5
Madison 13,069 44.6% 16,262 55.4% 29,331 R+10.9
Livingston 11,462 39.7% 17,387 60.3% 28,849 R+20.5
Herkimer 11,747 42.9% 15,621 57.1% 27,368 R+14.2
Genesee 10,288 38.8% 16,251 61.2% 26,539 R+22.5
Otsego 12,798 49.3% 13,150 50.7% 25,948 R+1.4
Washington 10,624 43.7% 13,665 56.3% 24,289 R+12.5
Tioga 9,716 42.1% 13,369 57.9% 23,085 R+15.8
Cortland 10,685 48.3% 11,449 51.7% 22,134 R+3.5
Greene 8,882 41.1% 12,727 58.9% 21,609 R+17.8
Fulton 9,204 42.9% 12,270 57.1% 21,474 R+14.3
Chenango 9,291 44.9% 11,386 55.1% 20,677 R+10.1
Montgomery 9,468 46.0% 11,116 54.0% 20,584 R+8.0
Delaware 8,694 42.5% 11,758 57.5% 20,452 R+15.0
Essex 8,745 47.2% 9,789 52.8% 18,534 R+5.6
Allegany 6,596 35.7% 11,884 64.3% 18,480 R+28.6
Franklin 9,583 53.5% 8,333 46.5% 17,916 D+7.0
Wyoming 6,082 34.9% 11,323 65.1% 17,405 R+30.1
Orleans 5,917 37.2% 10,003 62.8% 15,920 R+25.7
Seneca 6,987 47.0% 7,894 53.0% 14,881 R+6.1
Schoharie 5,629 40.1% 8,400 59.9% 14,029 R+19.8
Lewis 4,558 41.4% 6,441 58.6% 10,999 R+17.1
Yates 4,192 40.6% 6,136 59.4% 10,328 R+18.8
Schuyler 3,395 41.0% 4,891 59.0% 8,286 R+18.1
Hamilton 1,156 32.7% 2,374 67.3% 3,530 R+34.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New York in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+12.6
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+23.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+22.5
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+28.2
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+26.9
2004 John Kerry (D) D+18.3
2000 Al Gore (D) D+25.0
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+28.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+15.8
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+4.1
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+8.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+2.7
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+4.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.3
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+5.5
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+37.3
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+5.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+5.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+19.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+12.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+2.3
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+26.6
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+37.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+7.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+12.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+12.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+10.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+9.3
1896 William McKinley (R) R+18.9
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+1.1
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.1
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+1.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+3.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+6.5
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+1.2